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Tools used to ensure the exchange rate and interest rate risk
Klípová, Iva ; Votava, Libor (advisor)
The goal of thesis is to clarify the nature of the exchange rate and interest rate risk and the possibility to describe the management of these risks. It represents the individual tools used to ensure the exchange rate and interest rate risk and the specific examples explaining the principle of their functioning. The thesis is divided into three parts - the exchange rate hedging, interest rate hedging and risk management, or a summary of each procedure, a brief guide for managers of companies involved in the risk of fluctuations in exchange rates or interest rates touching. Case studies of specific examples shows the possibilities of treatment of exchange rate risk - the exporter trading currency pair EUR / CZK.
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The Impact of Ffiscal Policy on Foreign Exchange Rate Developments in the Last Decade
Vašková, Kateřina ; Ševčík, Miroslav (advisor) ; Zabranská, Monika (referee)
Diploma thesis deals with problem whether fiscal policy has an impact on development of currency exchange rate. The first aim of the thesis is to describe some theoretical models which consider possibilities of relationship between fiscal policy and currency exchange rate and to give a notice where can be differences. The thesis introduces a function of fiscal policy, a creation of currency exchange rate and describes an environment of exchange market. Currency exchange rate is stable on its market defined value in the long term. I suppose also that interventions of leaders of fiscal policy can not influence currency exchange rate positively. On the other hand, there could be a negative impact on currency exchange rate by leaders of fiscal policy. The second aim of the thesis is to analyze an impact of government debt on development of currency exchange rate, mainly are analyzed the Czech republic, Great Britain and some other selected countries of the European union. In the thesis are provided macroeconomic data of mentioned countries, mainly government debt to gross domestic product, budget deficit to gross domestic product, development of currency exchange rate and some information about macroeconomic situation of countries. Final part of the thesis provides an analysis of an impact of debt on currency exchange rate (correlation analysis, graphical comparing).
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Development of Czech Republic's exchange rate policy since the beginning of the transformation
Kovářová, Petra ; Kalínská, Emílie (advisor) ; Žamberský, Pavel (referee)
The bachelor thesis deals with exchange rate policy in the Czech Republic. Preliminary, there are described types of exchange rate regimes and methods of influencing exchange rate by central banks. The work is focused on the development of the Czech Republic's exchange rate policy since the beginning of the economic transformation. It starts with the Czech Republic's introduction of internal convertibility in January 1991. Further the dissolution of Czechoslovakia and the monetary separation is mentioned. In 1995, external convertibility is introduced and it is followed by currency crisis in 1997. Attention is paid to the central bank's attempts to solve crisis which lead to exchange rate regime change in the end. In the next part, further development of exchange rate is described. At the end our chance to join euro in future is analysed.
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Evaluation of positives and negatives of accession of the Czech Republic to the European Monetary Union
Kabešová, Karin ; Korda, Jan (advisor)
This paper is evaluating earnings and costs of the accession of the Czech Republic to the European monetary union. It defines the Theory of Optimal Currency Areas, both classic and modern approach, and brings up arguments for and against the accession to the monetary union. Further it deals with costs and earnings of the membership in the monetary union both in theory and as an approximate enumeration. It evaluates fulfilling of Maastricht criteria by Czech Republic and simulates its stay in the ERM II system. As the conclusion it states the later date of accession as the most favorable solution for the Czech Republic.
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Methods of hedging the exchange rate risk
Schichman, Roman ; Kuncl, Martin (advisor)
Work deals with the instruments that can be used to hedge exchange rate risk with accent on outright forward and currency options. The target is to not to suggest a complex solution how to deal with exchange rate risk, but to find out which instruments are more suitable to hedging opened foreign exchange.
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Hedging
Procházková, Petra ; Dvořáček, Jiří (advisor) ; Smolák, Pavel (referee)
This thesis describes hedging transactions against foreign exchange rate risk which is a significant problem for a number of domestic companies trading with foreign partners. The objective of this paper is to characterize possible ways to eliminate or minimize a foreign exchange rate risk and to assess effects on economic results and liquidity of the company arising from the use of hedging instruments compared to the situation without hedging transactions. The practical analysis is shown on two Czech companies exposed to a foreign exchange rate risk. The analysis is focused on currency forwards negotiated with the bank and natural hedging in connection with an application of a hedge accounting.
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Teorie devizových kurzů a prognózování
Suchánková, Barbora ; Pígl, Jan (advisor)
Tato práce se zabývá tématikou devizových kurzů. V teoretické části definice devizového kurzu, jeho základní charakteristiky, a vývoj devizového kurzu. Následují základní teorie pro predikci devizového kurzu v dlouhodobém období, fundamentální analýza: teorie parity kupní síly, teorie parity úrokové míry, mezinárodní Fischerův efekt a teorie platební bilance. Dále je fundamentální analýza pro predikci kurzu v krátkém období, která se zaměřuje na grafické metody pro zkoumání vývoje kurzu, a matematicko-statistické metody. Analytická část práce ověřuje závěry teorie parity kupní síly, teorie parity úrokové míry a metodu klouzavého průměru na vývoji CZK/GBP.
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Analýza a vlivy zavedení jednotné měny Euro v České republice
Gregor, Jakub ; Revenda, Zbyněk (advisor) ; Dobes, Milan (referee)
Diplomová práce hodnotí dosavadní historii Evropské měnové unie. Zaměřuje se na rozbor mechanizmu ERM II. Hlavní část je aměřena na analýzu integrační pozice ČR vzhledem k přijetí Eura. Rozbor maastrichtských kritérií ukazuje nedostatky v několika oblastech, především u kritéria veřejných financí. Třetí část hodnotí scénáře přijetí Eura a aspekty spojené se vstupem do EMU. Datum přijetí Eura bylo posunuto na horizont kolem roku 2011, což vyžaduje minimální setrvání v mechanizmu ERM II po dobu dvou let. Poté by měly převážit pozitiva pro ČR vzhledem k užívání této měny.
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