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Customer Lifetime Value - Application to Banking Sector
Lajksnerová, Zuzana ; Krištoufek, Ladislav (advisor) ; Baxa, Jaromír (referee)
Master Thesis: Customer Lifetime Value - Application to Banking Sector Author: Zuzana Lajksnerová Abstract This thesis deals with the calculation of the customer life value for clients of second largest Czech commercial banks - Československá obchodní banka a.s.. The aim is to estimate the revenue each individual brings to the bank within the first year, two, four since creating a profile but also during the whole time he or she remains in their customer base. The first, theoretical part contains of structured overview of the modeling approach from available literature. In the second part, we develop two different models, which are subsequently applied on client data of 2.7 million ČSOB customers. The prediction takes into account both revenues from each product and probability that customer will use this product. For estimation of the two models we use several different econometric methods, thus linear regression, bootstrap, probit and multinomial logit. The results show that demographic data such as age and gender, as well as product related variables, greatly inuence the final level of value of customer. It is also shown that higher potential earnings are associated with men, people of working age and loyal customers.
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Interest rate pass-through : Does it change with financial distress? : the Czech experience
Kazaziová, Gledis ; Krištoufek, Ladislav (referee) ; Horváth, Roman (advisor)
The aim of this thesis is to investigate the behavior of the interest rate transmission from money market rates to bank retail rates on the Czech banking market during the period from January 2004 to January 2010, and to detect potential changes occurred as a result of current financial crisis. Using Ordinary Least Squares, Recursive Coefficients estimates and Impulse Response analysis we explore that bank retail rates reflect Pribor rate changes more strongly than changes in Euribor rates. We reveal that interest rate pass-through is rather incomplete and sluggish in the majority of cases and the adjustment level decreases noticeably during the period influenced by the financial crises.
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The evolution of Prague real estate market after 1989
Skala, Maximilian ; Gavlas, Ivo (referee) ; Krištoufek, Ladislav (advisor)
This thesis describes on one hand the evolution of the real estate market in The Czech Republic and more speci cally in Prague after the Velvet revolution in 1989 - the creation of new institutional and legislative environment. On the other hand this thesis focuses on the data of the rst decade of the 21st century to try and detect the symptoms that should have alarmed the soci- ety, banks and investors of the upcoming burst of the bubble as a consequence of the global nancial crisis in 2008. Finally we are going to setup a simple econometric model which would partly describe the in uence of some factors on the price of real estate.
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Efficiency of public spending
Lebovič, Michal ; Krištoufek, Ladislav (referee) ; Zápal, Jan (advisor)
This thesis aims to offer a comprehensive introduction into the topic of efficiency measurement in the public sector. Firstly, usual definitions and concepts of efficiency are introduced. Attention is then turned to the description of various factors and problems specific for public sector that are crucial to efficiency measurement. It is shown that these factors preclude the use of general (private sector) efficiency measurement methods or demand their modification. The most common methods of analysis are then introduced and their relative advantages and disadvantages in the environment of public sector are explained. Finally the thesis outlines the possible uses and benefits of efficiency measurement, including the use in the economic policy-making, but also points out the limits inherent to this analysis in the current stage of development.
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Multifractal nature of financial markets and its relationship to market efficiency
Jeřábek, Jakub ; Vošvrda, Miloslav (advisor) ; Krištoufek, Ladislav (referee)
The thesis shows the relationship between the persistence in the financial markets returns and their efficiency. It interprets the efficient markets hypothesis and provides various time series models for the analysis of financial markets. The concept of long memory is broadly presented and two main types of methods to estimate long memory are analysed - time domain and frequency domain methods. A Monte Carlo study is used to compare the methods and selected estimators are then used on real world data - exchange rate and stock market series. There is no evidence of long memory in the returns but the stock market volatilities show clear signs of persistence.
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Causal relationship between Uncertainty and Crude Oil Prices: A Quantile Regression approach
Ruiz Vargas, Andrés Mauricio ; Baruník, Jozef (advisor) ; Krištoufek, Ladislav (referee)
This work considers the causal relationship between the news-based uncertainty measures and WTI crude oil price within the quantile causality framework by using daily data for a period from January 4, 2000, to November 14, 2016. We find that the Granger non-causality test in quantiles between crude oil returns and the news-based uncertainty measures uncover the causal relationship over different levels of conditional quantiles of the crude oil returns. In particular, there exists a strong causal relationship in the tails of the crude oil returns distribution. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
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