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Long-term development strategy for social services in selected municipalities with extended powers to 2030 (accent on the determinants strategy).
TOURKOVÁ, Olga
The thesis deals with the issue of long-term strategy for the development of social services in the municipality with extended scope Světlá nad Sázavou to r. 2030. The aim was to describe the current situation in selected municipalities in terms of facilities and related social services to handle the forecast population on a given territory by 2030 and ratify the lessons learned in terms of the need for social services in the interviews with key players in the field of social and related services. The theoretical part is focused mainly on the concept and characteristics of social services and related issues with regard to demographic changes. The practical part is divided into three parts. In the case study, I firstly describe the current state of social and health services in the municipality with extended powers Světlá. In the second part of the thesis, I compiled the forecast population of the selected area by 2030. In the final part in order to achieve the objective I conducted interviews with key personnel in social services in the studied area. The conducted research has revealed several recommendations for the town Světlá. In the future, it would be appropriate to support outreach and outpatient services, and increasingly develop cooperation with existing non-profit organization that operate in the selected area. It is also necessary to resolve the issue in an appropriate manner of people at risk of social exclusion. By 2030, the increase in the number of people older than 65 years in the studied area almost doubled. With that will surely come the need to extend existing capabilities of social services. For the city, it follows in the next 15 years to take appropriate action in response to the social policy of the state. The current system of financing social services and the care allowance is assessed as ineffective and requires appropriate legislative adjustment, so that the network of social services in the Czech Republic in the future, is prepared for the expected demographic trends.
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Analysis of the Greek pension system from 2010: Fiscal sustainability and its future development
Koreček, Jakub ; Potužák, Pavel (advisor) ; Svoboda, Miroslav (referee)
The theme of this thesis is to analyze in detail the current pension system of Greece (2010) and attempts to mathematically predict the future development up to 2060. The main content is a mathematical model able to count the balance of the pension system. In the analysis, the emphasis is on the balancing pension system in the long term, and thus examines the impact of changes on the expenditure or revenue. The paper uses the component method for demographic projections. To extend the research was prepared in complete mathematical model pension system. The results demonstrated the ability to maintain the pension system in positive territory in 2060 with proper and sensitive parameter adjustment.
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Comparison of statistical software for demographical data analysis
Tůmová, Pavla ; Löster, Tomáš (advisor) ; Hulíková Tesárková, Klára (referee)
The objective of this thesis is to point out to possibilities of how to process demographic data using several statistical software systems. Programs with different approach to data processing and analysis have been chosen on purpose. The thesis is divided into three parts. The first one is theoretical. Terms and methods that have been used in the thesis are explained here and there is also an introduction to the Microsoft Office Excel, SAS and Matlab software. Second part maps sources of demographic data, attends to data formats and explains their usage and advantages. In the third part, selected tasks that are likely to encounter in demography are presented. They have been chosen so that they examine the programs from various views such as transparency, range of choice of statistical functions, ability to create graphical outputs etc. A general procedure, evaluation, output comments and own code implementation (if the functions are not integrated) are introduced for each of the tasks. In my thesis I focused mostly on the question of choosing proper software for demographic data analysis.
