Original title:
Midterm elections 2010 - Impact of electorate expectations on midterm
Translated title:
USA: Midterm elections 2010
Authors:
Kratochvíl, Jakub ; Dvořáková, Vladimíra (advisor) ; Šubrta, Václav (referee) Document type: Master’s theses
Year:
2010
Language:
eng Publisher:
Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze Abstract:
[eng][cze] This thesis focuses on analysis of the importance of electorate expectations for voter behavior in mid-term elections. We will modify the traditional Alesina-Rosenthal model to include electorate expectations. Using this new model, we will show that Obama's loss in the 2010 mid-term elections was caused by high electorate expectations which were created during the campaign for Presidency in 2008. With the help of our framework, we will demonstrate that electorate expectations played a crucial role in several historical mid-term elections.Cílem práce je analyzovat dopad očekávání voličů na výsledek amerických midterm voleb. Nejprve budou do modelu Alesina-Rosenthal inkorporovány očekávání elektorátu. Na základě tohoto modelu bude vysvětlena příčina prohry Baracka Obamy v midterm volbách 2010. Dále bude demonstrována rozhodující role očekávání elektorátu v minulých amerických midterm volbách.
Keywords:
Alesina-Rosenthal model; electorate expectations; midterm; Alesina-Rosenthal; midterm; očekávání voličů
Institution: University of Economics, Prague
(web)
Document availability information: Available in the digital repository of the University of Economics, Prague. Original record: http://www.vse.cz/vskp/eid/26108