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Impact of Population Policies on Economic Development
Kaneko, Shinya ; Cahlík, Tomáš (vedoucí práce) ; Hejlová, Hana (oponent)
Within the presented thesis, the issue on the impact of population policy types and economic development is investigated using econometric regression analysis on an unbalanced data panel of 188 countries during the period of 2000 to 2014. The key development of the existing econometric model is the adoption of population policy indicator variables according to the type of population policy (pronatal, antinatal, maintain and no intervention). The aim of this thesis is to show the significance and positive or negative correlation of population policy dummy variables with the use of representative datasets, which were selected according to empirical research. Additionally, the same model is also conducted for different groups of countries, (more developed, less developed and least developed) so as to examine the outcome according to the level of development. Consequently, short term negative effect of pronatalistic and maintaining population policy on GDP per capita is demonstrated. On contrary, regressions on different groups of countries validates no significant evidence on policy dummy variables.
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Estimates of the role of non-tariff measures in trade between CZE/EU and Japan
Srna, Jan ; Semerák, Vilém (vedoucí práce) ; Palanský, Miroslav (oponent)
Japonsko a Evropská unie uzavřeli dohodu o volném obchodu, která vešla v platnost v lednu 2019. Zatím není k dispozici dostatek dat, aby se mohl potvrdit či vyvrátit předpokládaný efekt této dohody na obchod mezi Japonskem a Českou republikou. Gravitační model je hojně užívaný způsob odhadování vlivů různých proměnných v mezinárodním trhu. Existuje více metod k vypočítání tohoto modelu, ale v této práci jsou nejdůležitější tyto: Random effects a Poisson Maximum Likelihood estimator (PPML). Podle PPML modelu je očekávaný nárůst importu obou zemí 57.3 %. Model dále ukazuje obchodní potenciál obou zemí, tedy rozdíl odhadnutých hodnot od skutečných hodnot importů obou zemí. Japonsko představuje pro Českou republiku obrovskou příležitost ke zvýšení celkového exportu. Ovšem největší nárust vzájemného obchodu bude způsoben přesměrováním již existujících obchodních toků.
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Impact of Population Policies on Economic Development
Kaneko, Shinya ; Cahlík, Tomáš (vedoucí práce) ; Hejlová, Hana (oponent)
Within the presented thesis, the issue on the impact of population policy types and economic development is investigated using econometric regression analysis on an unbalanced data panel of 188 countries during the period of 2000 to 2014. The key development of the existing econometric model is the adoption of population policy indicator variables according to the type of population policy (pronatal, antinatal, maintain and no intervention). The aim of this thesis is to show the significance and positive or negative correlation of population policy dummy variables with the use of representative datasets, which were selected according to empirical research. Additionally, the same model is also conducted for different groups of countries, (more developed, less developed and least developed) so as to examine the outcome according to the level of development. Consequently, short term negative effect of pronatalistic and maintaining population policy on GDP per capita is demonstrated. On contrary, regressions on different groups of countries validates no significant evidence on policy dummy variables.
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