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Original title:
Projections of future water-energy-vegetation regimes at the Lysina catchment, Czech Republic
Authors: Lamačová, Anna ; Yu, X. ; Duffy, Ch. ; Krám, Pavel ; Hruška, Jakub ; Farda, Aleš
Document type: Papers
Conference/Event: Global Change and Resilience, Brno (CZ), 2013-05-22 / 2013-05-24
Year: 2013
Language: eng
Abstract: Hydrologic models represent useful tools for the understanding of forest hydrological functions. At the Lysina Critical Zone Observatory (50°03’ N, 12°40’ E; area 0.293 km2), a forest catchment in the western Czech Republic, a distributed physics-based hydrologic model, the Penn State Integrated Hydrologic Model (PIHM), was used to simulate long-term hydrological change under forest management practices, and to evaluate the comparative scenarios of the hydrological consequences under anticipated climate change. Stand age-adjusted LAI (leaf area index) curves were generated from an empirical relationship to represent changes in seasonal tree growth. By considering the age-adjusted LAI, the spatially distributed model was able to successfully simulate the integrated hydrologic response from snow melt, recharge, evapotranspiration, groundwater levels, soil moisture and streamfl ow, as well as spatial patterns of each hydrologic state and fl ux variables. Corrected climatic data from the ALADIN-Climate/CZ regional climate model with SRES A1B scenario and diff erent forest age categories (Norway spruce monoculture) were used for projection of hydrologic pattern shift at the study site in the future (2025–2050, 2071–2100). Th e model projections suggested that that the decrease in mean annual runoff would be from 422 mm (observed in 1990–2011) to 361 mm (2021–2100) and 345 mm (2071–2100) with notable changes in seasonal patterns represented by a runoff decrease in the spring and summer months.
Keywords: climate change scenario; critical zone observatory; distributed hydrological model; forest catchment; PIHM
Project no.: ED1.1.00/02.0073
Funding provider: GA MŠk
Host item entry: Global Change and Resilience: From Impacts to Responses : Proceedings of the 3rd annual Global Change and Resilience Conference, ISBN 978-80-904351-8-6
Institution: Global Change Research Institute AS ČR (web)
Document availability information: Fulltext is available at the institute of the Academy of Sciences.
Original record: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0230121
Permalink: http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-170366
The record appears in these collections:
Research > Institutes ASCR > Global Change Research Institute
Conference materials > Papers
Authors: Lamačová, Anna ; Yu, X. ; Duffy, Ch. ; Krám, Pavel ; Hruška, Jakub ; Farda, Aleš
Document type: Papers
Conference/Event: Global Change and Resilience, Brno (CZ), 2013-05-22 / 2013-05-24
Year: 2013
Language: eng
Abstract: Hydrologic models represent useful tools for the understanding of forest hydrological functions. At the Lysina Critical Zone Observatory (50°03’ N, 12°40’ E; area 0.293 km2), a forest catchment in the western Czech Republic, a distributed physics-based hydrologic model, the Penn State Integrated Hydrologic Model (PIHM), was used to simulate long-term hydrological change under forest management practices, and to evaluate the comparative scenarios of the hydrological consequences under anticipated climate change. Stand age-adjusted LAI (leaf area index) curves were generated from an empirical relationship to represent changes in seasonal tree growth. By considering the age-adjusted LAI, the spatially distributed model was able to successfully simulate the integrated hydrologic response from snow melt, recharge, evapotranspiration, groundwater levels, soil moisture and streamfl ow, as well as spatial patterns of each hydrologic state and fl ux variables. Corrected climatic data from the ALADIN-Climate/CZ regional climate model with SRES A1B scenario and diff erent forest age categories (Norway spruce monoculture) were used for projection of hydrologic pattern shift at the study site in the future (2025–2050, 2071–2100). Th e model projections suggested that that the decrease in mean annual runoff would be from 422 mm (observed in 1990–2011) to 361 mm (2021–2100) and 345 mm (2071–2100) with notable changes in seasonal patterns represented by a runoff decrease in the spring and summer months.
Keywords: climate change scenario; critical zone observatory; distributed hydrological model; forest catchment; PIHM
Project no.: ED1.1.00/02.0073
Funding provider: GA MŠk
Host item entry: Global Change and Resilience: From Impacts to Responses : Proceedings of the 3rd annual Global Change and Resilience Conference, ISBN 978-80-904351-8-6
Institution: Global Change Research Institute AS ČR (web)
Document availability information: Fulltext is available at the institute of the Academy of Sciences.
Original record: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0230121
Permalink: http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-170366
The record appears in these collections:
Research > Institutes ASCR > Global Change Research Institute
Conference materials > Papers
Record created 2014-01-30, last modified 2021-11-24