Dopad COVID-19 krize na řízení úvěrového rizika v bankách

Lukášková, Karolína

iv Abstract This diploma thesis examines the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the bank credit risk in the European Union. The analysis is performed using two sets of panel data. The first set contains data at the bank-level between 2012 and 2018 and is obtained from BankFocus batabase and the second set of data is obtained from the EBA Risk dashboard and contains data at the country-level between 2014 and 2020. Both datasets contain bank-specific variables and macroeconomic variables. We use the variables Cost of risk, Total capital ratio, Tier 1 ratio and NPE ratio as dependent variables. As representatives of the COVID-19 shock, we use the number of people infected with this disease, the number of deaths from this disease and the Stringency Index. We employ the GMM system for our analysis and test 5 hypotheses. We did not reject 3 hypotheses, namely that Cost of risk is a key determinant of credit risk and that the crisis caused by COVID-19 affects the variables Capitalo ratio and NPE ratio. We further concluded that the variables representing COVID-19 do not have a negative effect on credit risk, mainly due to the interventions of the ECB and the IASB. JEL Classification C12, C33, G01, G21 Keywords bank, COVID-19 crisis, credit risk management, Stringency index Title Author's e-mail Supervisor's e-mail...

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