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Modelling the onset of phenological phases of spring barley (Hordeum vulgare L.)
Dížková, Petra ; Bartošová, Lenka ; Hájková, L. ; Balek, Jan ; Bláhová, Monika ; Bohuslav, Jakub ; Pohanková, Eva ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Žalud, Zdeněk
The onset of phenological phases of plant species is influenced mainly by air temperature. Each phenophase has its temperature limits (base temperature and temperature sum), which must be reached for each phase to occur. With knowledge of these limits, it is possible to predict the onset of phenological phases in localities where only meteorological data are available and also in future climate conditions. In this work, we used phenological ground-based data from 33 stations within the Czech Republic to calculate the most relevant meteorological predictors. PhenoClim software was used for phenological and meteorological data calibration and modelling. The smallest error that allows us to predict the term of the phenophases was found for the heading of spring barley (Hordeum vulgare L.), as the best predictor was the maximum daily temperature and the statistical error was 3.6 days.
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Quo Vaditis Agriculture, Forestry and Society under Global Change? From understanding past and present Earth´s processes to adaptations for the future
Šprtová, Miroslava ; Bartošová, Lenka ; Acosta, Manuel ; Klem, Karel ; Leventon, Julia ; Červený, Jan
International conference „Quo vaditis agriculture, forestry and society under Global Change? From understanding past and present Earth’s processes to adaptations for the future“, whose scientific sponsor is the European Center of Excellence CzechGlobe, should prove that science has an irreplaceable role in addressing mitigation and adaptation to climate change, in meeting international commitments to climate change and tasks of the EU Strategy on adaptation to climate change.
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Regional yield forecasting for improved decision making in the plant production
Trnka, Miroslav ; Hlavinka, Petr ; Kudláčková, Lucie ; Balek, Jan ; Meitner, Jan ; Možný, Martin ; Štěpánek, Petr ; Bartošová, Lenka ; Semerádová, Daniela ; Bláhová, Monika ; Lukas, Vojtěch ; Žalud, Zdeněk
The methodology describes how to predict yields of key crops, and at the same time addresses reliability of the predictions and how these can be used. The ability to predict yield levels more than 2 months prior the harvest on the level of regions (NUTS3¨) and districts (LAU1) brings also new opportunities to mitigate impacts of adverse conditions. The methodology shows that the yield forecasts and yield anomalies in particular are consistent and usable in practices. In this methodology, the results of 2018 yield forecasts are presented as an example. The yield forecasting system for the Czech Republic is fully functional and is and will be available through www.vynosy-plodin.cz.
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System for monitoring and forecast of impacts of agricultural drought
Trnka, Miroslav ; Štěpánek, Petr ; Chuchma, F. ; Možný, M. ; Bartošová, Lenka ; Hlavinka, Petr ; Balek, Jan ; Zahradníček, Pavel ; Skalák, Petr ; Farda, Aleš ; Semerádová, Daniela ; Meitner, Jan ; Bláhová, M. ; Fiala, R. ; Žalud, Zdeněk
The methodology describes how to predict soil moisture and drought intensity, and at the same time addresses reliability of the predictions and how these can be used. The ability to predict soil moisture values over a period of up to 9 days is presented through using ensemble of models for numerical weather forecasts. This method brings also new opportunities to mitigate impacts during drought events by farmers using such forecasting tools. With regard to the relatively high predictability of soil moisture and drought intensity, the methodology introduces the basic procedures and provides necessary information for the users. In this methodology, the results of 2017 drought event are presented as an example. The drought forecasting system for the Czech Republic is fully functional and is and will be available through www.intersucho.cz.
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Consumer behaviour of foreign visitors in Prague
Bartošová, Lenka ; Cimler, Petr (advisor) ; Khelerová, Vladimíra (referee)
This bachelor thesis deals with the issue of consumer behaviour of foreign visitors in Prague. Foreign visitor is understood as a consumer demanding not only goods but also services related to his stay in Prague. The main part of this thesis is dedicated to a questionnaire with the goal to identify the level and the structure of visitors´ expenditure in Prague.
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The agricultural drought monitoring and its users and correspondents
Bartošová, Lenka ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Semerádová, Daniela ; Hlavinka, Petr ; Štěpánek, Petr ; Zahradníček, Pavel ; Žalud, Z.
Drought monitoring in the Czech Republic is a key element in climate monitoring. The aim of this article is to describe the possible participation of agronomists, foresters and fruiterers in drought monitoring within the Integrated Drought Monitoring System. This system monitor drought occurence weekly on the base of various information (data from model SoiClim or outputs from satellite Aqua and Terra). One of the main pillar of the monitor is also information about drought impact on yields in the cooperation with especially farmers. Their expert assessment brings insight into actual situation in agricultural landscape in weekly time step. All results are free to download in www.intersucho.cz.
