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Forecast of Availibility Schools in the City Frýdek-Místek Using Time Series
Zmija, Tomáš ; Nowaková, Ilona (referee) ; Kropáč, Jiří (advisor)
This bachelor thesis is focused on the demographic trend analysis and the analysis of primary schools in Frýdek-Místek. The main objectives is to make a prognosis of how many children will be visiting these schools in the following school years. The thesis also includes theoretical data about time series which are necessary for analysing the chosen indicators and their prognosis for next years. Time series statistical methods are used in this thesis.
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The Study of Inventory Management in Connection with Manufacturing Process
Tieber, Michael ; Klíma, Jan (referee) ; Jurová, Marie (advisor)
This master’s thesis deals with problems of inventory management in the International Repair Centre for Symbol Technologies Czech Republic s.r.o.. Actual inventory management is described with a focus on materials planning, storage and evidence of inventory movements using information database systems. A part of the thesis is also an analysis of inventory categories from several different aspects. The purpose of the master’s thesis is to submit suitable suggestions of how to improve existing inventory management processes.
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Bitcoin volatility estimation
Bařina, Petr-Lev ; Pavláková Dočekalová, Marie (referee) ; Luňáček, Jiří (advisor)
Tato bakalářská práce se zaměřuje na ekonometrické modelování a predikci volatility Bitcoinu. První částí práce je teorie statistických vlastností časových řad a modely interpretující tyto vlastnosti. Praktická část je zaměřena na modelování, predikci a hodnocení přesnosti predikcí. Klíčovými modely jsou model klouzavého průměru, autoregresní model, ARCH a GARCH. Poslední částí je shrnutí výsledků a návrhy na zlepšení.
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Decision making based on partially known decision trees
Poláček, Tomáš ; Dostál, Petr (referee) ; Koutský, Jaroslav (referee) ; Váchal, Jan (referee) ; Dohnal, Mirko (advisor)
There is a wide range of different algorithms for insolvency prediction. The complex concept of insolvency proceedings from the point of view of both parties (debtor versus creditor) and from the point of view of the macroeconomics in this dissertation is new. It is often very difficult to generate forecasts using numerical quantifiers and traditional statistical methods. The reason is the lack of input data. Therefore, the work uses trend analysis tools based on the least information intensive quantifiers, ie trends, increasing, constant, and decreasing. A trend model solution is a set of scenarios where a set of variables is quantified by these trends. All possible transitions between the scenarios are generated and plotted in transition graphs. The oriented transition graph has as a node a set of scenarios, and as a branch the transitions between the scenarios. The given path through the transition graph describes any possible future and past behavior of the insolvency system being investigated. The Transition graph is a complete list of trend-based forecasts. The heuristics for determination of the payoff values from the insolvency proceedings applicable to the decision tree tools and the generated transition graphs from trend analyzes are also presented and used in the thesis. A nine-dimensional model serves as a case study. Vague variables are used in models that may have a major impact on the entire insolvency process, eg greed level and political situation.
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The current effectivness of bankruptcy prediction models in the conditions of Central and Eastern Europe
Honzíček, Štěpán ; Kuběnka,, Michal (referee) ; Karas, Michal (advisor)
Bachelor’s thesis describes issues of bankruptcy risk. It fleshes out key concepts related to bankrupt, introduces financial analysis like a instrument of evaluation enterprise financial situation and specifically deals with prediction bankruptcy models. Metodology of model construction is introduced and ROC curves as an efficiency testing method. Case study makes evaluation of accuracy for five chosen models in sector small and medium enterprises manufacturing industry of central and eastern Europe. Concluding part narrates possibility modification of models for accuracy increase.
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Gold Market Trend Forecast
Šimek, Jan ; Zinecker, Marek (referee) ; Luňáček, Jiří (advisor)
The diploma thesis deals with econometric modelling and gold price forecast. A key factor is the multiple regression model and the ARIMA model. The first part of the diploma thesis contains a theoretical basis. The analytical part deals with modelling of gold market price and subsequent forecasting. Statistical and econometric verification using statistical methods play a very important role. The last part summarizes the results and makes suggestions for improvement.
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Wind shear as a dangerous fenomenon in aviation
Novozámský, Adam ; Jebáček, Ivo (referee) ; Krška, Karel (advisor)
This thesis is about wind shear and its influence on aviation. There is wide theoretical description of wind shear and it’s implemented into aviation practice. There are also methods of observation, forecasting and reporting, for both pilots and meteorologist described. In this thesis, pilots can find useful recommendations for dealing with wind shear during the flight. Every reader can also read about famous aviation accidents and look at models of weather that caused those accidents. At the end of thesis there are analyses of a rawiosonde measurements related to wind shear reports. This whole thesis is focused on increasing awareness of wind shear in aviation from angle of view of both pilots and aviation meteorologist.
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