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Assessment of climate change impacts on selected ecosystem services in the Czech Republic: application of land use scenarios
Lorencová, Eliška ; Vačkářová, Davina Elena (advisor) ; Müller, Karel (referee) ; Cudlín, Pavel (referee)
Doctoral thesis abstract Assessment of climate change impacts on selected ecosystem services in the Czech Republic: Application of land use scenarios MSc Eliška Lorencová Climate and land use change are recognized as the greatest global environmental problems. Both considerably impact delivery of crucial ecosystem services, such as carbon sequestration, water flow regulation, erosion control, and food and fibre production. By combining future projections of ALARM scenarios (for years 2020, 2050 and 2080) with modelling of ecosystem services, the study aims to evaluate climate change impact on selected ecosystem services (carbon storage and sequestration, erosion control and sediment retention) in the Czech Republic. This study provides quantitative as well as spatially explicit analysis of the impacts on selected ecosystem services in the Czech Republic. Performed ecosystem service assessment indicates that spatial distribution of provision of ecosystem services, such as carbon storage and sequestration, sediment retention reflects the projected future land use changes. In case of carbon sequestration, SEDG scenario shows the lowest carbon sequestration rates accounting for 37,029.6 Gg C within the period 2000-2080. Stable vegetation cover is one of the factors that play important role in amount of sediment...
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College Launching Business Plan
Moravcová, Michaela ; Švec, Václav (advisor) ; Karel, Karel (referee)
The topic of thesis is a business plan for the establishment of private universities. The aim is to propose a procedure for establishing a business and develop a real business plan for the launch and operation of the college. Individual work is divided into two parts, theoretical and practical. Based on the literature describes the concepts of business, legal forms and business plan with all its parts and appurtenances. In the practical part there are the theoretical knowledge into practice. There is processed actual business plan. Part of the business plan are environmental analysis, financial planning, risk and business scenarios. Finally, we evaluated the results of the practical and possibly feasibility developed business plan. On the basis of the procedures, it is possible to determine whether the project is viable and can be profitable.
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Network flow models for waste management
Janošťák, František ; Mrázková, Eva (referee) ; Pavlas, Martin (advisor)
This thesis is devoted to the construction of new waste-to-energy plants in a territory where is already another fossil-fuel power station in operation. The aim is to create a mathematical model and prove that those two devices are able to cooperate effectively using same technology. Exactly assembled model under real operating have characteristics of a mixed integer nonlinear programming. The optimization software GAMS is used for its calculation. The complexity of the model, however, is at a level that solutions in bad initial conditions ends in local optima, or not found at all. This thesis is devoted to the elimination of non-linearity using binary variables and heuristic so the task was solved with acceptable time limits to guarantee an optimal solution.
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MULTI-OBJECTIVE OPTIMIZATION OF SCIENCE PARKS BASED ON QUALITATIVE EQUATIONLESS RELATIONS
Wouters, Hana ; Koráb, Vojtěch (referee) ; Hřebíček, Jiří (referee) ; Čapek, Jan (referee) ; Dohnal, Mirko (advisor)
Tato dizertační práce řeší optimalizaci vědeckých parků z hlediska potřeby zvyšování konkurenceschopoností regionů a potažmo celé ČR. Je koncipována pro investory, kteří chtějí realizovat projekt VP v různých regionech ČR nebo manažery již existujících vědeckých parků, kteří chtějí udělat další rozhodnutí. Možnost realizovat projekt VP platí pro všechny regiony, včetně regionů, které se dříve mohly spoléhat na dostupnost a těžbu nerostných surovin (tradičně těžba uhlí), jež v minulosti fungovala jako významný faktor pro rozvoj průmyslu a ekonomické aktivity. Tyto regiony se nyní musejí vyrovnat se ztrátou konkurenceschopnosti a přesunout své úsilí do oblasti rozvoje výzkumu a vývoje produkujícího inovace. Kvalitativní modelování je vhodné pro tak málo známé a komplexní systémy jako jsou právě vědecké parky (VP). Modely vědeckých parků obsahují proměnné různého charakteru a různých časových chování. Z tohoto důvodu jsou studovány rychlé a pomalé modely. Pro 11 pomalých proměnných je studován soubor 17 kvalitativních bezrovnicových vazeb typu (např. kvalita výzkumných a vývojových inženýrů, konkurenční status atd.) společně se souborem 14 kvalitativních bezrovnicových vazeb pro 10 rychlých proměnných typu (např. spolupráce mezi průmyslem a akademickými ústavy, výměna průmyslových informací apod.). V této dizertační práci jsou prezentována řešení rychlých a pomalých modelů ve formě souborů rychlých a pomalých scénářů a přechodů mezi nimi a jsou hledána optimální řešení. Analýza/optimalizace málo známých, nelineárních, multidimenzionálních systémů jako jsou vědecké parky je složitá a je obtížné vytvořit smysluplné a dostatečně přesné modely nestabilního chování. Systematická analýza řady kvalitativních řešení je hlavní částí disertační práce a jejím hlavním vědeckým přínosem. Jednotlivé kroky postupu tvorby modelu jsou názorně ilustrované na příkladech. Text obsahuje interpretaci dosažených výsledků a formulaci přínosů pro teorii a praxi.
