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The impact of COVID-19 on election outcomes: The case of the Czech Republic
Válek, Vojtěch ; Pertold-Gebicka, Barbara (advisor) ; Mošovský, Jan (referee)
This thesis examines the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and the election results in the 2021 parliamentary elections in the Czech Republic. Voter turnout together with the results of several political parties is analyzed at the district level. First, the election results of 2021 are examined separately using OLS regression, heteroskedasticity is not detected in the model. A panel dataset is then created, which also includes election results from 2013 and 2017. Based on the results of the Hausman test, the fxed efects method is used to analyze the panel data, and the frst-diferencing method is used as well for comparison. Pairs of years are then analyzed with the use of frst-diferencing, when the results are frst estimated without 2013, and then without 2017. The results of the analysis mainly show a signifcant relationship between the number of infected people and the results of individual political parties. While for political party ANO this relationship is negative, it is rather positive for the other political parties. The second dependent variable of interest is the number of deaths related to COVID-19. In this case, the results of the analysis do not indicate a signifcant connection with the election results. 1
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2012 Presidential Elections and Hispanic Voters
Paulíková, Veronika ; Sehnálková, Jana (advisor) ; Raška, Francis (referee)
Issue of this bachelor thesis is the way how the presidential candidates Barack Obama and Mitt Romeny have focused in their campaigns on hispanci voters in presidential elections 2012. The target of this work is to analyse a strategy of Obama's and Romney's campaign towards Hispanic voters. In this analysis will be reviewed candidates' attitudes, concepts and plans to themes, which were key for Hispanic voters. Next issue of this work will be advertisements in Spanish and visitations of states with Hispanic population. This work also analyses reflection of this campaigns and particular means on voting of Hispanic voters in 2012 elections. Based on accessible web articles, statistics, election polls, and secondary literature was analysed the strategy of Obama's and Romney's election campaign towards the hispanic voters. Weighing up of this election campaigns was added by analysis of Hispanic voting in 2012 elections.
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Transformations of the British Labour Party in the 1980s
Prošková, Nikola ; Soukup, Jaromír (advisor) ; Říchová, Blanka (referee)
The bachelor thesis deals with detailed characteristic of the transformation of the british Labour Party in 1979 - 1994. The core of the work is to provide a deep insight into organizational and personal structure of the party and to analyse party's policy statements. The 1979 ended Labour Party's government performance for a long time. The aim of this work is to observe organizational as well as ideological changes by which the party reacts to its own unsatisfactory electoral results. Finding the reasons why approved modifications did not help the party to win general elections is absolutely crucial. The period before 1979 including the description of international situation and electoral change is described in the opening part to outline initial conditions of further observed stretch of time. Afterwards particular periods between general elections are presented themselves. A full image of problems pursuing labours between 1979 and 1994 is given by analysing manifestos, organization of the party, development of pre-election campaigns and public opinion. The one of the main cause leading to the long-term lack of success was voter's displeasing experience with the last government of the Labour Party. Economic problems profoundly connected with the stagflation, repeated strikes and culminating into...
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Analysis of spatial differentiation of the electoral results of the CSSD in the 2013-2017 parliamentary elections
Mencl, Michal ; Císař, Ondřej (advisor) ; Hanzal, Petr (referee)
The aim of this bachelor thesis is to analyze the territorial differentiation of ČSSD election support in elections to the Chamber of Deputies in 2013-2017. The analysis of parliamentary elections in these years has so far been the subject of very few studies. First of all, on the basis of electoral geography methods the territory where the Social Democrats gained the most support is defined. Then, using the statistical methods (linear regression), the characteristics of such a territory are determined. This will also define the independent variables that determine the ČSSD election support the most. The unit of the analyzed area are districts of the Czech Republic. The bachelor thesis concludes that the ČSSD electoral base did not change much in this period. The In addition, ČSSD gained the most support in 2013-2017 in the same districts of the Czech Republic. The ČSSD received more support in districts with higher unemployment, a lower proportion of university graduates, a lower proportion of people in execution and a higher proportion of older people.
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Analysis of spatial differentiation of the electoral results of the CSSD in the 2013-2017 parliamentary elections
Mencl, Michal ; Císař, Ondřej (advisor) ; Hanzal, Petr (referee)
The aim of this bachelor thesis is to analyze the territorial differentiation of ČSSD election support in elections to the Chamber of Deputies in 2013-2017. The analysis of parliamentary elections in these years has so far been the subject of very few studies. First of all, on the basis of electoral geography methods the territory where the Social Democrats gained the most support is defined. Then, using the statistical methods (linear regression), the characteristics of such a territory are determined. This will also define the independent variables that determine the ČSSD election support the most. The unit of the analyzed area are districts of the Czech Republic. The bachelor thesis concludes that the ČSSD electoral base did not change much in this period. The In addition, ČSSD gained the most support in 2013-2017 in the same districts of the Czech Republic. The ČSSD received more support in districts with higher unemployment, a lower proportion of university graduates, a lower proportion of people in execution and a higher proportion of older people.
