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Building Societies in Low Interest Rate Environment
Hanzlík, Petr ; Džmuráňová, Hana (advisor) ; Baniar, Matúš (referee)
The aim of this thesis is to analyse the impact of low interest rate environment in the Czech Republic in recent years on the sector of building societies as a specific segment of the financial market. First part of the thesis consists of description of main characteristics of building savings and building societies, e.g. their historical development, with special focus on main types of risk the building societies face. In the second part the impact of changing market interest rate on outstanding volumes of deposits in building societies is analysed. The analysis is conducted through simple time series models estimated by OLS. Final part includes comparison of demand for building savings loans with demand for mortgages as well as consideration of the development of profitability of the sector of building societies in recent years. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
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Contractual terms aimed at the protection of a lending institution in the area of loans provided to corporations
Bártíková, Marta ; Liška, Petr (advisor) ; Rozehnal, Aleš (referee)
The thesis is focused on the analysis of legislation concerning loans and usage of contractual undertakings for the purpose of protection of the credit institution in the field of loans provided to corporations. Loan represent an economic tool that enables to provide a temporarily unused financial sources to another subject based on agreed terms and returnable character for the consideration in the form of interest payment. Corporation represent a form of legal person that is based on organized association of persons (physical and legal). The credit institution is exposed to a number of risks in relation to loans business. In the forefront it is exposed to the credit risk of non-payment of the debt by the debtor at maturity date mainly because of factual inability (deficient sources) to repay the debt. The credit institution is next to the credit risk exposed to other risks - liquidity risk, market risks (interest and exchange rate risk) and risk of changes of legislation (regulatory environment). Analysis of applicable contractual undertakings for the purpose of reduction of credit and other risks represent the main focus of the thesis. The thesis is in this context focused also on the economic aspects next to the legal issues, especially risk analysis beforehand of the application of the...
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Impacts of European Bailout Programs on SMEs Distress rate
Tóthová, Simona ; Parrák, Radovan (advisor) ; Schneider, Ondřej (referee)
Master Thesis - Simona Tothova Abstract This thesis empirically investigates impact of countries' bailouts on probability of SME segment distress. The impact is examined by multi-period logit model where dependent variable is distress rate and explanatory variables includes self-constructed bailout variable, several binary predictors and firm-specific and macroeconomic control variables. The hypotheses are tested on dataset for period from 2005 to 2013 including observations from seven European countries which received financial assistance program (bailout) from Troika. Every bailout from Troika comes with the requirement for austerity measures and our results suggest that impact of bailouts on SMEs probability of distress are depended on the success of application in individual countries and the impacts are more positive in non euro-zone countries. Keywords Bailout, Financial crisis, Credit risk, SME segment, Distress rate Author's e-mail tothova.simona@gmail.com Supervisor's e-mail rado.parrak@gmail.com
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Probability of default modelling using macroeconomic factors
Zsigraiová, Monika ; Seidler, Jakub (advisor) ; Rippel, Milan (referee)
The thesis evaluates relationship between probability of default of non-financial corporations and households and evolution of macroeconomic environment. This work contributes to the literature of credit risk proving importance of macroeconomic variables in determining the PDs both on aggregate level and for sector of non-financial corporations and sector of households in the Czech Republic. Evaluation of an impact of the recent financial crisis on the PDs are done by employing latent factor model and FAVAR model on monthly data of non-performing loans and other macroeconomic variables covering the period 01/2002-06/2013. Finally, an ability to forecast and fit the data of FAVAR model and one factor latent model are compared. The comparison indicates that latent factor model should be more appropriate than FAVAR model.
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Loan Book Credit Risk Stress Testing - Survey on Practice in the Czech Republic
Argayová, Šárka ; Pečená, Magda (advisor) ; Kubíček, Martin (referee)
Stress testing is a general term for framework that assesses possible impact of an adverse shock on the financial health and a capital adequacy of a bank, other financial institution or the whole financial system. Because credit risk is typically the most important risk of a bank and many international surveys describe the credit risk stress testing as one of the least developed, it became the main topic of this thesis. Credit risk stress testing methods developed in the last years very dynamically especially thanks to the requirements on stress testing under the Basel II regulatory framework and a fact that further improvement of these methods is expected to ensure higher financial stability of institutions and financial sector to adverse shocks and enable to withstand severe crisis. The thesis concentrates on the micro level stress tests that are run by each individual bank. It describes the whole credit risk stress testing procedure, Basel II regulatory requirements, the importance of this framework for an institution and offers examples of possible stress testing methods and scenarios. The first significant contribution to the topic is a survey on practice in the mayor Czech banks that analyzes whether they are influenced in their credit risk stress testing framework by their parents or the...
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The Management of Credit Risk SME Segment
Ježek, Michal ; Ulrich, Milan (advisor) ; Stanislav, Stanislav (referee)
Diploma thesis Credit risk management of SME segment is engaged in the credit process in the segment of entrepreneurs and small business owners, and also part of the segment of the public and nonprofit sectors in an existing bank operating in the Czech market. In the theoretical part there are defined basic approaches in bank risk management and their divisions. Follows overview of the different approaches. Another part is more detail devoted to credit risk. Credit risk is then solved by the credit case, incl. analysis of the credit approval process. Emphasis is also placed on the rating process by which the credit approval begins and ends.
The practical part of the work is focused on the analysis of product portfolio of the bank. The work deals with various credit products of the banks in this segment, in terms of supportability, delinquency, and overall risk. The second part is an analysis of the portfolio in terms of individual sectors, where are evaluated selected risky and less risky sectors.
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Credit Risk Measurement in Manufacturing Industry Companies in the Czech Republic
Karas, Michal ; Dohnal, Mirko (referee) ; Hrvolová, Božena (referee) ; Myšková, Renáta (referee) ; Režňáková, Mária (advisor)
The purpose of this doctoral thesis is to create a new bankruptcy prediction model and also to design how to use this model for the purposes of credit risk measuring. The starting-point of this work is the analysis of traditional bankruptcy models. It was found out that the traditional bankruptcy model are not enough effective in the current economic conditions and it is necessary to create a new ones. Based on the identified deficiencies of the traditional models a set of two new model series was created. The first series of the created models is based on the use of parametric methods, and the second one is based on the use of newer nonparametric approach. Moreover, a set of factors which are able to identify an imminent bankruptcy was analyzed. It was found, that significant signs of imminent bankruptcy can be identified even five years before the bankruptcy occurs. Based on these findings a new model was created. This model incorporates variables of static and even dynamic character for bankruptcy prediction purposes. The overall classification accuracy of this model is 92.27% of correctly classified active companies and 95.65% of correctly classified bankrupt companies.
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The evaluation of the client's creditworthiness
Ivašyna, Viktoria ; Cibulka, Jakub (advisor) ; Rajl, Jiří (referee)
The main aim of this bachelor thesis is to introduce some methods that use banks to rate the creditworthiness of their clients as an ability to repay a loan. This thesis focuses on the creditworthiness of a legal entity. In the theoretical part of thesis it is defined a concept of risk and it is explained a credit risk as well. Furthermore, there are presented some credit registers in Czech republic and rating (external and internal). In the chapter on internal rating models there are described the indicators of financial analysis which are used by credit analysts while assesing the creditworthiness of companies. In the practical part of my work stated methods are applied to the company Karlovarské minerální vody, a. s., the results are compared with average values in the industry and in the conclusion it is declared a recommendation whether bank can give the company credit.
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