Economic impact of shale gas development in the context of energy security of the EU

Kondratenko, Ivan

The Thesis aims to analyze the possible shale gas development in the EU in context with raising problem of energy security. Based on the experience of shale revolution in the USA and econometric modelling using the method of Ordinary Least Squares with Fixed Effects to test the dependence of price on shale gas production, the transfer of US model to the EU is discussed. The results show that shale production affects the price negatively and that US model is successful due to multiple reasons, primarily presence of experienced companies, geological structure and strong regulation rules. The Thesis shows the unsuitability of the US model for the EU market. After the first enthusiasm for shale plays research in late 2000s the multiple barriers for drilling have risen up; the most significant are the environmental worries; both on governmental and public levels. US companies have lost interest in the EU and moved to other parts of the world. The shale gas development is not able to affect the energy security of the EU on European, international level.

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