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Forecasts of the public debt for the Czech Republic
Sentivany, Daniel ; Janský, Petr (advisor) ; Seman, Vojtěch (referee)
Main goal of this thesis is to forecast future trajectory of the public debt level of the Czech Republic when taking into account ongoing fiscal reforms of the government and the after- math of the global financial crisis. A short survey of existing literature concerning fiscal austerity is presented in the first part, followed by the further motivation for the forecast- ing of the public debt level. Second part of thesis focuses mainly on the most important question, which is sustainability of the debt. We found out, that the public debt of the Czech Republic is clearly unsustainable, we also calculated so called fiscal gap to determine the amount needed to sustain it. The last third part contains numerous scenarios showing the future development of the public debt of the Czech Republic starting the year 2003, up to the year 2060. According to our results when assuming that no strict fiscal reforms will be introduced by the government in the following decades, we found that the level of the debt in the year 2060 will exceed 260% of GDP. Keywords: public debt; fiscal gap; public deficit; public budgets; public debt forecast; sustainability; debt consolidation; debt management Author's e-mail: sentivany.daniel@seznam.cz Supervisor's e-mail: jansky@fsv.cuni.cz
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Development and Debt Management in the Czech Republic
Kupka, Ondřej ; Votava, Libor (advisor) ; Vopátek, Jiří (referee)
The aim of the diploma thesis is to analyze the development of the government debt in the Czech Republic, in particular in terms of its structure, the assessment of the sustainability of the current government debt level and the assessment of the setting and operation of debt management in the Czech Republic, in comparison with the recommendations of important international institutions. Used will work primarily analytical, synthetic and comparative methods. The first chapter introduces the theoretical definition of the concepts of public debt, including its causes, impacts and forms of coverage. Subsequently, the thesis deals with the theoretical approaches in the sphere of governement debt management. The next chapters assess the development of the government debt in the Czech Republic, its structure, institutional solution and overall debt management. Finally is evaluated the sustainability of the Czech Republic's current indebtedness and realized the comparison of debt management with IMF and World Bank recommendations.
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Forecasts of the public debt for the Czech Republic
Sentivany, Daniel ; Janský, Petr (advisor) ; Seman, Vojtěch (referee)
Main goal of this thesis is to forecast future trajectory of the public debt level of the Czech Republic when taking into account ongoing fiscal reforms of the government and the after- math of the global financial crisis. A short survey of existing literature concerning fiscal austerity is presented in the first part, followed by the further motivation for the forecast- ing of the public debt level. Second part of thesis focuses mainly on the most important question, which is sustainability of the debt. We found out, that the public debt of the Czech Republic is clearly unsustainable, we also calculated so called fiscal gap to determine the amount needed to sustain it. The last third part contains numerous scenarios showing the future development of the public debt of the Czech Republic starting the year 2003, up to the year 2060. According to our results when assuming that no strict fiscal reforms will be introduced by the government in the following decades, we found that the level of the debt in the year 2060 will exceed 260% of GDP. Keywords: public debt; fiscal gap; public deficit; public budgets; public debt forecast; sustainability; debt consolidation; debt management Author's e-mail: sentivany.daniel@seznam.cz Supervisor's e-mail: jansky@fsv.cuni.cz
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The Czech Republic's Debt Financing: Causes and Risks of the Current Situation on the Bond Markets
Švadleňák, Michal ; Pavelek, Petr (advisor) ; Pekárek, Štěpán (referee)
This thesis is focused on the comparison of methods of financing budget deficits and national debt management in the Czech Republic with other OECD countries in the context of the current situation on the global financial market. The first part describes the methods of financing budget deficits in the Czech Republic which are compared with selected OECD countries. The second part is aimed at the impact of foreign exchange interventions of the Czech National Bank on the domestic bond market and it is compared with negative interest rates policy. The last part analyses the impact of the Public Sector Purchase Programme on the Czech Republic's bond market. The thesis implies that besides other factors, foreign exchange intervention of the Czech National Bank have an impact on the current situation on the bond market. While the impact of the programme PSPP has not yet proved.
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Financial Analysis of the Selected Company in the Field of Manufacturing Industry
Zychová, Simona ; Kudela, Tomáš (referee) ; Křížová, Zuzana (advisor)
Bachelor's thesis on the topic „Financial Analysis of the Selected Company in the Field of Manufacturing Industry“ is focused on an identify and assessment of the financial situation of the particular company in the years 2009 – 2013. Identify of the financial situation is achieved calculation of selected methods of financial analysis. In the theoretical part of the thesis, these methods are explained in detail. In conclusion, according the situation is in which the company located , are designed steps possible solutions, which should lead to an improvement of the situation.
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