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Strategies of resolution of the Armenia-Azerbaijan Conflict by Participating States and Key Outside Actors
Kuľková, Miroslava ; Ditrych, Ondřej (advisor) ; Střítecký, Vít (referee)
Master thesis "Strategy of Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict resolution by participating states and key external actors"deals with the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan, in the center of which lies the dispute about the Nagorno Karabakh. Using qualitative analysis of grand strategy of Armenia and Azerbaijan and grand strategies of key regional and external stakeholders it uncovers interests, objectives and postures of the players in their strategic environment. On the basis of comprehensive analysis of the grand strategies I assess their effectiveness in relation to fulfillment of the state's goals and also the role, which conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan plays in their strategy. In theoretical part I present short overview of the evolution of the concept of grand strategy and also operationalization of assessment of the strategies. In the second chapter I describe the historical background of south Caucasus, which is crucial for understanding of the conflictive nature of some interstate states in the region. In the third chapter I analyze grand strategies of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Turkey, Russia, USA and EU. In the last chapter I summarize the effectiveness and relevance of chosen strategies.
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Analysis of relations of the South Caucasus countries
Makovský, Pavel ; Jelen, Libor (advisor) ; Uchočová, Michaela (referee)
Pavel Makovský: Analýza vztahů jihokavkazských států Abstrakt The South Caucasus is very heterogeneous and dynamic region. In the area are conflicts not only between Christianity and Islam, but also major geopolitical actors. The world power is interested in this area thanks to exploitation of oil, natural gas and pipeline from Azerbaijan. The main aim of the bachelor thesis is to analyze the interrelationships of all three states, which is based on principles of liberal-idealist tradition. This thesis is focused on the economic power and interdependence of foreign trade, the intensity and the results of international meetings of politicians or the involvement of transnational institutions and their benefits. Each state takes to its neighbors totally different attitude and because of it are the resulting relationships quite different. Diversity of these states encourages orientation on the superpowers and institutions. These interests puts their potential partners against each other. Instability of the region confirms the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan, which is still actual, because there were mutual armed clashes even in April 2016. Keywords: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, South Caucasus, liberal-idealist tradition of international relations, geopolitics
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The Foreign Policy and Statehood Issues of Nagorno Karabakh. Case Study of the Quasi-state
Křikava, Filip ; Slačálek, Ondřej (advisor) ; Suchý, Štěpán (referee)
The objective of this thesis is to determine whether Nagorno-Karabakh can act autonomously with respect to internal and external sovereignty and whether a sense of Nagorno-Karabakh identity exists. The subject will be examined as a single case study with the application of the concept of weak states to the quasi-state Nagorno-Karabakh. The paper will first review the historical development of relations among Azerbaijan, Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh. It will then focus on the foreign policy and the internal structure of Nagorno-Karabakh, presenting an analysis of its constitution as well as electoral and party systems. Furthermore, the issue of Nagorno-Karabakh identity will be explored. The conclusion of the thesis aims to evaluate the extent to which Nagorno-Karabakh is capable of acting autonomously. Key words Nagorno Karabakh, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Nagorno Karabakh conflict, Quasi-State, South Caucasus, Armenian Foreign Policy
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Millennium Development Goals: Comparison and Analysis of Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia
Bunatyan, Hayk ; Cahlík, Tomáš (advisor) ; Chytilová, Julie (referee)
This thesis analyses three South Caucasus countries: Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. The main point of analysis is the eight Millennium Development goals created by United Nations, during Summit on September 8, 2000. Each of the countries will be analyzed individually and then compared with each other to see the strong and weak points of each of the countries in the process of reaching the eight MDG goals. I will try to include all-important factors, which may play role in distinguishing those points. The main goal of my thesis is to prove and try to show that my hypotheses, which are mentioned below in the thesis proposal are really actual and might benefit the South Caucasus region.
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Oil Boom in Baku - The Beginning of Oil Extraction in the Caspian Region
Dostalík, Igor ; Dilbazi, Eltay (advisor) ; Gombár, Eduard (referee)
This bachelor's thesis is focusing on the beginnings of the oil industry in today's Azerbaijan, which are found in the 19th century. The thesis itself is trying to tell the story of almost forgotten era in the history of Azeri capital Baku and main protagonists connected with so called "Oil boom" of Baku. This oil rush contributed to Russia's position as a number one producer of crude oil before the World War I. The thesis is focusing on number of technological developments as well. The first chapter tells the story of the oil industry in the years before the privatization. The subsequent chapters are dealing with companies of Nobel brothers, the Rothschild family and with Oil barons of Baku. The last chapter is focusing on the socio-political upheaval, which caused the end of the "Oil boom". The thesis itself is trying to demonstrate the positive contributions of this era for the world's oil industry and the city of Baku as well.