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Transformations of the British Labour Party in the 1980s
Prošková, Nikola ; Soukup, Jaromír (advisor) ; Říchová, Blanka (referee)
The bachelor thesis deals with detailed characteristic of the transformation of the british Labour Party in 1979 - 1994. The core of the work is to provide a deep insight into organizational and personal structure of the party and to analyse party's policy statements. The 1979 ended Labour Party's government performance for a long time. The aim of this work is to observe organizational as well as ideological changes by which the party reacts to its own unsatisfactory electoral results. Finding the reasons why approved modifications did not help the party to win general elections is absolutely crucial. The period before 1979 including the description of international situation and electoral change is described in the opening part to outline initial conditions of further observed stretch of time. Afterwards particular periods between general elections are presented themselves. A full image of problems pursuing labours between 1979 and 1994 is given by analysing manifestos, organization of the party, development of pre-election campaigns and public opinion. The one of the main cause leading to the long-term lack of success was voter's displeasing experience with the last government of the Labour Party. Economic problems profoundly connected with the stagflation, repeated strikes and culminating into...
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2012 Presidential Elections and Hispanic Voters
Paulíková, Veronika ; Sehnálková, Jana (advisor) ; Raška, Francis (referee)
Issue of this bachelor thesis is the way how the presidential candidates Barack Obama and Mitt Romeny have focused in their campaigns on hispanci voters in presidential elections 2012. The target of this work is to analyse a strategy of Obama's and Romney's campaign towards Hispanic voters. In this analysis will be reviewed candidates' attitudes, concepts and plans to themes, which were key for Hispanic voters. Next issue of this work will be advertisements in Spanish and visitations of states with Hispanic population. This work also analyses reflection of this campaigns and particular means on voting of Hispanic voters in 2012 elections. Based on accessible web articles, statistics, election polls, and secondary literature was analysed the strategy of Obama's and Romney's election campaign towards the hispanic voters. Weighing up of this election campaigns was added by analysis of Hispanic voting in 2012 elections.
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Use of Benford's Law in election results analysis
Pikhart, Miroslav ; Holý, Vladimír (advisor) ; Zouhar, Jan (referee)
The topic of the thesis is introduction to Benford's law and its usage in forensic data analysis. First part of the thesis covers the theoretic basics and explains how conformity is tested. All introduced tests are then applied in second part, which works with two independent datasets. Russian presidental elections 2012, where several scientific articles discuss whether there was foul play involved or not. In comparsion, the second dataset contains czech presidental elections 2013, where no suspicions were ever raised. Both datasets are analyzed using the R software and it is shown that while the czech data indeed conforms to Benford's law, the russian data shows no conformity whatsoever. Also a mistake in one of the R packages used is found and an update is suggested.
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Influence of unemployment to electoral results of extremistic parties: Southern Europe vs. Central Europe
Zoul, Zdeněk ; Rod, Aleš (advisor) ; Čermáková, Klára (referee)
Thesis examines influence of unemployment on the electoral results of extremistic and radical parties in parliamentary elections in several European countries from 2000 to 2010. By using fixed effects model on panel data collected on regional level it was found that in Czech Republic, Hungary and Spain higher levels of unemployment lead to higher elactoral success of radical and extremistic parties. However in Greece and Slovakia such a influence turned out as insignificant. Also hypothesis of typical voter of such parties was tested. It is commonly accepted that typical voter of extremistic parties is young man with lower education. This hypothesis can't be confirmed in any of examined countries.
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How unemployment affects the behavior of voters?
Kdolská, Veronika ; Lahvička, Jiří (advisor) ; Brožová, Dagmar (referee)
This thesis deals with the influence of unemployment on the voting behavior of citizens. It mainly focuses on the elections to the Chamber of Deputies of Czech Republic in 2006 and 2010. The fixed effects method was applied to the panel data using 133 territorial units. Through the application of models I found that the increase of unemployment by 1 percentage point will increase the share of votes for left-wing parties by 0.23 percentage point within the valid votes cast, while the increase of the proportion of votes for right-wing parties is 0.48 percentage point. Unemployment decreases the share of votes for the centerist and small parties. That indicates that unemployment polarizes electorate towards large parties. The results show that the unemployment is slightly more advantageous for the right, but has no significant effect on the election results. Its effect on voter turnout was not proven. Other results indicate that "nicer" weather during elections diverts electorate from small and centrist parties.
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