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Are there any changes in the beginning of flowering of important allergens in the Czech Republic?
Bartošová, Lenka ; Hájková, L. ; Kožnarová, V. ; Možný, M. ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Žalud, Z.
Phenological observations have a long tradition in the Czech Republic; the first phenological notes were taken in the 18th century. Within the entire phenological observation network of the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, 45 plant species can be observed. These include perennial herbs, grass, and ground bushes growing wildly. Some observed species are among the group of so-called allergens, e.g. silver birch (Betula pendula Roth), cocksfoot (Dactylis glomerata L.), and meadow foxtail (Alopecurus pratensis L.). In this paper, we evaluated the phenological phase beginning of flowering for two of the aforementioned plants at the Mlýny, Chřibská research site (50°52’N, 14°29’E, 350 m a.s.l.). The aim was to assess which meteorological parameters influence phenological onsets as well as to analyze shifts in phenophase onset dates and temperature trends during 1959–2014. During this period, for B. pendula the average date of beginning of flowering was 28 April with a standard deviation of 10 days and for A. pratensis it was 20 May with a standard deviation of 8 days. The studied species are allergens and their timing and phenological shifting during the spring and their relationship with climate parameters may provide important information for forecasts as part of a pollen warning service.
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Phenological response of flood-plain forest ecosystem during 1961-2011
Bartošová, Lenka ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Bauer, Z. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Možný, M. ; Žalud, Zdeněk
The presented study is focused on 50 years of phenological observations (1961–2011) of the herbs, shrubs, trees and bird populations and the phenological phases that create a continuous phenological sequence covering the whole spring aspect of the fl oodplain forest ecosystem. Th e phenological phases were observed for 5 herbs, 5 shrubs, 3 trees and 2 bird species. Th e phenological phases were observed as precisely as possible by only one observer during the whole time of observation. All observed plants and bird species showed statistically signifi cant shift s to the earlier time but the rate of shift ing among the parts of the fl ood-plain forest ecosystem was diff erent. Th e most progressive shift s were detected for herbs (the rate of shift ing was on average 13.9 days), followed by shrubs (phenophases advanced by 11.3 days on average), trees (phenophases advanced by 10.2 days) and fi nally by bird species (phenophases advanced by 9.6 days on average). Consequently the length of overlap of the chosen phenological phases was elaborated. Th e rate of shortening or lengthening of the overlap diff ers among all parts of the ecosystem and indicates not only the separation of phenophases but also no statistically signifi cant change in the length of overlap in each part of the ecosystem.
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Ethical acceptability of foster care from the perspective of Christian ethics
BARTOŠOVÁ, Lenka
This thesis is concerned by the problems of foster care from the view of Christian ethics. It presents interpretation of marriage and family in the Bible, in Christian tradition and at present. It deals with the conception of foster care from history to contemporary form and its valid laws of the Czech Republic. It touches on ethical issues related to foster care. It shows the basic Christian principles, which justify the foster care, however the discussion about its specific shape and form is possible.
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The dynamics of temperature in birdboxes
Slavíková, Z. ; Žalud, Z. ; Bartošová, Lenka ; Fischer, Milan ; Trnka, Miroslav
The aim of the study was to detect the changing temperature in bird boxes of two bird species-collared flycatcher (Ficedula albicollis, T.) and great tit (Parus major, L.). The work is the result of the monitoring of nesting bird species for two years (2009 and 2010) by temperature sensors. Data was continuously recorded for several different breeding pairs with the micro-datalogers MINIKIN. Temperature sensors were fixed directly into the nest with eggs and also in the upper part of bird boxes or outside the boxes. Temperature data was then processed and analyzed. Experimental work was carried out in a floodplain forest in nature reserve Plačkův les a říčka Šatava near Vranovice, altitude: 170; latitude: 48°56´54´´; longitude: 16°35´50´´. The forest is dominated by full-grown, multi-aged canopy with no forestry management. Experimental site belongs to the same natural biogeocenoses group (i.e. Ulmi-fraxineta carpini) and to the same geobotanical group (i.e. suballiance Ulmenion of the Alnion incanae alliance). Our initial hypothesis assumed that the temperature of eggs in the nest and also the time spent in the bird boxes by both bird species (collared flycatcher and great tit) do not differ significantly. The results showed that during the period when the eggs were layed (by both bird species) the temperature were significantly however the temperature of eggs of collared flycatcher and great tit during the period of incubation were very.
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