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Application of stochastic programming methods for the purpose of energy producing system
Šomplák, Radovan ; Mrázková, Eva (referee) ; Popela, Pavel (advisor)
This thesis deals with the evaluation of the strategic investment in the waste-to-energy plant development. The central supply of heat and the incineration plant connection can be provided for example by the distribution network. The objective is to find financially feasible solution regarding uncertain development of waste management and energy market. A heat supplies to district heating network significantly influences the strategic decision. A two-stage stochastic programming based on the scenarios and the GAMS software were applied to solve this task. The main contribution of this thesis is decision on crucial parameters of the waste-to-energy plant.
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Optimization Models for Strategical Decision Making
Ulverová, Michaela ; Škapa, Stanislav (referee) ; Popela, Pavel (advisor)
The thesis deals with possibilities of mathematical modeling for public university budgets. Firstly, external conditions of public university financial inflows are discussed and~illustrated by using particular data. The related basic legislature is introduced. In~the~next part, internal financial flows are described the help of a general scheme. Step-by-step, a mathematical model of the university budget was built with using analysis of existing data, rules and formulas. The proposed model represents nonlinear multi–stage scenario-based stochastic programme, involving linear and network-flow like constraints. It allows to take into account more objective functions and related parametric analysis. The model was implemented in the algebraic modeling system GAMS with~interface to MS Excel. The aim of the presented mathematical model was not to offer a tool that would be used for automatic distribution of financial resources of the university, but to give flexible possibilities to its user to realize computational experiments and in this way to achieve a deeper insight into the modeled problem.
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Valuation of Economic Risk of Investor in Realization of Investment Project
Rusínová, Alena ; Dvořáčková, Šárka (referee) ; Hromádka, Vít (advisor)
This thesis is focused on assessing the economic risk for the investor in the implementation of the investment project. An investor's decision on the implementation of the project depends on the economic feasibility analysis identified outputs, these outputs are burdened by economic uncertainty, which raises the risk. Therefore, it is necessary to manage risk. The process of risk management consists of a phase of risk analysis and risk management phase. In the analysis phase is to identify risks, assessments of materiality and risk measurement. In the phase of risk management risks identified evaluate and establish measures to prevent their occurrence or impact.
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Optimization for the design of subsystems of energy-producing processes
Janošťák, František ; Bednář, Josef (referee) ; Pavlas, Martin (advisor)
This bachelor thesis focuses on the design of a combustion grate. The key factor is the lower heating value of waste, which has been modelled based on the data obtained from a real combustion grate. The goal is to develop a combustion grate, which will function effectively whilst changing the lower heating values. Possible scenarios of the problem are mathematically formulated and implenented in GAMS enviroment. The outcome of this work are the parameters of the combustion grate.
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Scenarios of future development of the Golan Heights
Fialová, Jana ; Havlová, Radka (advisor) ; Novotná, Yvona (referee)
The Golan Heights represent the area of approximately 1 800 km2, considerable part of which has been occupied by Israel since 1967. Although several rounds of negotiations between representatives of both countries were held, the peace agreement leading to the Israeli withdrawal from the occupied territory was still not reached. For Israel and Syria the land is important for security and political reasons. Thanks to its altitude the region may serve to control large area from the Lebanese border in the north to the Sea of Galilee in the south. The extensive water sources located in the region belonged to the main points of contention during the past negotiations. The course of peace process is also influenced by the distribution of political power in Israel and Syria. In these bachelor thesis three alternatives of future scenarios are made on the basis of different combinations of input factors. In the first of them successful peace negotiations are finished by the peace agreement. In the second scenario negotiations are not followed by an agreement and in the last scenario representatives of Israel and Syria will not held any negotiations at all.
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Reflections on the Global Order after the End of the Cold War: the Perspective of Francis Fukuyama and Samuel P. Huntington
Jurásek, Miroslav ; Veselý, Zdeněk (advisor) ; Lehmannová, Zuzana (referee) ; Vlček, Dalibor (referee) ; Gombár, Eduard (referee)
The times coming with the End of the Cold War were very turbulent. Politicians had to take into the consideration lots of scenarios and the next global trends to make correct decisions. Most of the very numerous visions of the future global order followed more or less the twofold pattern: order or anarchy. "The End of History and the Last Man" and "The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order" written by two prominent American political scientists Francis Fukuyama and Samuel P. Huntington and published at the beginning of the 90s are the most representative works that fit into this pattern. These provocative and controversial theories have been criticized and empirically challenged by many on one side, on the other side it hasn't impeded others to use them as a starting point for their next analyses. This dissertation thesis is a contribution to the debate between the dissenters and the supporters of these theories from a predictive point of view. Through the research theoretical methodology it is argued that the examined theories are still valid even nowadays because their theoretical essence (or hard core in the Lakatosian research program) has not been refuted yet. Nevertheless, the hard core of the theories determines their very specific character which puts forward the importance of the factors labelled in the Lakatosian framework as an external history of a science. These factors organized according to the Mehtas criteria of so called strong idea are, especially in the social sciences, decisive for how a theoretical construct is accepted in a broader non-academic context. It is demonstrated that both theories fulfill all criteria to be very influential in practice, although the idea of clash of civilizations is even more powerful in this respect. The specific features of all theories are illustrated on two case studies: Union of South American Nations and Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Firstly, the selection of these case studies is justified and secondly, the anomalies in terms of the Lakatosian methodology are identified and then explained. There have been found no unexplainable anomalies, which practically confirms the validity of both research programs on one side, on the other side it facilitates a better assessment of the studied theories in a sense of their interpretative scope and possibilities.
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