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Kvantitativní uvolňování a riziko růstu inflace v USA
Jarošová, Marie
The thesis is focused on quantitative easing, which used the U.S. central bank for the third time in a few years, to deepen the expansionary monetary policy. There is examining the relationship between quantitative easing and inflation, as the sharp rise in inflation is considered a major risk associated with quantitative release an. Relationship between quantitative easing and inflation is observed by means of simple regress analysis (using the OLS) and the moving correlation (rolling correlation) between each wheel QE with regard to the development of mortgage, financial and debt crisis.
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The Czech National Bank and Inflation Targeting as an Instrument of Maintaining Price Stability
Pokorný, Tomáš ; Kohajda, Michael (advisor) ; Sejkora, Tomáš (referee)
Title: The Czech National Bank and Inflation Targeting as an Instrument of Maintaining Price Stability Author: Ing. Tomáš Pokorný Supervisor: doc. JUDr. Michael Kohajda Ph.D. When performing monetary policy, the central bank can follow inflation targeting or other monetary policy rules. Following a rule, the central bank can efficiently stabilize economic development in the long run, because the changes in the mon- etary policy given by the policy rule are included in the rational expectations of agents. It might seem that the consistency of monetary policy is secured by following the policy rule only. The potential discretion, however, remains in the different preferences of the bank board members, which may completely change monetary policy decisions within the given monetary policy rule. Current leg- islation does not prevent this discretion by any means as the decision of bank board members' appointment is awarded to the Czech president exclusively, who can completely disrupt the monetary policy consistency with the previous bank board. The changes in the bank board preferences are analyzed using the GMM method on two subsamples in the period of 1996 Q3 - 2021 Q2. The empirical analysis shows that the Czech National Bank followed its constitutional duty and reacted with its policy rates to the...
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PPI and CPI: What is the relationship?
Červený, David ; Polák, Petr (advisor) ; Havránek, Tomáš (referee)
This bachelor thesis examines the relationship between the PPI and the CPI in the Czech Republic and the euro area. The primary method used in this thesis is the Granger causality test. Granger causality between the price indices is tested for in a bivariate model and also conditional on other variables describing the development of real GDP, a given monetary aggregate and wages. The most apparent conclusion that can be drawn from the empirical results indicates that the PPI Granger-causes the CPI in the Czech Republic and that there is no Granger causality going from the CPI to the PPI in the euro area. These results are consistent with conventional economic theory, which suggests a pass-through effect in the production chain going from producer prices to consumer prices.
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Collection of exercises of financial mathematics for lower secondary school
HRUŠKOVÁ, Veronika
This bachelor´s thesis is focused on exercises and their solutions from financial mathematics. The collection is for the lower secondary school. The starting points for this thesis are the National Financial Education Strategy, Framework Education Programme for primary schools, School Education Programme of selected schools, Maths textbook for the lower secondary school. The first part contains a definition of the concept of financial literacy, as well as an assessment of the current situation of financial literacy. The second part presents exercises that are divided by curriculum. The exercises are aimed at using mathematical operations to work with finances in everyday life. There is a concisely defined theory on each topic.
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Inflation Trends in the Czech Economy 1990-2006 (Documentational Survey)
PROKOPOVÁ, Kateřina
The aim of this bachelor work is to describe the summary documentation of inflation trends from the early 1990s up to present. The first part si presents the inflation primary information, its determination by the Czech National Bank, its stages and forms. There are the rate of inflation characterization and its konds at not least.The secon section is focused into the chronological developnemt of inflation in the Czech Republic divided itno five parts: the transtormation beginning (1990-1993), the trend of prices in 1994-1998, the perion 1999-2001, the inflation progress in 2002-2005 and the first three months of 2006.
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High Frequency Price Index of Construction Materials
Štefl, Josef ; Polák, Petr (advisor) ; Čech, František (referee)
The paper explores the possibilities of using big data in economics in an effort to shift research from a study of statistical samples towards basic populations. To this end, the Construction Materials Price Index was created to capture price level movements in this market segment on weekly basis. This specific field was chosen because, despite its signi- ficance, it has not yet been examined in much detail by the Czech Statistical Office. The underlying index data represent the complete offer of the three most significant Czech eshops with building materials, which is periodically obtained through web scraping. The research took place between October 2021 and June 2022. The nine-month evolu- tion of the index reflects the economic recovery after the covid-19 pandemic, but also the sharp market response after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This bachelor thesis contains a detailed description of the methods used as well as a thorough analysis of the results. JEL classification Keywords Title C43, C55, C80, E31, E37 inflation, high frequency price index, big data, web scraping, construction materials price level High Frequency Price Index of Construction Materials High Frequency Price Index of Construction Materials Josef Štefl
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Central Bank Monitoring - September 2017
Česká národní banka
Most of the central banks under review, including the ECB, are keeping their interest rates at low levels and continuing their unconventional monetary policy programmes. The two exceptions which have already raised interest rates are to be found in North America. The first is the US Fed, which as expected raised its key rate for the second time this year and announced a more exact procedure for reducing its balance sheet. The second is the Bank of Canada, which has also increased its rates twice. With the exception of Switzerland, inflation is above 1% in all the monitored economies, but is still slightly below the inflation target in most cases. Spotlight focuses this time on the problems of the South African economy and the situation of its central bank. In our Selected speech, ECB Executive Board Member Yves Mersch analyses the challenges and opportunities to central banks arising from the current rapid technological development.
Fulltext:  PDF; PDF
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Perceived vs. observed inflation. Perceived inflation in connection with the euro adoption
Klubíčková, Kateřina ; Schwarz, Jiří (advisor) ; Martišková, Monika (referee)
This thesis deals with the difference between observed and perceived inflation. It builds on literature which focuses on perceived inflation and its difference from observed inflation. The thesis broadens existing literature with detailed analysis of factors affecting the difference between observed and perceived inflation (inflation gap) and its size. There are numerous theoretical explanations for the gap increase which followed the euro-changeover. This thesis summarizes these reasons and analyzes what and to what extent affects the size of the inflation gap using data about awareness about the euro among public, macroeconomic (GDP, rate of inflation, rate of unemployment etc.) and social variables (sex, age). Result of the analysis is that the size of the gap is affected particularly by the euro introduction. Extent of this impact differs for men and women, but is very similar across age groups. The impact of HICP and its components in various sectors was in most models larger in periods when countries were using euro as their national currency. Hypothesis stating that the higher is the awareness about the euro among public, the smaller is the inflation gap was confirmed in models considering later waves of the euro introduction.
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Econometric Systems of Equations as a Tool for Financial Data Analysis
Vaverová, Jana ; Zichová, Jitka (advisor) ; Krtek, Jiří (referee)
This thesis deals with analysing multivariate financial and economical data. The first section describes various types of econometric systems of equations, vector autoregression and constucting models based on this theory. The second part deals with analysing the dependence of time series of inflation rates on various macroeconomical indicators and reciprocal dependence of two exchange rates time series. All results were obtained by the Mathematica 8.0 software.
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The Causes of Inflation in Mongolia
Tsendsuren, Sayana ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Vacek, Pavel (referee)
In this thesis, we study the causes of inflation in Mongolia. We estimate a small open economy VAR model for Mongolia. The model comprises of two blocks - China and Mongolia and we impose a block exogeneity restriction in regards with our estimation purpose. We assess domestic and external shock affect on price level of Mongolia using impulse response function and reveal the main contributors to the price variability utilizing the forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD). Therefore, we trace out that the external shocks affect the price significantly in comparison with the domestic shock. In addition, we can say that the price level is very susceptible under the supply side shock.
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