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Using data mining methods in the analysis of credit risk data
Tvaroh, Tomáš ; Witzany, Jiří (advisor) ; Matejašák, Milan (referee)
This thesis focuses on comparison of selected data mining methods for solving classification tasks with the method of logistic regression. First part of the thesis briefly introduces data mining as a scientific discipline and classification task is shown in the context of knowledge data discovery. Next part explains the principle of particular methods amongst which, along with logistic regression, artificial neural networks, classification decision trees and Support Vector Machine method were selected. Together with mathematical background of each algorithm, demonstration of how the classification functions for new examples is mentioned. Analytical part of this thesis tests decribed methods on real-world data from the Lending Club company and they are compared based on classification accuracy. Towards the end, an evaluation of logistic regression is made in terms of whether its majority position is due to historical reasons or for its high classification accuracy compared to other methods.
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The development of the situation of juniors and seniors
Siegelová, Klára ; Bartošová, Jitka (advisor) ; Bína, Vladislav (referee)
The final thesis deals with social situations juniors and seniors in selected countries of the European Union. The thesis monitors changes in social developments primarily in terms of income, education, and especially of unemployment. The selected period is the period from approximately 2005 to 2011, in some cases up to 2013. The aim of this thesis is the statistical analysis of the data set EU-SILC for 2005 and 2010 of Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland, Germany, France and Spain with focusing on income, education and unemployment among age groups.
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The use of statistical methods in data mining in predicting consumer behaviour for Internet purchases
Podzimková, Michaela ; Vilikus, Ondřej (advisor) ; Berka, Petr (referee)
Data mining is a new discipline that occurs with increasing amount of stored data and the increasing need to obtain the information hidden in them. It is focused on the mining of potentially useful information from large data sets and it lies at the intersection of statistics, machine learning, artificial intelligence, databases and other areas. The aim of this thesis is to present the process of data mining with an emphasis on its connection with statistics and to describe a selection of statistical methods widely used in this field and which were also used in the applied data mining problem in this thesis. Real data from purchases in the online store show that using different methods gives different results and interesting information about purchasing behavior, and also proves that not all methods are always applicable to all types of tasks.
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Factors influencing the financial situation of Ph.D. students in the Czech Republic
Zahradníčková, Jana ; Vltavská, Kristýna (advisor) ; Stoklasa, Jan (referee)
Ph.D. students are an integral part of the tertiary education system. Encouragement for doctoral programs and their students is very important because they are the ones who will participate in research projects in the future and they will contribute to society as a whole. The majority of scholarships for Ph.D. students comes from public sources. An important question to be asked is whether the scholarships are sufficient to finance Ph.D. studies and whether there are differences in the amount depending on gender, field of study or region. This thesis aims to answer these questions by applying statistical methods to the results of the survey DOKTORANDI 2014.
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Building a predictive model for bankruptcy
BÜRGER, Pavel
Thesis deals with complex process of creation of new bankruptcy model for predicting business failure, while this process involves selection of quality sample, verification of classification accuracy of already existing bankruptcy models, profile analysis and finally the derivation of specific equation of bankruptcy model. The derivation is performed by using two selected statistical methods, discriminant analysis and logistic regression. Two bankruptcy models Bürger's index DA12 and Bürger's index LR12 were derived by using the mentioned statistical methods. The new models distinct advantage is, unlike already existing and renowned bankruptcy models, that they are focused on classification of micro and small enterprises in terms of Czech Republic, while classification accuracy one year before failure is by individual models 74.8 % and 81.87 %. Derived models have clear interpretation (no grey zone) and easy calculation, which brings a possibility for micro and small entrepreneurs to check their business partners in terms of failure prediction.
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Financial distress prediction of company
MAŇASOVÁ, Helena
The theoretical part of this master thesis deals with creation and solution of financial distress and analysing classification models. In the practical part I defined own methods for financial distress prediction of company using discriminant analysis and logistic regression.
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The Risk of Poverty in the Czech Republic
Klein, Jan ; Bartošová, Jitka (advisor) ; Bína, Vladislav (referee)
The goal of this work is to identify and analyse factors with impact on the income decrease of households under the poverty line. Data used in this work are taken from EU SILC survey. In this work is created a statistical model which help us to discover relevant and irrelevant factors. The situation and it's development is analysed only for Czech households in this work
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The analysis of dependence of the material deprivation of the households in the Czech Republic on the selected indicators
Cafourková, Magdalena ; Řezanková, Hana (advisor) ; Pecáková, Iva (referee)
The aim of this thesis is to analyse the material deprivation of the households with regard to the selected indicators, i.e. the costs that the household spends on housing, a region where the household is located, the number of the members and the dependent children in the household, age and sex of a head of the household, and economic activity and education level of the members of the household. The thesis aims not only to prove the dependence among the selected indicators but also to quantify this dependence by using the odds ratio. The individual effect of all variables was proven except of the one related to the number of the dependent children. It was also demonstrated that the factors constituting a threat for the households by a material deprivation rate vary by the different age groups. However, it can be concluded that across all the age groups, the material deprivation rate is determined by the sex of a head of the household, education level of the members of the household, and the costs that the household spends on housing.
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Nonlinear Trend Modeling in the Analysis of Categorical Data
Kalina, Jan
This paper studies various approaches to testing trend in the context of categorical data. While the linear trend is far more popular in econometric applications, a nonlinear modeling of the trend allows a more subtle information extraction from real data, especially if the linearity of the trend cannot be expected and verified by hypothesis testing. We exploit the exact unconditional approach to propose alternative versions of some trend tests. One of them is the test of relaxed trend (Liu, 1998), who proposed a generalization of the classical Cochran- Armitage test of linear trend. A numerical example on real data reveals the advantages of the test of relaxed trend compared to the classical test of linear trend. Further, we propose an exact unconditional test also for modeling association between an ordinal response and nominal regressor. Further, we propose a robust estimator of parameters in the logistic regression model, which is based on implicit weighting of individual observations. We assess the breakdown point of the newly proposed robust estimator.
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Using data mining to manage an enterprise.
Prášil, Zdeněk ; Pour, Jan (advisor) ; Novotný, Ota (referee)
The thesis is focused on data mining and its use in management of an enterprise. The thesis is structured into theoretical and practical part. Aim of the theoretical part was to find out: 1/ the most used methods of the data mining, 2/ typical application areas, 3/ typical problems solved in the application areas. Aim of the practical part was: 1/ to demonstrate use of the data mining in small Czech e-shop for understanding of the structure of the sale data, 2/ to demonstrate, how the data mining analysis can help to increase marketing results. In my analyses of the literature data I found decision trees, linear and logistic regression, neural network, segmentation methods and association rules are the most used methods of the data mining analysis. CRM and marketing, financial institutions, insurance and telecommunication companies, retail trade and production are the application areas using the data mining the most. The specific tasks of the data mining focus on relationships between marketing sales and customers to make better business. In the analysis of the e-shop data I revealed the types of goods which are buying together. Based on this fact I proposed that the strategy supporting this type of shopping is crucial for the business success. As a conclusion I proved the data mining is methods appropriate also for the small e-shop and have capacity to improve its marketing strategy.
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