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Efektivnost monetární politiky při nulových sazbách
Mandok, Denis ; Jílek, Josef (advisor) ; Munzi, Tomáš (referee)
This thesis explores efficiency of monetary policy under zero lower bound condition. At first, is defined a role of monetary policy and criteria to judge the effectiveness of monetary policy are introduced. Then reactions of central banks of USA, Japan and Euro zone are explored. Thesis found out that monetary policy can be effective under a condition of zero lower bound. As last is introduced idea how to improve current monetary regime.
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The Czech Republic's Debt Financing: Causes and Risks of the Current Situation on the Bond Markets
Švadleňák, Michal ; Pavelek, Petr (advisor) ; Pekárek, Štěpán (referee)
This thesis is focused on the comparison of methods of financing budget deficits and national debt management in the Czech Republic with other OECD countries in the context of the current situation on the global financial market. The first part describes the methods of financing budget deficits in the Czech Republic which are compared with selected OECD countries. The second part is aimed at the impact of foreign exchange interventions of the Czech National Bank on the domestic bond market and it is compared with negative interest rates policy. The last part analyses the impact of the Public Sector Purchase Programme on the Czech Republic's bond market. The thesis implies that besides other factors, foreign exchange intervention of the Czech National Bank have an impact on the current situation on the bond market. While the impact of the programme PSPP has not yet proved.
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Analysis of Particular Aspects and Risks of Financial and Monetary System of the People's Republic of China
Veitz, Lukáš ; Ševčíková, Michaela (advisor) ; Pekárek, Štěpán (referee)
This thesis analyzes the development of financial system of the People's Republic of China in the period from 1995 to 2015. The thesis is solved in the continuing process of Chinese economy liberalization. Main goal of the thesis is to analyze particular aspects of Chinese financial and monetary system and point out its potential risks as well. To achieve this goal the method of analysis has been chosen, especially system analysis and sector analysis. The thesis shows that one of main risks of the liberalization of Chinese financial sector is especially growing loans volume in its economy which is connected in growing rate of non-productive loans respectively. Next risk is the structure of investors in capital market. Based on findings it is able to say the highest risk of banking sector is connected with growing shadow banking as the alternative financing method. The thesis finds the completing of capital account liberalization and interest rate liberalization to be important too. Main benefit of the thesis except of Chinese financial sector analysis is comparison of different point of views about forecasting of future of the Chinese economy.
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Attempt to analyze the impact of CNBs foreign exchange interventions on the Czech economy
Kos, Oldřich ; Babin, Jan (advisor) ; Čermáková, Klára (referee)
This bachelor thesis - Attempt to analyze the impact of CNBs foreign exchange interventions on the Czech economy - analyze the impact of CNBs foreign exchange intervention executed between November 2013 and December 2015. I used econometric models based on the ordinary least squares method and data of Český statistický úřad, Česká národní banka and Ministerstvo práce a sociálních věcí. The results of these models proved, that foreign exchange interventions had positive impact on GDP a unemployemt. On the other side, failed to achieve 2% inflation target.
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Analýza vztahu kvality bilančních aktiv centrální banky a účinnosti monetární politiky
Lekishvili, Salome ; Mandel, Martin (advisor) ; Tran, Van Quang (referee)
The diploma thesis deals with the issue of financial performance of central banks. Central banking is generally considered as a profitable part of financial system. However, this paper focuses on the loss-making central banks and emphasizes the examples of central banks with large accumulated financial losses. Relationship between the quality of balance sheet assets and financial performance of central banks is closely examined in the thesis. Alongside, it analyses the impact of negative financial performance on the main objectives of central bank, in the role of monetary authority. Effectiveness of monetary policy is conditioned by many factors, among them are independence of central bank, the level of development of financial markets - central bank operates in, analytical skills of employees and etc. However, the case, where financial performance of central bank is discussed in connection with monetary policy performance, is extremely rare. The primary goal of this diploma thesis is to reveal and describe the main ways in which financial performance of the central bank influences monetary policy decisions. It also tries to find out whether there is hidden threat of a damaging impact on the decisions in case the central bank accumulates the negative financial results.
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Central Bank Monitoring - December 2016
Česká národní banka
Most of the central banks under review are maintaining their interest rates at the current low level or considering a further monetary policy easing. For example, Norges Bank is considering lowering its key rate and the Riksbank increasing the volume of purchased bonds. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has lowered the key rate further. The ECB left interest rates unchanged in the previous period but extended its bond purchase programme and adjusted its parameters. On the other hand, the global economy is watching anxiously whether the Fed’s interest rates increase as expected at the close of this year. Spotlight addresses the effect of climate change on the financial sector, including central bank policies. In our Selected speech, member of the Executive Board of the Deutsche Bundesbank Andreas Dombret focuses on the perspectives of business models of commercial banks.
Fulltext:  PDF; PDF
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Global Economic Outlook - February 2017
Česká národní banka
The February issue of Global Economic Outlook presents the regular monthly overview of recent and expected developments in selected territories, focusing on key economic variables: inflation, GDP growth, leading indicators, interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices. In this issue, we tend to explore analytically the effect of (un)conventional monetary policy measures on shadow interest rates in the euro area and the USA. Based on our estimates, we show in this article that the effect of monetary policy measures on shadow rates differs depending on whether they were aimed at stabilising financial markets or further easing monetary conditions. We also indicate how the effects of measures taken by central banks can change depending on the current level of financial stress.
Fulltext: PDF; PDF
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Economic Research Bulletin (2016, No.2). Volume 14, Number 2, November 2016, Financial Cycles and Macroprudential and Monetary Policies
Česká národní banka
Issues connected with the financial cycle have gained prominence in recent decades, as they form the key component of the time dimension of the newly formed macroprudential policies. Analysis of the financial cycle covers a combination of purely theoretical models (explaining different channels of propagation of the financial cycle to the real economy) and practical applications estimating the financial cycle (directly applicable to macroprudential policies such as the setting of countercyclical capital buffers). Financial cycle issues also influence the debate of the interaction between monetary and macroprudential policies. This edition of the Bulletin presents four articles that address financial cycle issues. Two of them are theoretical, one is purely empirical and one covers issues related to the interaction of the different policies conducted within the central bank.
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Monetary Policy of the Czech Republic
Turková, Kateřina ; Toth, Daniel (advisor) ; Zdeněk, Zdeněk (referee)
The thesis is focused on the tools of monetary policy which the central bank uses when she wants to achieve the inflation target. The outcome of this thesis is proposal optimize the tools of monetary policy. The Proposal is based on the analysis of the results of simultaneous econometric model. In this thesis is testing time series by November 2013. At this time the Czech National Bank concluded currency commitment. By this time the central bank is overseeing that the exchange rate is above 27 CZK / EUR. Another objective is evaluating the influence of interventions on the economic development of the country. In this thesis are used secondary data from external sources. In the theoretical part is described of monetary policy, monetary policy instruments and the main objectives of monetary policy. In the practical part is constructed an econometric model. Endogenous variables in the model are logarithms yields exchange rate CZK / EUR and inflation of monetary policy.
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