Original title: Modeling Kyrgyzstan
Authors: Cincibuch, M. ; Kejak, Michal ; Vávra, D. ; Auda, O. ; Aslanyan, Gurgen ; Baksa, D. ; Bečičková, Hana ; Daniš, P. ; Hřebíček, Hynek ; Janjgava, Batlome ; Kacer, R. ; Kameník, O. ; Konopecký, F. ; Lukáč, J. ; Mirzoyan, Armen ; Motl, Tomáš ; Musil, K. ; Plotnikov, S. ; Remo, A. ; Szilágyi, K. ; Vlček, J.
Document type: Research reports
Year: 2013
Language: eng
Abstract: The report consists of three chapters. Chapter 1 - Introduction is concluded with a short description of Kyrgyz economy and some of the stylized facts. The report continues with two chapters. Chapter 2 describes the structural model which lies at the heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the Kyrgyz economy relevant for building the structural model and describes in detail the most distinctive parts of the model. The chapter concludes with an analysis of the model properties and an interpretation of past economic developments in Kyrgyzstan through the lenses of the model. Chapter 3 evaluates how the FPAS performs empirically. The forecasting power is assessed by in-sample comparison with the standard random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison.
Keywords: forecasting and policy analysis system; Kyrgyzstan
Project no.: LF11018 (CEP)
Funding provider: GA MŠk

Institution: Economics Institute AS ČR (web)
Document availability information: Fulltext is available at the institute of the Academy of Sciences.
Original record: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0232290

Permalink: http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-172551


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