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Drivers of soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012
Trnka, M. ; Brázdil, R. ; Balek, J. ; Semerádová, D. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Možný, M. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Dobrovolný, P. ; Zahradníček, P. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Eitzinger, J. ; Fuchs, B. ; Svoboda, M. ; Hayes, M. ; Žalud, Z.
Soil moisture dynamics and their temporal trends in the Czech Republic are forced by various drivers. Our analysis of temporal trends indicates that shifts in drought severity between 1961 and 2012 and especially in the April, May, and June period, which displayed such results as a 50% increase in drought probability during 1961–1980 in comparison to 2001–2012. We found that increased global radiation and air temperature together with decreased relative humidity (all statistically significant at p < 0.05) led to increases in the reference evapotranspiration in all months of the growing season; this trend was particularly evident in April, May, and August, when more than 80% of the territory displayed an increased demand for soil water. These changes, in combination with the earlier end of snow cover and the earlier start of the growing season (up to 20 days in some regions), led to increased actual evapotranspiration at the start of the growing season that tended to deplete the soil moisture earlier, leaving the soil more exposed to the impacts of rainfall variability. These results support concerns related to the potentially increased severity of drought events in Central Europe. The reported trend patterns are of particular importance with respect to expected climate change, given the robustness and consistency of the trends shown and the fact that they can be aligned with the existing climate model projections. Introduction
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Founding of a Small Company - Milk Bar
Možný, Michal ; Večeřa, Karel (referee) ; Koráb, Vojtěch (advisor)
Main goal of this thesis is to create realistic business plan for small milk bar in Kuřim. Basic terms, definitions of used analyses and detailed description of business plan are described in the theoretical part of this thesis. The practical part is focused on choosing the suitable market by using proper analysis and creating the actual business plan for milk bar.
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Drivers of soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012
Trnka, Miroslav ; Brázdil, Rudolf ; Balek, J. ; Semerádová, Daniela ; Hlavinka, Petr ; Možný, M. ; Štěpánek, Petr ; Dobrovolný, Petr ; Zahradníček, Pavel ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Eitzinger, Josef ; Fuchs, B. ; Svoboda, M. ; Hayes, M. ; Žalud, Zdeněk
Soil moisture dynamics and their temporal trends in the Czech Republic are forced by various drivers. Our analysis of temporal trends indicates that shifts in drought severity between 1961 and 2012 and especially in the April, May, and June period, which displayed such results as a 50% increase in drought probability during 1961–1980 in comparison to 2001–2012. We found that increased global radiation and air temperature together with decreased relative humidity (all statistically significant at p < 0.05) led to increases in the reference evapotranspiration in all months of the growing season; this trend was particularly evident in April, May, and August, when more than 80% of the territory displayed an increased demand for soil water. These changes, in combination with the earlier end of snow cover and the earlier start of the growing season (up to 20 days in some regions), led to increased actual evapotranspiration at the start of the growing season that tended to deplete the soil moisture earlier, leaving the soil more exposed to the impacts of rainfall variability. These results support concerns related to the potentially increased severity of drought events in Central Europe. The reported trend patterns are of particular importance with respect to expected climate change, given the robustness and consistency of the trends shown and the fact that they can be aligned with the existing climate model projections. Introduction
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Are there any changes in the beginning of flowering of important allergens in the Czech Republic?
Bartošová, Lenka ; Hájková, L. ; Kožnarová, V. ; Možný, M. ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Žalud, Z.
Phenological observations have a long tradition in the Czech Republic; the first phenological notes were taken in the 18th century. Within the entire phenological observation network of the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, 45 plant species can be observed. These include perennial herbs, grass, and ground bushes growing wildly. Some observed species are among the group of so-called allergens, e.g. silver birch (Betula pendula Roth), cocksfoot (Dactylis glomerata L.), and meadow foxtail (Alopecurus pratensis L.). In this paper, we evaluated the phenological phase beginning of flowering for two of the aforementioned plants at the Mlýny, Chřibská research site (50°52’N, 14°29’E, 350 m a.s.l.). The aim was to assess which meteorological parameters influence phenological onsets as well as to analyze shifts in phenophase onset dates and temperature trends during 1959–2014. During this period, for B. pendula the average date of beginning of flowering was 28 April with a standard deviation of 10 days and for A. pratensis it was 20 May with a standard deviation of 8 days. The studied species are allergens and their timing and phenological shifting during the spring and their relationship with climate parameters may provide important information for forecasts as part of a pollen warning service.
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Phenological response of flood-plain forest ecosystem during 1961-2011
Bartošová, Lenka ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Bauer, Z. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Možný, M. ; Žalud, Zdeněk
The presented study is focused on 50 years of phenological observations (1961–2011) of the herbs, shrubs, trees and bird populations and the phenological phases that create a continuous phenological sequence covering the whole spring aspect of the fl oodplain forest ecosystem. Th e phenological phases were observed for 5 herbs, 5 shrubs, 3 trees and 2 bird species. Th e phenological phases were observed as precisely as possible by only one observer during the whole time of observation. All observed plants and bird species showed statistically signifi cant shift s to the earlier time but the rate of shift ing among the parts of the fl ood-plain forest ecosystem was diff erent. Th e most progressive shift s were detected for herbs (the rate of shift ing was on average 13.9 days), followed by shrubs (phenophases advanced by 11.3 days on average), trees (phenophases advanced by 10.2 days) and fi nally by bird species (phenophases advanced by 9.6 days on average). Consequently the length of overlap of the chosen phenological phases was elaborated. Th e rate of shortening or lengthening of the overlap diff ers among all parts of the ecosystem and indicates not only the separation of phenophases but also no statistically signifi cant change in the length of overlap in each part of the ecosystem.
