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ERM II membership - the view of the accession countries
Komárek, Luboš ; Čech, Zdeněk ; Horváth, Roman
This report examines the implications of membership in ERM2. The experience of the present eurozone members with ERM/ERM2 membership shows that none of them faced a significant challenge in the two-year “evaluation” period in terms of the exchange rate stability convergence criterion. This could also be attributable to the stability policies prescribed by the Maastricht Treaty.
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Price convergence: What can the Balassa-Samuelson model tell us?
Holub, Tomáš ; Čihák, Martin
The paper provides a theoretical reference point for discussions on adjustments in price levels and relative prices. The authors present a “nested” model integrating the Balassa–Samuelson model of the real equilibrium exchange rate with a model of accumulation of capital and with the demand side of the economy. Consequently, they show how the model can be generalised to a case of numerous commodities with different degrees of tradability.
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Czech Fiscal Policy: Introductory analysis
Bezděk, Vladimír ; Dybczak, Kamil ; Krejdl, Aleš
The subject of this work are the following questions: What is the size of quasi-fiscal operations and their impact on the overall fiscal balance and public debt in the Czech Republic? Is the recent increase in Czech fiscal deficits fully attributable to the business cycle, or are there non-cyclical factors in place? And last but not least, what are the long-term perspectives of the fiscal system given the size and speed of the expected population ageing process?
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Some exchange rates are more stable than others: short-run evidence from transition countries
Bulíř, Aleš
The paper investigates empirically the endogenous liquidity nexus of exchange rate determination on a sample of four transition economies. It finds evidence in favor of the hypothesis of a nonlinear error correction process vis-à-vis longer-term trend deviations. The results suggest that early and successful exchange-rate market and financial-account liberalization pays off in terms of depth of the market and, hence, faster adjustment of national currencies to short-term shocks to the exchange rate.
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