|
|
Automotive fuel taxes and cross-border shopping
Kubovič, Jozef ; Janský, Petr (advisor) ; Mikolášek, Jakub (referee)
This thesis investigates the presence of the cross-border shopping for automotive fuel between the Czech Republic and neighbouring countries over the time period from January 2005 to December 2012. Tax rates on fuels were described as one of the main source of price difference between countries that induces cross-border shopping. Using monthly data for diesel and petrol we used error correction model and estimated both long-term and short-term relationships between consumption of fuel in the Czech Republic and prices in Czech Republic and neighbouring countries. We found the evidence of a negative relationship between prices of petrol in the Czech Republic and its consumption as well as a positive relationship between relative price of petrol in Germany upon the consumption of petrol in the Czech Republic, which indicates presence of the cross-border shopping from Germany to Czech Republic.
|
|
|
The Inflation-Output Variability Relationship in the CEE countries: A Bivariate GARCH Model
Kubovič, Jozef ; Čech, František (advisor) ; Červinka, Michal (referee)
This thesis examines the output-variability relationship and causal relationships among the inflation, the output growth and their uncertainties for the Central and Eastern European region during the period of time that covers the economic crisis of 2008. We apply the bivariate GARCH(1,1) model with the constant conditional correlation covariance matrix to obtain conditional variances that proxy the two uncertainties and use Granger causality test to determine the causal effects among four variables. We come up with a number of interesting results. First, we did not find statistical evidence neither for the inflation-output variability relationship nor for the Phillips curve. Second, we uncovered support for the positive causal effect of the inflation on its uncertainty and negative causal effect for the reverse direction. Additionally, we also found some support for the indirect negative causal effect of the inflation on the output growth. These results support the policy of low and stable inflation in the countries. Finally, we showed that crisis has a significant impact on the results, changing the behaviour of conditional variances and causal effects among the variables. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
|
|
|
The Inflation-Output Variability Relationship in the CEE countries: A Bivariate GARCH Model
Kubovič, Jozef ; Čech, František (advisor) ; Červinka, Michal (referee)
This thesis examines the output-variability relationship and causal relationships among the inflation, the output growth and their uncertainties for the Central and Eastern European region during the period of time that covers the economic crisis of 2008. We apply the bivariate GARCH(1,1) model with the constant conditional correlation covariance matrix to obtain conditional variances that proxy the two uncertainties and use Granger causality test to determine the causal effects among four variables. We come up with a number of interesting results. First, we did not find statistical evidence neither for the inflation-output variability relationship nor for the Phillips curve. Second, we uncovered support for the positive causal effect of the inflation on its uncertainty and negative causal effect for the reverse direction. Additionally, we also found some support for the indirect negative causal effect of the inflation on the output growth. These results support the policy of low and stable inflation in the countries. Finally, we showed that crisis has a significant impact on the results, changing the behaviour of conditional variances and causal effects among the variables. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
|
|
|
Automotive fuel taxes and cross-border shopping
Kubovič, Jozef ; Janský, Petr (advisor) ; Mikolášek, Jakub (referee)
This thesis investigates the presence of the cross-border shopping for automotive fuel between the Czech Republic and neighbouring countries over the time period from January 2005 to December 2012. Tax rates on fuels were described as one of the main source of price difference between countries that induces cross-border shopping. Using monthly data for diesel and petrol we used error correction model and estimated both long-term and short-term relationships between consumption of fuel in the Czech Republic and prices in Czech Republic and neighbouring countries. We found the evidence of a negative relationship between prices of petrol in the Czech Republic and its consumption as well as a positive relationship between relative price of petrol in Germany upon the consumption of petrol in the Czech Republic, which indicates presence of the cross-border shopping from Germany to Czech Republic.
|
guest ::
