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Application of Paired comparison method in election research
Lišková, Kristýna ; Jeřábek, Hynek (advisor) ; Krejčí, Jindřich (referee)
Author of these thesis researches the ability Paired comparison method to predict the results in the presidential elections during January 2018 ( the first and the second round). The pair comparison method is based on the assessment of individual candidates in combinations (pairs) where two candidates stand against each other and there is a judge who compares them in all combinations. The author carried out an investigation using three standardized questionnaires. She has applied the method in the first questionnaire and surveyed the actual choice of the respondents in the other two questionnaires. There were 392 respondents who participated in the complete questionnaire surfy and their answers were analyzed and compared with their results of Paired comparison method. The thesis also shows the accuracy of the method and the suitability of the application, as well as the ability to predict the results of undecided voters. The Paired comparison method in prediction of the results of the first round, but was able to estimate the results of the second round. The author concludes that Paired comparison method should be used in several round types of elections or those where two candidates stand against each other. There are also examined the disadvantages and risks of the method.
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Comparison of methodological approaches of election polls used in the Czech Republic
Chábová, Kristýna ; Průšová, Petra (advisor) ; Buriánek, Jiří (referee)
This thesis deals with the issue of pre-election polling and presents an overview of methodological approaches used for their conducting. First, the methods of pre-election polls which are used in the US are presented as well as the recommendations of various professional associations. The core of this work examines the differences of methodological approaches used by Czech agencies (CVVM, Factum Invenio, Median and STEM). This paper also includes the comparison of pre-election polls and the actual election results in the 2010 elections. Finally, the possible causes of failure in the methodology used by the agencies are analyzed. Key words: comparison, pre-election polling
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Interpretation of Pre-election Polls in The Czech Printed Dailies
Tučková, Kateřina ; Nečas, Vlastimil (advisor) ; Vochocová, Lenka (referee)
The diploma thesis Interpretation of Pre-election Polls in The Czech Printed Dailies studyies the ways in which media portrays data from election polls as part of thier news service. The thesis draws from theories of media effects, the research of which indicates a possible influence of media content on the formation of public opinion or even voting behaviour. For this reason, it maz be expected that the media present data in line with certain standards. However, in the Czech Republic, there is no code of conduct that would formulate such requirements. This leads to an ongoing struggle between the research agencies who supply such data and the media who present it to the public, where each party judges the content's quality by different measures. Some of the often criticised errors include misinterpretation of data and an insufficient explanation of the research's background. This paper uses quantitative content analysis to examine 154 articles from Czech printed journals across the three pre-election periods (2010, 2013, 2017) with the aim of determining in which form the results of pre- election polls are presented, and if all necessary data are added. The final analysis looks at the data as a whole as well as examining the trendlines during the studied time period. In conclusion, it evaluates...
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Application of Paired comparison method in election research
Lišková, Kristýna ; Jeřábek, Hynek (advisor) ; Krejčí, Jindřich (referee)
Author of these thesis researches the ability Paired comparison method to predict the results in the presidential elections during January 2018 ( the first and the second round). The pair comparison method is based on the assessment of individual candidates in combinations (pairs) where two candidates stand against each other and there is a judge who compares them in all combinations. The author carried out an investigation using three standardized questionnaires. She has applied the method in the first questionnaire and surveyed the actual choice of the respondents in the other two questionnaires. There were 392 respondents who participated in the complete questionnaire surfy and their answers were analyzed and compared with their results of Paired comparison method. The thesis also shows the accuracy of the method and the suitability of the application, as well as the ability to predict the results of undecided voters. The Paired comparison method in prediction of the results of the first round, but was able to estimate the results of the second round. The author concludes that Paired comparison method should be used in several round types of elections or those where two candidates stand against each other. There are also examined the disadvantages and risks of the method.
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Comparison of methodological approaches of election polls used in the Czech Republic
Chábová, Kristýna ; Průšová, Petra (advisor) ; Buriánek, Jiří (referee)
This thesis deals with the issue of pre-election polling and presents an overview of methodological approaches used for their conducting. First, the methods of pre-election polls which are used in the US are presented as well as the recommendations of various professional associations. The core of this work examines the differences of methodological approaches used by Czech agencies (CVVM, Factum Invenio, Median and STEM). This paper also includes the comparison of pre-election polls and the actual election results in the 2010 elections. Finally, the possible causes of failure in the methodology used by the agencies are analyzed. Key words: comparison, pre-election polling
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Research January 1948 ÚVVM: Topical problem in republic, household size and space heating, class, pre-election survey, leisure time, household equipment. B 69, B 69
Ústav pro výzkum veřejného mínění
Some questions were initiated by the Planning board and international research institution. The questionnaire includes a small pre-election survey and questions concerning current issues and problems of the Republic, monetary reform in USSR, household size and type of heating living space, equipment of household, inclusion in classes and spending of leisure time.
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