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Analysis of influence of fundamental news on currency pair movements
Kušnírová, Jana ; Fičura, Milan (advisor) ; Mazáček, David (referee)
The Diploma Thesis deals with influence of announcing economic indicators on currency exchange rate AUD/USD. The Thesis focuses on fundamental news announced in Australia, USA and China, as these play a significant role in forming of analyzed currency exchange rate. The first part includes general description of fundaments, explanation of investor's psychology, description of world's most important banks, because the financial world waits for their announcements and reacts upon them. Next subchapter of thesis focuses on central bank of Australia and its monetary policy. The research itself is situated in the second part of the thesis, containing testing the influence of fundamental news on logarithmic return of exchange rate AUD/USD, using linear regression analysis. The objective of this part is to find out what is the influence of news on exchange rate return of AUD/USD. The last part examines whether investing strategies based on announcing fundamental news can bring profit to the investor or the efficient market theory will be confirmed.
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Comprehensive hedging of stock portfolio
Kábrt, Tomáš ; Mandel, Martin (advisor) ; Houštecký, Martin (referee)
This diploma thesis is devoted to the problem of creating a portfolio of shares. First part is focused on the characterization of shares - classes of shares and rights associated with them. The second chapter compares the Efficient market theory and Behavioral approach, as the two opposing schools of thought. The third chapter gradually introduces fundamental analysis, from the global analysis through the analysis of an industry to the analysis of a particular company. Furthermore, this work focuses on the Value investment approach, that is based on fundamental analysis. On the basis of several criteria are particular stocks selected to the portfolio. The intensity of these criteria is then tested in the relationship with the resulting number of selected stocks. The conclusion of the fourth chapter is devoted to the issue of discounts and premiums that are trying to take into account specific factors of securities, which should be reflected into their prices.
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Speculative bubbles in financial markets
Roček, Jindřich ; Brada, Jaroslav (advisor) ; Kubát, Max (referee)
The bachelor thesis explores the phenomenon of speculative bubbles in financial markets. The aim is to define possible causes of speculative bubbles, and specify circumstances under which they can be prevented. The first chapter explains the essence of the examined phenomenon. In the following chapter, two theoretical approaches to the formation of asset prices in markets are explained, the efficient market theory and behavioral finance. The third chapter analyses causes, coarse and collapse of each individual bubble. The work uses twelve samples of asset price bubbles from history to meet the objectives. The final chapter examines the influence of government intervention and monetary policy on the formation of bubbles and proposes stemming recommendations for the responsible authority. The considerable complexity of the phenomenon and a large number of factors influencing price movements means that bubbles cannot be quantified ex ante. Given the current market conditions it is reasonable to expect further occurence of asset price bubbles in financial markets.
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Foreign Exchange trading – theoretic solutions, practical experience
Hladík, Lukáš ; Makovský, Petr (advisor) ; Pošta, Vít (referee)
Main goal of this bachelor thesis is to summarize both theoretical and empirical approaches to FOREX trading. Moreover we were interested in the most modern trading strategies. At first we presented the theory of Market Efficiency hypothesis which is the most discussed theory among the FOREX market theories and practice. More the Market Efficiency hypothesis is the theoretical basis explaining the financial market mechanism. At second there are the classical approaches presented. These are the technical, fundamental and even psychological financial market analysis. In the empirical part we have analyzed the relation between the spot exchange rate EUR/CZK and forward rate. The forward rate is said to be an unbiased predictor of future spot exchange rate. In conclusion we discussed presented trading strategies which optimally utilized are able to earn above average profit rate.
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The Analysis of Selected Stock Market Investment Strategies
KÁCHOVÁ, Veronika
This diploma thesis was aimed at analysing the investment strategies on the American stock market. The main aim was to evaluate the market efficiency, to analyse various strategies and to select the most appropriate one according to the assessed form of the market efficiency. Firstly, the weak-form efficiency was validated by correlation and runs tests. Subsequently, the methods of technical and fundamental analysis were applied. The final part is focused on creating the investment portfolio, which is also considered the most suitable strategy.
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Spekulativní bubliny na kapitálových trzích
Stoklásek, Libor
This diploma thesis focuses on market anomalies, which are generally known as speculative bubbles. The work is performed in both theoretical and practical form. Theoretical part deals with the functioning of the capital markets, regulation and supervision, causes and consequences of speculative bubbles, basic approaches of efficient market theory and psychological analysis. The main part of this work and its goal is based on partial causal analysis of selected speculative bubbles, to give specific recommendations to regulators, financial intermediaries and individual investors to prevent and mitigate the consequences of the bubble bursting.
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Current models of liquid financial markets
Grosu, Iulia ; Stádník, Bohumil (advisor) ; Pumprová, Zuzana (referee)
The aim of this paper is to provide a comprehensive overview of selected current models of liquid financial markets, namely to explain their basic principles, assess their strengths and deficiencies and compare them with each other. The thesis is divided into six chapters. The first five chapters focus on the theoretical description of five different models, including their assumptions, the resulting consequences and, where possible, their mathematical formulation. The particular chapters also examine the major problems of the models and provide clear summaries and conclusions. Specifically, this paper discusses the efficient market hypothesis, models of behavioral finance, technical analysis, changing volatility models and dynamic feedback models. The last chapter compares the particular models.
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Financial market anomalies
Uherek, Jiří ; Havlíček, David (advisor) ; Janda, Karel (referee)
The bachelor thesis is focused on the most known financial markets anomalies. In the first part the efficient market hypothesis is described as traditional theory of finance. The most known financial markets anomalies are listed and analyzed in the second part of this thesis. In this part is also offered an explanation of these anomalies from the point of view of behavioral finance. The final section analyses particular anomaly -- the weekend effect. The analysis confirmed the occurrence of weekend effect on different markets. The conclusion based on research of several trading strategies is that there is not possible to gain excess return from knowledge of weekend effect. The analysis also confirmed the change of return patterns in last decade.
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The Monday effect and The January effect on selected stock markets
Skřiváček, Petr ; Veselá, Jitka (advisor)
This bachelor thesis is focused on the efficient market hypothesis and selected anomalies on capital markets. The first part deals with the efficient market hypothesis, the second and the third part contains testing of the monday effect and the january effect on selected stock markets. The goal of my thesis is to describe the efficient market hypothesis, test the monday effect on selected stock indexes and the january effect on selected stocks and index of Prague stock exchange.
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Theory of behavioral finance
Vopasek, Luboš ; Kuncl, Martin (advisor)
Theory of behavioral finance combines psychology and finance theory. Main goal of thesis is to describe basic psychological factors influencing economic and financial behaviour. Thesis also focuses on so-called financial puzzles which are empirical phenomenons inconsistent with traditional finance theory such as efficient market hypothesis.
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