Nuclear proliferation risk: Analysis of the selected countries

Látalová, Lenka

The understanding of motives which lead the states to the decision of nuclear procurement represents the fundamental task to stop or at least limit the nuclear proliferation. This diploma thesis primarily focuses on analysing the proliferative motives of the selected countries: Iran, Syria and Libya with intention to predict if the states could pose a threat in the future. Text is divided into three main parts. After general introduction of the the topic and description of essential terms, the diploma thesis analyses the nuclear capability of the selected countries and with the help of Sagan's theoretical aproach also possible motives of the states to build a nuclear weapon. Suggesting part then deals with the answer of the questions: Are Sagan's models helpful in assessing the state's intentions? Does the selected countries intend to develop nuclear weapons? Could they pose a threat in the future?

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