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Prognosis of social services in the demographic development context in the area of Vlachovo Březí municipality
PETRŮ, Libuše
Social care services in a certain region are highly affected by the demographic development. To evaluate the demand for social care services, the population, age structure, life expectancy, natality and mortality should be considered. There are 1691 inhabitants living in Vlachovo Březí as at 31 December 2008. Most social care services for the town residents are provided by other municipalities of the Prachatice district. The thesis was aimed at document analysis and a subsequent statistical procedure which, together with future demographic development, formed a basis for the prognosis of the demand for social care services in Vlachovo Březí at the age groups 0-7, 15-18 and 65+ years during the 2010-2020 period. The other goal was to find out the use of social care allowances by beneficiaries and financial costs of the allowances for 65+ age group in Vlachovo Březí. Based on the prognosis for single age groups and the evaluation of the current social services, the findings are as follows: As an early years child care service (0-7 years) does not exist in the district, a necessity of setting up such a facility, which will serve this age group in the district centre (Prachatice), can be expected. Social care services for the age group between 15-18 years are currently insufficient so to build a low-treshold facility should become a priority. The age group 65+ is supposed to grow. A senior home has not been established in Vlachovo Březí and the surroundings. There is a possible way in setting up a nursing home with a simultaneous enhancement of community care services. In addition, the research helped us discover the fact that expenses on the social care allowances are not spent effectively and financial costs of them will increase 1.5 times in the next 10 years. The future revaluation of a current system of the allowance payment or a dependancy rate of the beneficiaries seems to be necessary. There are 1184 beneficiaries in the Prachatice municipality with extended competence as at 31 December 2009. This thesis can serve as a draft plan of social care services in the region. It can also be helpful in further research into this topic and the dissemination of the research findings.
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Penzijní reforma a životní pojištění
Marvan, Jan ; Daňhel, Jaroslav (advisor) ; Radová, Jarmila (referee)
Diplomová práce by měla čtenáři poskytnout popis způsobu důchodového zabezpečení občanů v České republice, analýzu udržitelnosti, resp. neudržitelnosti jeho hlavní komponenty, tj. systému sociálního důchodového pojištění, podstatnou měrou se zaměřuje na příčiny toho, proč se vůbec o penzijní reformě začalo mluvit, a pracuje s životním pojištěním v kontextu penzijní reformy, která představuje víceméně nutnou reakci na současná a zejména pak velmi reálná budoucí rizika, jejichž naplnění by znamenalo ohrožení finanční stability českého důchodového pojištění a potažmo i dlouhodobé vyrovnanosti veřejných financí. Na životní pojištění je zde tedy nahlíženo jako na jeden ze zamýšlených nástrojů financování postaktivní fáze života jedince.
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Population ageing and replacement migration in the Czech republic
Pavlov, Vratislav ; Langhamrová, Jitka (advisor) ; Fiala, Tomáš (referee)
Population ageing is one of the most important current problems in developed countries. The goal of my work is the analysis of economic and social problems occasioned by population ageing, population prognosis and the possibility of compensation a population loss and changes in age structure through replacement migration. This is all in the Czech Republic. For my work I will use readily available information databases, mainly the database provided by Czech Statistical Office and the databases of relevant ministries in the Czech Republic. At first I will make demographic predictions using a component method without migration and then I will use replacement migration to compensate a population loss and changes in selected demoeconomic characteristics. The contribution of my work is in the concretization of methodology for calculating the replacement migration and in the results obtained from this study, which will show feasibility of this concept in practice. Last but not least I will look for solutions to the adverse economic impact of population ageing. In my study at first I will explain the concept of an ageing population and analyze past demographic trends in the Czech Republic. The entire chapter I will attend to migration and migration policy. Then I will focus on demographic forecast and especially replacement migration. At the end of my work I will analyze the economic impacts of an ageing population and the possibilities for their solution.
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Demografický faktor - indikátor rastu verejných výdavkov
Simkaničová, Soňa ; Ježková, Alena (advisor)
V úvodu této bakalářske práce je obsaženo stručné vysvětlení základních pojmů souvisejícich se zdravotním systémem v souladu s platnými zákony týkajícimi se zdravotné starostlivosti a uvedení do problematiky zdravotnictví Slovenské republiky. V druhé části je pozornost věnována analýze výdavků do zdravotnictví SR v letech 1995-2006. Závěrečná část obsahuje demografickou prognózu a projekci výdavků na zdravotní starostlivost do roku 2050 vzhledem k předpokládanému vývoji obyvatelstva. Načrtnutá jsou i doporučení v oblastech, ktrerých se dotkne stárnutí populace.
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