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Impacts of CNB Monetary Interventions from 2013 to the Insolvency of the Companies
Kudějová, Barbora ; Komrska, Martin (advisor) ; Potužák, Pavel (referee)
The diploma thesis is concerned with the intervention of the Czech National Bank in the area of the exchange market and its impact on the insolvency of companies. The majority of the studies dealing with the liquidation of companies focuses primarily on the microeconomic determinants of bankruptcy. Conversely, the empirical study carried out in this project concentrates on the macroeconomic determinants of company bankruptcy. For the purposes of this study were used the quarterly panel data of insolvencies for the 5-year-period between 2010 - 2015. The quantity of insolvencies was established for individual branches. Furthermore, the method Differences-in-Differences was employed in order to compare those branches which were assumed to prove a significant impact of the depreciation of the Czech crown in comparison to those where the exchange rate seems to be rather irrelevant. The results of the regressive analysis have confirmed the initial hypothesis of this work: from the perspective of insolvency, the intervention on the aggregate level has improved the situation of companies. Finally, the impact on individual branches was investigated in this diploma thesis. The results testified that the situation deteriorated in case of the travel agencies (as expected).
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Impact of Czech National Bank´s foreign exchange intervention on the trade balance of the Czech Republic
Blumtritt, Jakub ; Žamberský, Pavel (advisor) ; Jiránková, Martina (referee)
The main objective of this thesis is to analyze and evaluate the effect of the Czech National Bank´s foreign exchange intervention on the trade balance of the Czech Republic. For this purpose a hypothesis was set, that in the short-term the devaluation of the Czech currency causes deterioration of the trade balance and only after some time has passed the trade balance starts to grow. In theory this effect is known as the J-curve hypothesis. The first chapter summarizes theoretical knowledge about monetary policy and exchange rate theory. The second chapter analyzes the development of commodity and territorial structure of the Czech trade balance from 2000 to 2013. The third chapter focuses on the foreign exchange intervention itself and provides arguments for and against this measure taken by the Czech National Bank. The fourth chapter is the most important one for acceptance or rejection of the hypothesis set. It uses the Vector Error Correction Model to estimate the impact of devaluation on the trade balance of Czech Republic with Germany. Subsequently outcomes of this model are compared to the real statistical data of Czech trade.
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Consequences of foreign exchange intervention on the economy of the Czech Republic
Košická, Monika ; Titze, Miroslav (advisor) ; Štěpánek, Pavel (referee)
Czech Republic is currently struggling with the threat of deflation, therefore the CNB has used the foreign exchange interventions to prevent this. The thesis examines the current state of the economy and aims to answer the question whether the depreciation of the crown truly prevent deflation and a possible deflationary spiral. To achieve the objective are used comparison methods, descriptions, observations and analysis, including relational analysis. The theoretical part focuses on the theoretical impacts of depreciation of the crown from a macroeconomic point of view. Furthermore, solves the problem of deflation and for example describes the deflation in Japan. In the practical part I compare the views of the CNB and other alternative views on this situation. In the final part I analyse GDP, export and import, terms of trade, consumption and inflation. Based on this analysis, I conclude that although that there was an improvement of some macroeconomic indicators, we can't ascribe the improvement to the foreign-exchange interventions.
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Inflation targeting in case of imminent deflationary pressures - the example of CNB
Plachý, Matěj ; Koderová, Jitka (advisor) ; Dvořák, Michal (referee)
This diploma thesis focuses on the use of inflation targeting as monetary policy regime in a situation of imminent deflation. The thesis is divided into three main parts. The first part introduces the basic mechanism of inflation targeting with its basic elements and describes its possible failure. The second part focuses mainly on the analysis of the economic factors which contributed to achieving the zero lower bound for the repo rate of CNB. The third part presents an alternative (unconventional) monetary policy instruments in case of achieving zero lower bound, in particular the use of the exchange rate. The end of the last part of this thesis analyzes the development of key macroeconomic indicators in the Czech Republic.
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Nezávislost přijímání monetárních opatření ČNB na monetární politice ECB
Opletalová, Marcela
The diploma thesis deals with the independence of monetary policy of the Czech National Bank on the monetary policy of the European Central Bank. The content of thesis is to allocate and subsequently analyze zones in which foreign monetary policy can influence and restrict realization of monetary policy in small open economy. The aim of thesis is to assess extent of dependency of decision making process of monetary policy CNB on monetary policy ECB. Conclusion and recommendations are formulated based on the results obtained of qualitative and quantitative analysis and comparison of particular monetary indicators.
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Analysis of the state of preparedness of the Czech Republic for adopting the Europe’s single currency
Zusková, Michaela ; Čajka, Radek (advisor) ; Tlapa, Martin (referee)
Thesis "Analysis of the state of preparedness of the Czech Republic for adopting the Europe's single currency" deals with the issue of preparedness of the Czech Republic for joining the Eurozone. The author reflects the readiness from different points of view and therefore the work divided into four main areas, which are gradually analysed. The first chapter which deals with the development of monetary union and with the commitment of the Czech Republic to adopt the euro is followed by chapters about the institutional, economic, legal and social preparedness. This thesis deals not only with the current state of readiness but also with its development since accession to the EU. Some areas are also compared with selected European countries where the author focuses primarily on those which should adopt the Europe's single currency in the future. For treatment of the subject are used, for instance, the analysis of the Czech National Bank, government materials or materials of the European Union.
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Central Bank Independency
Böhm, Tomáš ; Jílek, Josef (advisor)
Práce se zabývá nezávislostí centrálních bank, záběrem od právního postavení CB, aspektů nezávislosti, argumentů pro a proti vysoké míře nezávislosti, dále přehled studií zabývajích se nezávislostí CB až po politické vlivy na centrální banku.
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Comparison regulation and supervision in Great Britain and in the Czech Republic
Beneš, Jonáš ; Blahová, Naděžda (advisor) ; Brada, Jaroslav (referee)
Resume: This Bachelor's dissertation focuses on topick comparison regulation in Great Britain and in the Czech Republic and its harmonization on European and global level. In this dissertation is explained the supervision system and regulation in Great Britain and planned changes due to financial crisis which started in 2009. This dissertation covers most important harmonizing institutions and tools, witch affecting harmonization. The most important part is comparison of thet four main parts of supervision and regulation and the approach of the bouth countries to this issues.
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