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IPO underpricing and sentiment of investors
Scheerová, Lucie ; Dědek, Oldřich (advisor) ; Lupusor, Adrian (referee)
The thesis investigates investor sentiment, proxied by grey market prices, being a common source for IPO underpricing, long-term underperformance of IPOs, and cycles in IPO volume. The paper contributes to the field of research by an updated German dataset from 2000 to 2010, and by investigating all main IPO market anomalies together with their common trigger. The results show evidence of a positive relationship between the investor sentiment and IPO underpricing, indicating the investor sentiment being an explanation for it. Moreover, the study shows investor sentiment being positively linked to offer prices - an evidence of issuers exploiting that sentiment. However, the long-term underperformance relative to the aftermarket price of IPOs from high underpricing periods - another evidence of investor sentiment being a source for IPO underpricing - has not been confirmed. Other hypotheses have also not been verified. They include higher IPO volume following high underpricing periods and long-term underperformance relative to the offer price of IPOs from high underpricing periods. Both these hypotheses would represent another confirmation of firms exploiting the investor sentiment. The statistically significant results are consistent with other papers. The insignificance might have been caused by the method...
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Natural Interest Rate: Is 2% CPI Inflation Still the Right Target?
Scheerová, Lucie ; Holub, Tomáš (advisor) ; Hlaváček, Michal (referee)
This paper uses the semi-structural Laubach and Williams model to estimate the time- varying natural rate of interest by Kalman filter and Maximum Likelihood method, applying it for the first time to Czech data. The results show a significant decrease of the natural interest rate during the past decade, which constitutes further evidence for the wide-spread notion that structural factors in many countries have shifted after the global financial crisis. The paper's contribution is mainly represented by preparing ground for further research. It concludes that the basic version of the Laubach and Williams model is not optimal for the Czech environment and suggests appropriate adjustments to it. It discusses and analyzes sources of potential problems with the estimation, notably the issues of singularity and model specification. Eventually the paper concludes that due to the low significance of results and the uncertainty of gains and losses related to a policy switch, the best reaction of the central bank would be to keep the current regime and inflation target. JEL Classification C32, E43, E52, O40 Keywords natural real interest rate, inflation target, inflation measurement, monetary policy, Kalman filter, trend growth Author's e-mail lucie.scheer@gmail.com Supervisor's e-mail tomas.holub@fsv.cuni.cz v
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IPO underpricing and sentiment of investors
Scheerová, Lucie ; Dědek, Oldřich (advisor) ; Lupusor, Adrian (referee)
The thesis investigates investor sentiment, proxied by grey market prices, being a common source for IPO underpricing, long-term underperformance of IPOs, and cycles in IPO volume. The paper contributes to the field of research by an updated German dataset from 2000 to 2010, and by investigating all main IPO market anomalies together with their common trigger. The results show evidence of a positive relationship between the investor sentiment and IPO underpricing, indicating the investor sentiment being an explanation for it. Moreover, the study shows investor sentiment being positively linked to offer prices - an evidence of issuers exploiting that sentiment. However, the long-term underperformance relative to the aftermarket price of IPOs from high underpricing periods - another evidence of investor sentiment being a source for IPO underpricing - has not been confirmed. Other hypotheses have also not been verified. They include higher IPO volume following high underpricing periods and long-term underperformance relative to the offer price of IPOs from high underpricing periods. Both these hypotheses would represent another confirmation of firms exploiting the investor sentiment. The statistically significant results are consistent with other papers. The insignificance might have been caused by the method...
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