Original title: Modeling COVID Pandemics: Strengths and Weaknesses of Epidemic Models
Authors: Šmíd, Martin
Document type: Papers
Conference/Event: WUPES 2022: 12th Workshop on Uncertainty Processing, Kutná Hora (CZ), 20220601
Year: 2022
Language: eng
Abstract: We generally discuss modeling the present COVID pandemics. We argue that useful models have to be simple in the first case, yet their uncertainty has to be handled properly. In order to study circumstances of the upcoming wave of infection,\nwe construct a simple stochastic model and present predictions it gives. We conclude that the autumn wave is most likely unavoidable and suggest concentrating to mitigation.
Keywords: COVID; Epidemic Models; stochastic model
Host item entry: Proceedings of the 12th Workshop on Uncertainty Processing, ISBN 978-80-7378-460-7

Institution: Institute of Information Theory and Automation AS ČR (web)
Document availability information: Fulltext is available at external website.
External URL: http://library.utia.cas.cz/separaty/2022/E/smid-0558740.pdf
Original record: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0332320

Permalink: http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-508663


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