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Exporting financing of Czech companies in the current economic situation of 2012
Pěchová, Hana ; Mejstřík, Michal (advisor) ; Luňáčková, Petra (referee)
The master thesis shows how important is the promotion of export for the economy of the Czech Republic in the present time of economic uncertainty and in front of such threats it now stands. I show in individual chapters of this study, that it is necessary to allow for availability of export credits for Czech exporters, because these may also help to achieve the objectives of the new Czech export strategy. Then I present methods of state aid, two Czech export agencies. And by using gravity model and subsequent analysis I show, that it is socially advantageous to support these agencie, since the positive impact of this support can also be expected as an increase in employment, GDP growth and increased income to the state budget through taxes. Furthermore, I introduce the leader to the threat posed to export financing in Europe by the regulatory requirements of the newly introduced Basel III banking regulation - not just capital requirements, but also the newly introduced leverage ratio. Econometric model empirically confirms the hypothesis, that Basel III will have a negative impact on the availability and price of export credits. On the contrary, according to the conclusions of this model I cannot assume that this regulation significantly influences the Czech export credit institutions.
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Current Trends within the State Support Credit Insurance System in the Czech Republic
Nakládal, Jiří ; Daňhel, Jaroslav (advisor) ; Fárek, Jiří (referee) ; Procházka, Jan (referee)
This dissertation offers a complex analysis of the state supported export credit market in the Czech Republic. For the most part of the work the author deals with credit insurance market as it represents a key part of the system. Author analyses portfolio specifics of the local export credit insurance agency and searches for the most effective risk mitigation techniques and procedures in order to maintain its long-term non-loss operations while keeping in mind its special supportive mission. Particular attention is given to the export credit insurance agency's business policy that copes with problems of information asymmetry, moral hazard and adverse selection. Author points out the differences between state supported and commercial insurers, analyses European legislation preventing export credit agencies from competition with commercial insurers and outlines more effective endogenous and self-regulating system. Minority of the work deals with less important export credit financing agency that represents a dominant player at the export credit financing market. Author finds almost twenty reasons of its extraordinary position at the market that has no analogy within developed countries worldwide and outlines a system securing its complement role to the commercial banks. Finally the author provides the analysis of the whole state supported export credit system, highlights its main risks in conjunction with each other and concludes that combination of negative circumstances influencing several important features of the system could possibly lead to a long-term instability of the system.
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Credit Risk in International Trade - Comparative Study of credit rating models of Export Guarantee and Insurance Agency EGAP, a.s. and Corporate Banks
Čiháková, Andrea ; Taušer, Josef (advisor) ; Čajka, Radek (referee)
The dissertation compares the export credit rating model of the national Export Guarantee and Insurance Agency EGAP with models applied by selected Czech banks. The first part of the dissertation presents a summary of credit risk theory. It depicts the main principles of lending and its risks. The dissertation further describes the factors that influence credit risk and the methods of its modelling. While mathematical risk models project the expected loss as well as its sensitivity to the risk factors, the focus of this thesis lies in qualitative models which set a normalized scale for probability of default, the so called credit rating models. The main contribution of the dissertation lies in the survey carried out among four Czech banks belonging to owners from various countries, from which we get an overview of their rating models. It follows from the gathered information that their models are based on financial indicators when rating the buyers/exporters. The models are also considerably amended by non-financial factors whose importance in certain cases rose following the recent financial crisis. The agency EGAP insures business activities abroad and therefore its model takes into account also specific factors related to the destination country. The main difference between the models of EGAP and the examined banks lies in the method of creation and validation: EGAP does not dispose of sufficient amount of business case studies, so that it has to rely on external consulting services when setting up and validating the model. The dissertation concludes that while all rating models are composed of similar risk factors highlighting past financial indicators of the financed business, each analysed rating model differs significantly in the specific database of business cases that were used to construct the model, depending on the availability of data to the bank/insurer. The conclusion that can be drawn from this fact is that the main factor for successful prevention of future failures of the credit rating models will be the extent of the credit assessment database which will be used for the construction of the respective rating model.
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