Is inflation in Ghana a monetary phenomenon?

Addo, Grace Naa Kalei

ABSTRACT Inflation is a problematic macroeconomic factor that affects most economies, in-cluding Ghana. Inconsistent policies have made it difficult for policymakers to achieve target inflation rates, leading to negative impacts on living standards. Infla-tion is a key indicator of a country's economic performance, and Ghana has been severely impacted by excessive inflation. The aim of the research was to develop more accurate models for predicting inflation in Ghana by assessing various econ-ometric techniques and identifying key macroeconomic signs. Multiple Regression Analysis and Walk-through analysis were applied to secondary data obtained from Ghana to make inflation predictions. The findings revealed an inverse relationship between GDP growth and inflation over the long term, but a direct relationship in the short term. Government expenditure had a negative influence on inflation in the short term but a positive impact over the long term. Neither broad money growth nor real effective exchange rate had a significant impact on inflation. The study also revealed a substantial upward trend in broad money and significant influencing fac-tors in the BOG policy rate, inflation rate, and GDP growth rate. The real effective exchange rate and government expenditure had no significant influencing factors.

host :: přihlásit Digitální repozitář
		Hledej		Nový záznam		Nápověda		O repozitáři