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Technical Analysis
Mičánek, Filip ; Doubravský, Karel (referee) ; Novotná, Veronika (advisor)
This thesis deals with technical analysis, which is used to predict future development of stocks. The first part describes the theoretical background needed for the next section. This is followed by analysis of the current state, which assesses the current situation. The main part is devoted to the creation of a program to support technical analysis for the novice investor and the demonstration of its use in trading.
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The Use of Artificial Intelligence on Stock Market
Lajczyk, Pavel ; Budík, Jan (referee) ; Dostál, Petr (advisor)
This master's thesis deals with artificial neural networks and possibilities of their use on stock market. In next chapters of this thesis there are provided design and implementation of stock prices prediction tool. The implementation is done with use of the MATLAB software. The created prediction tool is then tested in a simple trading simulation and achieved results are discussed in the end
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Financial management of company on the capital market
Štíbal, Matěj ; MBA, Libor Stoklásek, (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The bachelor thesis deals with the proposal of processes for capital company management on the capital market, focusing on the appreciation of free funds. The free funds are valued using an investment strategy for the stock market, the results of which are interpreted on historical exchange data. A risk analysis and subsequent economic impact on the financial situation of the company is carried out.
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The Use of Artificial Intelligence on Stock Market
Skočík, Michal ; Pekárek, Jan (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
Diploma thesis is focused on problematics of artificial neural networks and their usage on capital markets. There is a software created as a part of this diploma thesis which can load input data and create neural network that serves for share price forecast. This program is created in numerical computing environment MATLAB. Created neural network is tested under simulation of business model. Results are discussed upon examination of results of simulation.
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Halloween efekt na kapitálových trzích
Červený, Petr
The bachelor's thesis focuses on a market anomaly known as the Halloween effect. In order to fully understand this effect, the first part of the thesis explains terms related to the researched topic. Subsequently, the existence of the effect is clarified, where the author of the work relies on the theoretical starting points of scientists who have already investigated the effect in earlier years. The main goal of the bachelor's thesis is to identify the effects of the Halloween effect on different capital markets, namely on the stock, commodity and cryptocurrency markets, based on 2 analyses: ratio analysis of individual periods and regression analysis using the OLS method. Using the obtained calculations, an evaluation of the empirical research is subsequently created, which, together with a recommendation for investors in connection with the influence of the market anomaly called the Halloween effect, represents the conclusion of the bachelor's thesis.
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Reform of the Prospectus Regime
Illmann, Erik ; Kohajda, Michael (advisor) ; Kotáb, Petr (referee)
in English This diploma thesis explores the ongoing reform of the prospectus regime in the European Union. On 30 November 2015, the European Commission presented a proposal for a new regulation, which is to replace the current so-called Prospectus Directive. The primary aim of this thesis is determine the shortcomings of the current prospectus regime and to critically analyze the proposal in order to determine, whether it addresses these shortcomings and whether it improves the prospectus regime in general. The thesis consists of three main parts: the first introduces the prospectus, its characteristics and current regulation in the EU; the second explores and analyses the proposal itself and makes conclusions on the proposed changes; the third and final part explores the topic of prospectus liability and conflict-of-law rules. Based on the conducted research I arrive at the conclusion that the biggest issues of the current prospectus regime are the high costs connect to the preparation of a prospectus, inflexible disclosure requirements for certain types of issuers, ineffective retail investor protection and diverging implementation of the Prospectus Directive across EU member states. While the European Commission's proposal addresses most of these shortcomings and certainly represents an...
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Bias and Accuracy in Equity Research: The Case of CFA Challenge
Hloušek, Pavel ; Novák, Jiří (advisor) ; Máková, Barbora (referee)
This thesis analyses drivers of optimistic bias in equity research and substance of ability in explaining differences in accuracy among equity analysts. I have shown the existence of a relevant reason for optimistic bias in equity research, which is not related to conflict of interest - the usually referred driver of the bias. Then I have supported the stream of literature showing that analyst's ability is not a strong determinant of analyst's accuracy. A new perspective on the topics is offered by using a sample of equity reports from valuation competition CFA Research Challenge. Contribution of the thesis lies (i) in working with a sample of analysts who do not face the conflicts of interest proposed by the literature to be causing optimistic bias, which offers a unique opportunity to test whether such conflict-of- interest-free analysts issue biased recommendations and in (ii) using success in CFA Challenge as a new proxy for ability of equity analysts. The methods used are an analysis of bias and accuracy of target prices, hit-ratio of investment recommendations, and analysis of returns - estimated by CAPM, Fama French three-factor model and Carhart four-factor model.
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Exploring the Impact of Brexit on European Capital Markets and Tax Policies: A Comparative Analysis of Tax Reforms in European Countries
Yuan, Dian ; Svoboda, Karel (advisor) ; Bruno, Randolph Luca (referee) ; Váška, Jan (referee)
From the United Kingdom's Brexit on June 23, 2016, to the formal Brexit on January 30, 2020, there has been a large amount of academic literature discussing the possible effects of Brexit. Among them, the literature on the impact of Brexit on tax policy reforms and capital markets in EU countries is too numerous to enumerate. However, the current research literature lacks a discussion of Central and Eastern European countries, and there is even less research on the link between capital markets and tax policy reforms. This article assumes that the impact of Brexit on the capital markets of CEE countries will cause the government to turn to tax increases to increase fiscal revenue. Three hypotheses are proposed under this assumption. In addition, the empirical research in this article uses the combination of the Poisson model and the Heckman selection model to conduct regression research on the overall taxation of CEE countries, changes in direct and indirect taxation tax policies and bond interest rates, government changes, and political parties left or right. It is concluded that Brexit has no significant impact on the capital markets of CEE countries, and has not caused enough shocks that the government will turn to the government to increase revenue by issuing more tax increases. And Brexit...
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Selected issues of the last phase of transposing MiFID II into Czech law
Uherík, Štěpán ; Sejkora, Tomáš (advisor) ; Boháč, Radim (referee)
Selected issues of the last phase of transposing MiFID II into Czech law Abstract Financial market regulation is a dynamic area that is still undergoing a process of unification within the European Union. Likewise, the financial markets themselves are significantly affected by new trends and the speed of progress. This work examines selected issues that arose during the last phase of transposing the updated Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II) into Czech law. The primary focus of this work is to identify selected statues and areas based on the MiFID II directive, analyze their legislation, and compare them with domestic legislation. This analysis primarily focuses on the area of investment services with an advisory element, and therefore topics such as general principles for ensuring the protection of retail investors, principles of professional care, and the knowledge and expertise of persons providing investment services are of particular interest. The subjects of tests of suitability and independent versus nonindependent investment advice are also discussed. These areas were analyzed and compared within the framework of European and domestic legislation, and many evaluative opinions were expressed, including identifying areas that I consider problematic. In order for these research areas...
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