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Effects of macroeconomic shocks to the quality of the aggregate loan portfolio
Babouček, Ivan ; Jančar, Martin
The paper concerns macro-prudential analysis. It uses an unrestricted VAR model to empirically investigate transmission involving a set of macroeconomic variables describing the development of the Czech economy and the functioning of its credit channel in the past eleven years. Its novelty lies in the fact that it provides the first systematic assessment of the links between loan quality and macroeconomic shocks in the Czech context.
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Czech disinflation and gross domestic product
Izák, Vratislav
The paper characterizes the main features of the czech macroeconomic development in the time period 1995:1 - 1999:3 stressing the decrease in nominal GDP growth especially in 1999. It discusses the analytical framework being able theoretically explain the Czech macroeconomic story. The dynamic model for an open economy with government sector has been constructed and several simulation exercises imitating Czech macroeconomic development have been made.
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Long-term equilibrium real exchange rate of the crown and its determinants
Frait, Jan ; Komárek, Luboš
The primary objective of this work is to analyze the long-term determinants of the real exchange rate and the application of econometric methods to find out which ones and to what extent affect the real exchange rate. A secondary goal is to assess the development of the real exchange rate during the economic transformation and discuss to what extent this course could become overvalued in 1997-98.
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