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The Impact of Oil Prices on Macroeconomic Indicators in Azerbaijan and Georgia
Karimov, Farhad ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Kraicová, Lucie (referee)
Using a multivariate vector autoregression (VAR) approach, this paper investigates the relationships between oil price and macroeconomic indicators of closely interrelated developing economies of oil exporting Azerbaijan and oil importing Georgia based on monthly time series from January 2001 to November 2012. The model is estimated for each country separately and the results are object for comparison. The empirical evidence suggests that oil price has significant effects on macroeconomy in both countries. In particular, these effects are positive for all 3 macroeconomic variables on the example of Azerbaijan. On the example of Georgia, these effects are positive for GDP and inflation rate, and, negative for exchange rate. On the other hand, macroeconomic indicators of Azerbaijan fail to affect oil price level.
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The Relevance of Azerbaijan and Georgia in New Energy Geopolitics
Dvořáková, Tereza ; Střítecký, Vít (advisor) ; Plechanovová, Běla (referee)
The submitted thesis called "The Relevance of Azerbaijan and Georgia in New Energy Geopolitics" deals with the topic of perception of energy security from the perspective of the European Union with special emphasis put on two southern Caucasian countries - Azerbaijan and Georgia. The purpose of this thesis is to analyse the topic by means of the constructivist approach. The theoretical framework is based on the redefined theory of securitization. The methodological basis is represented by the discursive analysis of the official documents issued by the European Union, embedded in the context of European Neighbourhood Policy and the Eastern Partnership initiative respectively whilst taking into consideration the external influence of the Russian Federation in the time period of approximately ten years, i.e. from 2003, when the European Neighbourhood was established, up to the present. The main objective of the submitted thesis is to assess the perception of energy security from the point of view of the European Union and to identify key contextual links and discursive themes that dominated the political discourse of the European Union in particular moments of the respective period.
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Constructing Nagorno-Karabakh: a diachronic discourse analysis
Davidson White, Imogen ; Aslan, Emil (advisor) ; Horák, Slavomír (referee)
In over 20 years of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, there has been no significant progress towards a peaceful agreement. It has been argued that there is not enough incentive for leaders to agree to a compromise and that the citizens are not ready to accept one. In this context, the way the conflict and the enemy are described in public discourse is important not only because it represents the viewpoints of those producing the discourse but because it can have a real effect on public opinion. This paper examines discourse on Azerbaijan and the future of Nagorno-Karabakh in an official newspaper, showing that distrust of Azerbaijan and rigid expectations about the future of Nagorno-Karabakh are dominant.
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Energy profile of the Republic of Azerbaijan: recent developments and their impact on the European Union's energy security
Hajiyev, Shahmar ; Horák, Slavomír (advisor) ; Žídková, Markéta (referee)
This thesis will focus on Azerbaijan's oil and gas industry; how the country uses its energy revenues within its economy; how it avoids economic pathologies such as the "Dutch Disease"; Azerbaijan's role within the Caspian Basin, and finally, the European Union's energy security and how Azerbaijan's energy resources can impact it. The Republic of Azerbaijan is a natural resource-rich country, and uses its energy resources as a means of socio-economic advancement and stability. Recent developments within the country's natural gas sector have allowed Azerbaijan to become a net gas exporter. The EU's growing demand for energy resources illustrates how important it is for states to have access to secure, stable, and diverse sources of energy. Energy resource exploration and the subsequent export of these products to international markets play a crucial role for the Republic of Azerbaijan's economy. Therefore, this thesis will first provide a brief evaluation of the history of Azerbaijan's energy sector; an overview of the current situation and recent developments; and explore how energy revenues are being distributed in the economy. It will define the interests of other important actors such as Russia, Turkey and the USA; and finally, it will assess the EU energy security, the role of Azerbaijan as the...
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Population forecast of the Republic of Azerbaijan for the period 2009-2050
Verdiyeva, Naila ; Burcin, Boris (referee) ; Kučera, Tomáš (advisor)
The main purpose of the study was to produce a population forecast by sex and one-year age groups for the Republic of Azerbaijan for the period 2009-2050. The forecasting process consisted from the several stages, which are included in the general structure of the production process of a forecast. During the data analysis, a number of methods were applied: redistributional methods of intensities, method of reconstruction abridge life tables into complete life tables, application of the Kannisto method to describe mortality in the old ages. The estimated one-year intensities were utilized in the current trends analysis serving as a background for forecasting the parameters of the cohort-component projection model. During the population forecasting the cohort-component projection model was used and population was forecasted in three scenarios (variants). Underlying assumptions were based on analysis of the recent demographic trends and an assessment of their implications for future changes. Keywords: forecast, population development, Azerbaijan
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