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Temporal Evolution of Dry and Wet Conditions in the Czech Republic During the Growing Season
Potop, V. ; Boroneant, C. ; Možný, Martin ; Štěpánek, Petr ; Skalák, Petr
In the present study, the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) was adopted to assess temporal evolution of wet and dry months during growing season (April to September) in the Czech Republic based on a dense network of 184 climatological stations for the period 1961–2010. The SPEI were calculated with various lags, 1, 3, 6, 12 and 24 months because the drought at these time scales is relevant for agricultural, hydrological and socio-economic impact, respectively. To assess the temporal evolution of dry and wet conditions during the growing season, first, the monthly time series of the SPEI for the months April to September were averaged at each station for each SPEI accumulation period (1, 3, 6, 12 and 24 months, respectively). Then, these SPEI time series were averaged over all 184 stations to get a time series of drought index at country level. The temporal evolution of the SPEI with one month lag represents the year by year moisture characteristic of the current growing season. In this respect, at country level, during the second half of the 20th century and the first decade of 21st century, the hierarchy of the driest years during the growing season was 2003, followed by 1992, 2000, 1983, 1982, 1976, 2009 and 1999. On the other hand, the wettest years during the growing seasons were 1965, 2010, 1977, 1996, 1966, 2001, 1972, 1980 and 1995.
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Using remotely sensed NDVI for drought impact assessment within selected crops
Hlavinka, Petr ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Semerádová, Daniela ; Dobrovolný, P. ; Balek, J. ; Možný, M. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Hayes, M. ; Svoboda, M. ; Wardlow, B. ; Žalud, Zdeněk
The relationship between Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and selected agrometeorological parameters (yields of selected crops, water balance) was investigated. The source for NDVI was Spectroradiometer MODIS within satellite Terra and it was available for grids in resolution 500 x 500 m from 2000 to 2010. The analysis was conducted within 12 grids spread through Southern and Central Moravian region. The information about cultivated crops (including spring barley, winter wheat, maize for grains, sugar beet and winter rape) were collected from the farmers and water balance simulated using SoilClim model.
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The responses of two resident and one long-distance migrant bird species to weather conditions in Czech Republic
Bartošová, Lenka ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Bauer, Z. ; Možný, M. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Žalud, Zdeněk
This analyse include three bird species: Sitta europaea L., Parus major L., and Ficedula albicollis T. The data was available for the period from 1961 to 2008 from 3 locations in Czech Republic (centered on 48 48N, 16 46E). S. europaea and P. major are residents, F. albicollis is long-distance migrant species and their phenological development (terms of laying eggs) passed over the different time periods during spring. Phenological phases of birds populations were analyzed and the shifts in the phenophases and also response to climate conditions differed among the bird species.
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Studium a ochrana dřevin: Dřeviny v krajinářských programech. Orientační vegetační analýza bylinného patra sledovaných ploch s výsadbou
Agentura ochrany přírody a krajiny ČR, Brno ; Agentura ochrany přírody a krajiny ČR, Praha ; Výzkumný ústav Silva Taroucy pro krajinu a okrasné zahradnictví, Průhonice ; Tichý, Pavel ; Petruš, Josef ; Možný, Martin ; Koželuhová, Kamila ; Frantík, Tomáš ; Weber, Martin ; Petříček, Václav ; Kohlík, Václav ; Hošek, Michael ; Dostálek, Jiří
Evidence bylinného patra.
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Studium a ochrana dřevin: Dřeviny v krajinářských programech
Agentura ochrany přírody a krajiny ČR, Praha ; Výzkumný ústav Silva Taroucy pro krajinu a okrasné zahradnictví, Průhonice ; Tichý, Pavel ; Petruš, Josef ; Možný, Martin ; Koželuhová, Kamila ; Frantík, Tomáš ; Weber, Martin ; Petříček, Václav ; Kohlík, Václav ; Hošek, Michael ; Dostálek, Jiří
Cílem úkolu bylo vytvořit podklad k výběru a použití našich domácích dřevin, které jsou využitelné k výsadbám v rámci krajinářských programů. Byl vytvořen počítačový program ke stanovení druhové skladby domácích dřevin pro výsadby v zemědělské krajině. Byl vytvořen přehled biologických charakteristik našich domácích dřevin využitelných pro výsadby v rámci krajinářských programů. Byl zpracován materiál týkající se reprodukce a regulace přenosu výchozího pěstitelského materiálu. byly vyhodnoceny výsledky sledování modelových výsadeb dřevin. Byl vyhodnocen průzkum reprezentativního souboru výsadeb dřevin.
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