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Spatial point process with interactions
Vícenová, Barbora ; Beneš, Viktor (advisor) ; Zikmundová, Markéta (referee)
This thesis deals with the estimation of model parameters of the interacting segments process in plane. The motivation is application on the system of stress fibers in human mesenchymal stem cells, which are detected by fluorescent microscopy. The model of segments is defined as a spatial Gibbs point process with marks. We use two methods for parameter estimation: moment method and Takacs-Fiksel method. Further, we implement algorithm for these estimation methods in software Mathematica. Also we are able to simulate the model structure by Markov Chain Monte Carlo, using birth-death process. Numerical results are presented for real and simulated data. Match of model and data is considered by descriptive statistics. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
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Methods of modelling and statistical analysis of an extremal value process
Jelenová, Klára ; Volf, Petr (advisor) ; Branda, Martin (referee)
In the present work we deal with the problem of etremal value of time series, especially of maxima. We study times and values of maximum by an approach of point process and we model distribution of extremal values by statistical methods. We estimate parameters of distribution using different methods, namely graphical methods of data analysis and subsequently we test the estimated distribution by tests of goodness of fit. We study the stationary case and also the cases with a trend. In connection with distribution of excesess and exceedances over a threshold we deal with generalized Pareto distribution.
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Cluster point processes in insurance mathematics
Veselá, Veronika ; Pawlas, Zbyněk (advisor) ; Dostál, Petr (referee)
Title: Cluster point processes in insurance mathematics Author: Veronika Veselá Department: Department of Probability and Mathematical Statistics Supervisor: RNDr. Zbyněk Pawlas, Ph.D. Abstract: In the present work we study point processes and their importance in insurance mathematics. With the help of cluster and marked point processes we can describe a model that considers times of claim occurence and times and hei- ghts of corresponding payments. We study two specific models which can be used to predict how much money is needed for claims which happened. The first model is chain ladder in the form of Mack's model. For this model we show chain ladder estimators of development factors, estimates of their variance and their proper- ties. We try to find one-step ahead prediction and multi-step ahead prediction, which we use for calculating prediction of reserves. We shortly review asymptotic properties of the estimators in Mack's model. The second model is the Poisson cluster model. Firstly we define this model and the variables entering the model. Then we devote attention to one-step ahead and multi-step ahead prediction. We also study prediction when some variables have specific distributions. Finally, we use both methods of prediction on simulated data and compare their average relative absolute errors....
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A point process driven by a Gaussian field
Scheib, Karel ; Beneš, Viktor (advisor) ; Šedivý, Ondřej (referee)
The thesis investigates the search for dimension reduction subspace for the Poisson point process driven by a Gaussian random eld. The work describes the method called sliced inverse regression, which is applied to a point process driven by random eld. Its functionality in mentioned context is then proved. This method is in several ways implemented and tested in R software environment on random data. The individual implementations are described and results are then compared with each other.
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Statistical survival analysis and random point processes
Volf, Petr
The paper is devoted to statistical survival analysis, discusses different probabilistic models including the Cox model of regression for the intensity of time to failure. Then, the concept of counting processes in recalled and their models (including Cox regression) is used for characterization of random point processes of repeated events (e.g. failures and repairs).
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