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Traditional Real Estate Portfolio Diversification and Risk Measures: Evidence from the Czech Republic and Slovakia
Müller, Erik ; Streblov, Pavel (advisor) ; Hlaváček, Michal (referee)
This thesis evaluates traditional real estate diversification strategy by region and by property type. Additionally, it provides common risk measures - reduction of total risk and tracking error. The main contribution is twofold. First, it extends the coverage of common real estate research to the area of the Czech Republic and Slovakia. To our knowledge, this is the first study of this kind on the local market. Second, this thesis accounts for non-divisibility of ownership. This is a specific attribute of real estate, which may deteriorate investors' efforts for optimal allocation. Researchers' methods depart from Capital Asset Pricing Model. Evaluation techniques include efficient and pseudo-efficient frontiers, quantiles of total risk and tracking error, both as a function of portfolio size and portfolio value. Main findings include: (i) there is no strictly superior strategy, but there is a difference for specific subcategories, (ii) impartible ownership decreases risk-adjusted performance, this might be partially overcome by leverage, (iii) diversification is costly and index tracking is hardly possible. JEL Classification C22, C61, G12, R33 Keywords real estate diversification, direct investments, risk, ownership non-divisibility Title Traditional Real Estate Portfolio Diversification and...
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What explains different duration of the Great Recession across countries?
Petrů, Vojtěch ; Baxa, Jaromír (advisor) ; Hlaváček, Michal (referee)
The research concerning differences in duration of the Great Recession is limited and inconclusive. We define duration of crisis as the count of years lost due to the crisis, and estimate the determinants of crisis duration on the dataset of 54 developed and developing countries. This thesis contrasts with previous literature by employing Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to accommodate for the large amount of potential explanatory variables and to address model uncertainty. Moreover, an innovative measure of export competitiveness, which accounts for the changes in non-price factors such as quality, is used. The results bring suggestive evidence of positive impact of developed financial markets, high share of private consumption and improvements in export competitiveness. We also find positive effect of fiscal policy stimulus once it is controlled for the feedback loop of uncertainty which appears when heavily indebted countries finance fiscal stimulus through issuance of additional debt. Lastly, it needs to be concluded, that the results are not robust to all prior specifications. In particular, the more restrictive Beta binomial model prior shrinks the statistical significance of aforementioned results heavily. JEL Classification F12, F21, F23, H25, H71, H87 Keywords Great Recession, Crisis duration, Economic...
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