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Order book microstructure and fair price estimation on betting exchanges
Smutný, Josef ; Fanta, Nicolas (advisor) ; Kukačka, Jiří (referee)
The aim of this paper is to predict the fair price as accurately as possible from the microstructure of the orderbook on Betfair, the world's largest betting exchange. In particular, the work focuses on the analysis of the effect of disproportionately large quotes on the fair price of the market. It also addresses their theoretical monetization in practice in the case of market inefficiency. The results show that, from the data examined, traded markets are relatively efficient and the factors that can be inferred from the microstructure of the orderbook are, in the vast majority of cases, not statistically significant for predicting the fair price of a given event. However, the data do show exceptions where, in particular types of markets, these quotes are statistically significant and have the expected impact on the model's prediction in the form of increasing the probability of the selection they want to trade. Thus, the model prediction can in some cases be used as a fair price indicator by which one could theoretically trade profitably on Betfair or even on other platforms, assuming they offered a better price. Keywords Betting exchange, Fair price, Quotes, Betting odds, Back, Lay, Spread Title Order book microstructure and fair price estimation on betting exchanges
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Legal and economic aspects of Initial Public Offering (IPO)
Neumahr, David ; Borkovec, Aleš (advisor) ; Seknička, Pavel (referee)
Legal and Economic Aspects of Initial Public Offering (Neumahr, D.) Abstract This diploma thesis deals with initial public offering (IPO) of shares from both legal and economic perspective. The thesis is divided into three basic parts. The goal of the first part is to explain the process of IPO, its development and each institution related to the topic. Followed by part which is dedicated to legal framework in the European Union and each phase of the process is described from the viewpoint of Czech law. Second part aims to clarify basic economic advantages as well as disadvantages of initial public offering concerning the company and propose possible alternatives. Final part seeks to provide a case study of the process on the Czech and the American capital market. The purpose of my thesis was to explain what an initial public offering is, what are its upsides and downsides and describe in detail the whole process which companies have to undergo before they can publicly offer their shares and before they are admitted to the capital market. Throughout the thesis I examine the development of European law regarding IPO and I marginally try to compare it to American law. In the final case studies, concrete steps during the entire process are demonstrated on the examples of practice.
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Stock Analysis
Král, Petr ; Pfeiferová, Daniela (advisor) ; Kukalová, Gabriela (referee)
The content of the Bachelor thesis named,, Stock analysis "is, as other theses, divided into two parts, which are the theoretical basis and practical part, taking primarily information from the first part and personal experiences with the movements of stock prices.
In the first part the reader learns the basic building blocks, procedures and principles of functioning fundamental analysis as global analysis, industry analysis and company analysis and as graphs, graphical modeling and technical analysis methods.
The second part of the thesis is a subsequent application of theoretical knowledge of technical analysis to predict the progression of stock title known as automotive concern Volkswagen before the scandal Dieselgate when shares of the company had one of the largest declines in history.
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