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Vplyv nekonvenčnej menovej politiky na devízové kurzy
Gáťová, Jana
Gáťová, J. The impact of unconventional monetary policy on exchange rate. Diplo-ma thesis. Brno: Mendel University, 2023 The diploma thesis deals with the impact of unconventional monetary policy on the exchange rate. The literary review deals with the instruments of unconven-tional monetary policy and their specific use by the central banks ECB and FED. The aim of the thesis was to identify the impact of unconventional monetary poli-cy, primarily quantitative easing, on the USD/EUR exchange rate. In the empirical part of the diploma thesis, an analysis was carried out that examined this relation-ship using graphs and a VAR model, from which Granger causality and Impulse-response analysis were subsequently derived. Based on the analysis, the relation-ship between the quantitative easing of the central banks of the ECB, the FED and the movement of the USD/EUR exchange rate was proven.
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Vliv měnové politiky na vybrané akciové trhy
Šikula, Jiří
The diploma thesis deals with the identification of influence of the monetary policy on stock markets in the developed countries where central banks accepted usage of the unconventional tools of monetary policy. The effect of monetary policy is observed on stock prices of 200 blue chip stocks of companies emitted in USA, UK, EU and JAP. The influence of the unconventional monetary policy will be examined in empirical part of the diploma thesis via panel regression analysis with focus on verification of portfolio rebalance channel of the transmission mechanism.
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Unconventional Monetary Policy Tools - Description and Evaluation of their Efficiency
Bandžak, Denis ; Hlaváček, Michal (advisor) ; Buliskeria, Nino (referee)
This thesis examines the role of unconventional monetary policy tools during and after the global financial crisis with a particular focus on three main parts - their description, implementation and efficiency. By introducing a thorough discussion based on both past and most recent papers on this topic, we provide an updated view on the classification of individual unconventional monetary policy tools which is often used inaccurately by the current literature. We further enrich the discussion by describing different strategies which central banks used before and after the global financial crisis along with the future plans and tendency of central banks in monetary policy. We conclude the thesis by our own analysis of the effects of quantitative easing on GDP and CPI using a Bayesian vector autoregression model with sign restrictions applied on Japan, the Eurozone, the UK and the US. We find a more pronounced and significant effect of quantitative easing on GDP and CPI for the UK and the US than for the Eurozone and Japan. Nevertheless, our findings have to be considered with utmost care as the model is very simplified and sensitive to the parameters chosen. Keywords: Monetary Policy, Unconventional Monetary Policy Tools, Quantitative Easing, Bayesian Vector Autoregression
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Negative interest rates in the context of deflation threats
Jenis, Filip ; Koderová, Jitka (advisor) ; Metrah, Samy (referee)
The introduction of negative interest rates, as an additional tool of unconventional monetary policy in recent years, leads to many, yet largely polarized debates about the implications of the unconventional monetary policy of central banks. The main reason for their introduction in some economies, namely the threat of deflation, is also questioned, as well as the negative side effects of this instrument on financial stability and economic growth, and finally, their limited scope is under scrutiny. Due to the still insufficient research in this field, the aim of the diploma thesis is to evaluate the concerns and the main long-term risks and impacts of the monetary policy using negative interest rates in the context of deflation threats. The analysis of available data confirms both the concerns about the negative effects of negative interest rates on the banking sector, the recovery process of public finances, the possible rise of a price bubble on the financial markets and real estate markets, or on the possibility of excessive risk taking, and on the other hand draws attention to the direct dependence between negative impacts and the duration of monetary policy using negative interest rates.
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Relation between central bank independence and accountability at the example of quantitative easing of the ECB and the Fed in 2005 - 2016
Pýchová, Jitka ; Ševčík, Miroslav (advisor) ; Řežábek, Pavel (referee)
The thesis deals with relation between central bank independence and accountability. The relation is examined on example of quantitative easing implemented in the period 2005 - 2016 by the European central bank and the Federal Reserve System. From the theoretical and practical point of view the thesis proves that the relation between central bank independence and accountability are influenced by the specification of targets of monetary policy to a great extent. The thesis also proves that the specific definition of both central bank independence and accountability influenced the characteristics of quantitative resp. credit easing. Moreover, such monetary policy can potentially endanger the independence of both central banks in many ways. Thus, the implementation of quantitative easing itself and its potential consequences evidences that the contemporary conception of central bank independence and accountability is insufficient and needs to be reviewed.
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Monetary policy approaches at the ZLB to solve post-crisis situation and their effectiveness
Hummelová, Magdalena ; Hlaváček, Michal (advisor) ; Ryska, Pavel (referee)
Monetary policy approaches at the ZLB to solve post-crisis situation and their effectiveness Magdalena Hummelová May 10, 2016 Abstract This thesis describes monetary policy tools implemented by central banks whose main monetary policy rates at some point after 2008 global economic crisis hit the zero lower bound. Central banks considered in this study are the Fed, the ECB, the SNB and the CNB. A smaller ef- fectiveness analysis of the macroeconomic effects using a simple vector autoregressive (VAR) model is provided as well. The model is inspired by similar study of Gambacorta et al. (2012). With the use of monthly data over the sample period, the VAR tries to quantify the impact an increase in a central bank's balance sheet has on the main economic indicators- real output, consumer prices and implied volatility indices in the financial markets. Some of the results are comparable to those of the reference study mentioned above. This applies to the output results in a sense that the balance sheet shock has a slightly significant temporary effect on it. On the contrary, responses of the implied volatility indices and prices are less significant (or insignificant) and not at all comparable with the reference study. With some exceptions, there are no major discrepancies between individual country results in spite of...
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Porovnání nekonvenční měnové politiky ECB a FED
Bohůnek, Matěj ; Hnát, Pavel (advisor) ; Marcel Bluhm, Eric Pentecost and (referee)
The monetary policy of the Fed and the ECB has greatly change as a result of the global crisis. The goal of the thesis is to analyse the evolution of unconventional monetary instruments in the USA and the EU after the outbreak of the global crisis and nowadays with the help of pivotal economic models; namely, the IS-LM-BP model and the quantity theory of money. In addition, the paper should assess the impacts of adopted instruments and programs and draw conclusions about their success. The theoretical part explains the IS-LM-BP framework and the quantity theory of money and describes the unconventional monetary tools that the central banks can use when the interest rates reach the zero lower bound. The practical part analyses EU and US economy with the explained models. Furthermore, the implemented instruments of the Fed and the ECB are described and compared. The thesis should be concluded with the claim that the transmission mechanism was restored with the help of the non-standard measures, however, the desirable price level stabilization has not been reached.
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Quantitative easing in Japan
Pavlíček, Adam ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Titze, Miroslav (referee)
The diploma thesis focuses on quantitative easing in Japanese economy. In the first part the problematic is set into a theoretical frame and then is connected with the development of the modern Japanese economy. The thesis describes the progress of the both waves of quantitative easing which have been implemented so far as well as the circumstances of their start and their so far known impacts. The application part presents an evaluation of the impacts of the current wave of quantitative easing. The evaluation is based on the impulse-response analysis.
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Unconventional monetary policy in theory and empirical evidence
LEXA, David
The Diploma thesis deals with unconventional monetary policies,that important central banks used in order to cope with global financial and economic crisis in recent years. Goals of the paper is to introduce the most significant unconventional monetary policies, analyze their effectivity in selected countries (Japan, USA, Great Britain, eurozone and Czech republic), and statistically test impact of these nonstandard approaches on international trade.
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