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Central bank communication and exchange rates: High-frequency evidence
Suntychová, Petra ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Komárek, Luboš (referee)
The GARCH analysis has been used to estimate the effect of central banks' announcements, posted on their official websites, on demands for the curren- cies they are taking care of, with a focus on the type of announcements re- leased. The announcement specifics observed were past-looking statements, and forward-looking statements, whether they were announcing a monetary policy, financial stability, or commenting on a political situation. The results have shown that announcements made by central banks, both European Central Bank and Czech National Bank, mostly have not significantly affected demands for their respective currencies with certain exceptions. Also, the results suggest that demand for the Euro currency is being affected by these announcements with a longer lag, and announcements made by the European Central Bank are having less impact than those of its Czech counterpart. Overall, it has been concluded that announcements posted on official websites are affecting currency demands less than other influencing factors. JEL Classification F12, F21, F23, H25, H71, H87 Keywords central bank, exchange rate, foreign exchange, GARCH Title Central bank communication and currency de- mand: GARCH Analysis
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