Original title:
Evaluating the Efficient Market Hypothesis by means of isoquantile surfaces and the Hurst exponent
Authors:
Ivanková, Kristýna ; Krištoufek, Ladislav ; Vošvrda, Miloslav Document type: Papers Conference/Event: Mathematical Methods in Economics 2011, Jánska Dolina (SK), 2011-09-06 / 2011-09-09
Year:
2011
Language:
eng Abstract:
This article extends our previous work on applications of isoquantile (formerly isobar) surfaces to market analysis. The approach is applied to lagged returns of selected stock market indices and compared to various estimations of the Hurst exponent. We evaluate the Efficient Market hypothesis by means of the two aforementioned approaches for the ASPI, BET, BUX, JSX, NASDAQ, PX and S&P500 indices. The more does a time series satisfy the EMH, the closer it resembles Brownian motion. In this case isoquantile surfaces form a circle and the Hurst exponent approaches 1/2.
Keywords:
Efficient Market Hypothesis; Hurst exponent; isobar; isoquantile; stock market index Project no.: CEZ:AV0Z10750506 (CEP), GD402/09/H045 (CEP), 118310 Funding provider: GA ČR, GA UK Host item entry: Mathematical Methods in Economics 2011, ISBN 978-80-7431-058-4