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Bankruptcy prediction model
Kratochvilová, Monika ; Bartoš, Vojtěch (referee) ; Karas, Michal (advisor)
This diploma thesis is focused on the evaluation of the efficiency of selected bankruptcy models in the Czech Republic. In the theoretical part the basic terminology and methodology of bankruptcy models creation are introduced. In addition are mentioned, model constraints, an overview of the indicators used, and information about model accuracy. This part also presents analyzed models and methods of assessing the reliability of bankruptcy models. In the practical part, the reliability of selected bankruptcy models is evaluated and a new bankruptcy model is built.
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Non-financial causes of bankruptcies of small and medium-sized enterprises
Doležalová, Eva ; Koráb, Vojtěch (advisor)
My dissertation thesis deals with new non-financial causes of bankruptcies of small and medium-sized enterprises. The origin of the idea is based on considerations of leading experts on Czech insolvency law, who believe that the financial tightness, which leads to bankruptcy, is necessarily preceded by anomalies in non-financial areas. Research questions for confirming appointed hypotheses have been addressed directly to bankruptcy managers, insolvency administrators and owners of the South Moravia region companies, which have become insolvent. Innovations and consistent attitude towards them, the number of members and their function in the management of the enterprise, employees who are familiar with the visions and plans of business and outsourcing are defined as key areas for the function of a small and medium enterprise. My dissertation thesis offers a rapid test in corporate health with regard to the hypothesis identified in a particular company ond it offers a detection whether the company is healthy, immunocompromised or sick. The thesis also offers the following use of recommended remedies.
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Risk Management in the Company
Hobza, Tomáš ; Kopřiva, Jan (referee) ; Bartoš, Vojtěch (advisor)
The diploma thesis focuses on the problematics of the risk management, especially on the management accountability for the breach of the obligations related to corporate governance and breach of obligations in the connection with bankruptcy proceedings, in particular the obligation to file a bankruptcy.
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Bankruptcy Prediction Modelling in Construction Business
Srbová, Pavla ; Kuběnka,, Michal (referee) ; Karas, Michal (advisor)
The diploma thesis is aimed at creating a bankruptcy model for companies of the construction industry in the Czech Republic by using discriminant analysis. In the theoretical part, the concept of bankruptcy model is defined; this part is focused on the inclusion of bankruptcy models in economics, a look into their history, a description of selected models and a brief characteristic of the construction industry. In the practical part, the reliability of selected bankruptcy models is counted and a new bankruptcy model is built.
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Decision making based on partially known decision trees
Poláček, Tomáš ; Dostál, Petr (referee) ; Koutský, Jaroslav (referee) ; Váchal, Jan (referee) ; Dohnal, Mirko (advisor)
There is a wide range of different algorithms for insolvency prediction. The complex concept of insolvency proceedings from the point of view of both parties (debtor versus creditor) and from the point of view of the macroeconomics in this dissertation is new. It is often very difficult to generate forecasts using numerical quantifiers and traditional statistical methods. The reason is the lack of input data. Therefore, the work uses trend analysis tools based on the least information intensive quantifiers, ie trends, increasing, constant, and decreasing. A trend model solution is a set of scenarios where a set of variables is quantified by these trends. All possible transitions between the scenarios are generated and plotted in transition graphs. The oriented transition graph has as a node a set of scenarios, and as a branch the transitions between the scenarios. The given path through the transition graph describes any possible future and past behavior of the insolvency system being investigated. The Transition graph is a complete list of trend-based forecasts. The heuristics for determination of the payoff values from the insolvency proceedings applicable to the decision tree tools and the generated transition graphs from trend analyzes are also presented and used in the thesis. A nine-dimensional model serves as a case study. Vague variables are used in models that may have a major impact on the entire insolvency process, eg greed level and political situation.
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The current effectivness of bankruptcy prediction models in the conditions of Czech Republic
Kratochvilová, Monika ; Bartoš, Vojtěch (referee) ; Karas, Michal (advisor)
This bachelor thesis is aimed on evaluation of effectiveness of selected bankruptcy models in the Czech Republic environment. In the theoretical part are introduced analyzed models and methods used to model analysis. Here is explained the concept of bankruptcy, its origin and history, the definition of financial analysis and its methods. This section also describes a description of selected bankruptcy models and their limited reporting ability. In the practical part, the reliability of selected models is first evaluated and subsequently changes are proposed to improve reliability
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The Optimalization of Debts Recovery Procedure
Poláchová, Jana ; Lahoda, Miroslav (referee) ; Musilová, Helena (advisor)
Thesis pursue an aim to introduce reader to problem of unsettled debts, outline way of debts recovering at company ORKÁN plus, s.r.o. (L.t.d.) and draw up system of debts recovering procedure apllicable to consulting companies. Theoretic part of thesis defines a debt, shows certain stages of debt lifetime, and deals with 1) comparison of debts recovery procedure through court process (soud) and through (exekutor) 2) comparison of two basic ways of execution of a decision Analytic part of thesis consist of brief introduction of ORKÁN plus, s.r.o. (L.t.d.) company, analysis of present debts filing system at this company, then analysis of debts amortization and adjusting entries creation from tax and accounting standpoint, as well as analysis of company finance stability with regard to overdue debts. Part called „own proposed solutions“ contents recommended procedures of debts recovery and suggested improvement of present system of debts recovery procedure.
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The use of qualitative modeling in solving problems associated with external credit rating
Krejčíř, Jaroslav ; Kulhánek, Lumír (referee) ; Dohnal, Mirko (referee) ; Myšková, Renáta (referee) ; Rejnuš, Oldřich (advisor)
The doctoral dissertation studies applications of the methods of qualitative modelling to solve problems associated with external credit ratings. Qualitative modelling is a tool which can solve tasks under shortage of relevant information items. Correlation analysis is used if relevant data sets are available and complement the qualitative analysis. External credit rating assessments are closely related to possibilities of insolvency of business entities and the subsequent bankruptcies. Mutual interlinks of bankruptcy probabilities and qualitative models are presented in details. Two specific models are given. Due to the adopted legislative measures were also tested match of the ratings from a variety of external credit rating agencies using cluster and correlation analysis. The above mentioned results are used to develop a qualitative model of external credit ratings, which is the main outcome of this dissertation. The results of model scenarios of assessment of the influence of regulation external credit rating on the business entity, investors, as well as regulatory authorities are presented in details.
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