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Explaining European Military Integration: Theoretical Perspectives in Relation to the Building of a Common Defence
Pompilii, Matteo ; Rosa, Paolo (vedoucí práce) ; Ludvík, Jan (oponent)
The present dissertation aims to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the process of European defence integration (EDI), utilising the theoretical perspectives of realism, neofunctionalism (NF), and liberal intergovernmentalism (LI). It seeks to evaluate the extent to which these perspectives shed light on the implementation of significant initiatives, specifically the Permanent Structured Cooperation (PESCO), the European Intervention Initiative (EI2), and the recent Strategic Compass (SC). To examine the mechanisms of European integration and disintegration within the realm of defence, this study employs theory-building and theory-testing methods, making use of scholarly literature, policy documents, official reports, and existing interviews. The results of the research show that realism is the theoretical framework that provides the most comprehensive elucidation for the activation of PESCO, EI2 and the SC, placing emphasis on the importance of external threats and security challenges. The neofunctionalist perspective posits that the integration process across different sectors, such as economics, holds the capacity to produce a spillover effect. However, the examination of the influence of economic integration on defence initiatives is intricate due to external factors such as the COVID-19...
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Profiling a State? Combining the Methods of Micro-Level Profiling with the Scope of Macro-Level Strategic Analysis
von Werdt, Benjamin Max David ; Peacock, Timothy (vedoucí práce) ; Rosa, Paolo (oponent)
This dissertation presents a new method of strategic analysis - the Profiling Cycle. It proposes to combine micro-level profiling methods as used in criminal profiling, behavioral psychology, and sociology, with macro-level methods used for strategic analysis, including neoclassical realism and a newly developed comparative strategy. The Theory of the Big 5 was chosen to represent behavioral psychology, and Coleman's Boat was used for sociology. Key elements from these prevailing theories and methods were borrowed and applied on the level of an entire state. The dissertation explains the Profiling Cycle step-by-step, thereby allowing anyone wishing to use this new method to do so. For illustration, it applies the first step of the Profiling Cycle to the Russian Federation as a case study. The Profiling Cycle's ability to accurately predict future behavior can only be tested in the medium to long term. This dissertation acts as a proof-of-concept. It describes how a functionally complete profile can be created with the help of behavioral psychology, and how an analyst might use this profile to set up possible medium to long term scenarios. Keywords: Strategic Analysis, Theory of the Big 5, Coleman's Boat, Criminal Profiling, Russia, New method, Profiling Cycle
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