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Reciprocal corelations of interest rates and exchange rate described in the example of selected countries
Mihalik, Miroslav ; Durčáková, Jaroslava (advisor) ; Mandel, Martin (referee)
This final work is aimed at the concept of relationship between exchange rate and interest rate differential. The introductory part briefly describes exchange rate as a macro-economical parameter, which can be seen in many different systems of exchange rate. Next part consists of theoretical principles of uncovered interest parity and the dynamics of this process and also the process of international Fisher effect. In the analysis part the relation between interest rate and exchange rate is explored in various conditions of exchange rate arrangements in the countries of Denmark, Norway, Sweden and Slovakia. The uncovered interest parity is valued by graphic analysis made by calculation of the theoretical rate based on uncovered interest parity and the off-set index rate. International Fisher effect is tested on the graph of change in exchange rate depending on the interest rate differential. The graphic analysis is followed by the analysis of linear regression. Afterwards with the use of VAR model we find not only the dependence of exchange rate on interest rate differential but also whether the interest rate differential is dependent on exchange rate or not.
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Menový kurz z pohľadu teórie a praxe
Mihalik, Miroslav ; Žďárek, Václav (advisor) ; Čajka, Martin (referee)
Práca sa venuje problematike menového kurzu. Popisuje jeho stručnú charakteristiku, fundamentálnu a technickú analýzu. Bližšie sa zaoberá fundamentálnou analýzou a jej vybranými teóriami. Praktická časť sa zaoberá overením platnosti parity kúpnej sily a parity úrokovej miery na vývoji kurzu slovenskej koruny a amerického dolára v rokoch 1996 až 2006.
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Kurzová politika ČNB v období ekonomické tranformace
Špecián, Petr ; Taušer, Josef (advisor) ; Cibulková, Iveta (referee)
Práce je centrována na kurzový vývoj české koruny v letech 1993 až 1997, zejména pak na související politiku ČNB. Ústřední téma je uvedeno stručným teoretickým rozborem problematiky měnového kurzu a zasazeno do širších historických souvislostí. Samostatná kapitola je věnována i počátkům transformace před rozdělením Československa. Závěr je věnován shrnutí tématu a zhodnocení zkoumaného období i úspěšnosti zásahů centrální banky.
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The function of the exchange rate mechanisms ERM II in the Czech Republic's accession to the euro zone
Vaníková, Lenka ; Blahová, Naděžda (advisor) ; Brada, Jaroslav (referee)
The object of this thesis is the revision of the exchange rate mechanisms ERM II from the point of his effect on the Czech Republic's integration process. In this thesis, there are analyzed benefits and risks cussed by ERM II participation and inferred conclusions relevant for the Czech Republic. This thesis is moreover dealing with hypothetic run of the participation of Czech koruna in ERM II and its incidence on fulfillment of exchange rate criterion. Except that there are analyzed reasons for current negative attitude of Denmark, Great Britain and the Northern Ireland and Sweden to third period of the Economy and monetary union.
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Hedging
Procházková, Petra ; Dvořáček, Jiří (advisor) ; Smolák, Pavel (referee)
This thesis describes hedging transactions against foreign exchange rate risk which is a significant problem for a number of domestic companies trading with foreign partners. The objective of this paper is to characterize possible ways to eliminate or minimize a foreign exchange rate risk and to assess effects on economic results and liquidity of the company arising from the use of hedging instruments compared to the situation without hedging transactions. The practical analysis is shown on two Czech companies exposed to a foreign exchange rate risk. The analysis is focused on currency forwards negotiated with the bank and natural hedging in connection with an application of a hedge accounting.
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Efektivnost inflačního cílování v tranzitivních ekonomikách, případ České republiky
Chytilová, Helena ; Sedláček, Petr (advisor) ; Halás, Vladimír (referee)
This paper examines Czech experience with inflation targeting. It tries to assess empirically character of deviations from inflation targets throughout the time. It assess situation also in an international context. Consequently it analyse ability of IT regime to anchor inflation expectations in context of CNB?s forecasting performance. Results imply that although deviations were quite frequent in the Czech Republic, their occurrence has not been a barrier for delivering lower inflation and its lower volatility. Notwithstanding, its volatility remains significantly above the range experienced in the EU and the EMU countries. Regarding the inflation expectations, monetary policy surprises tend to be smaller over time,signalising that IT regime is priced by the markets. Thus, credibility of the CNB, concerning anchoring of inflation expectations, seems to improve after introduction of IT regime. It also indicates that IT regime is a quite appropriate regime for the upcoming period of time, which will be end up by the entry in the EMU.
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Purchasing Power Parity in Transition Economies
Dúbravská, Pavla ; Taušer, Josef (advisor) ; Kambová, Anna (referee)
The goal of this diploma thesis is to assess purchasing power parity (PPP) under the conditions of transition process. The thesis provides a survey of the purchasing power parity theory and concentrates on the relative version. It outlines main causes of possible deviations and modifications of the model. In the empirical part four transition economies are tested for the PPP theory: the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia. The diploma thesis concludes with analysis of the role of the exchange rate under conditions of a small open economy. The overall analysis is implemented within the context of real and nominal convergence towards European Union and future accession to the European Monetary Union.
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