|
|
The Czech banking sector: Determinants of Profitability
Hykl, Daniel ; Pečená, Magda (advisor) ; Teplý, Petr (referee)
This thesis is concerned with Czech banking sector in 2015 - 2020 and its profitability. A set of bank-specific and macroeconomic variables is tested for profitability determination effects by a general profitability model estimated with system GMM, FE, and OLS methods, yearly and quarterly data are used. The results indicate negative effects on bank profitability of the following on both yearly and quarterly bases: capitalization, operational efficiency, and inflation change, and positive effects on bank profitability of the following on both yearly and quarterly bases: bank size and GDP growth. The thesis also analyzes quarterly changes in bank assets, liabilities, and equity. The results indicate systematic drops of liabilities and assets reported as of year-ends. Potential explanations are discussed along with suggestions for further research as this study presents a complex set of insights, results, and experience ready to be augmented with further efforts.
|
|
|
Leasing Financing and Debt Financing - Determinants and the Linkages with the Economy
Migová, Patrícia ; Pečená, Magda (advisor) ; Jakubík, Petr (referee)
This study examines the macroeconomic and legal determinants of leasing fi- nancing. The dataset used in this thesis is an unbalanced panel. It includes 30 countries and covers the period between 2012 and 2020. The leasing to GDP ratio represents the dependent variable. The key determinants are examined by the dynamic System Generalized method of moments. The results indicate that statistically significant macroeconomic variables are in line with the economic theory. The borrowing interest rate and value-added tax show the most robust results. Moreover, the value-added tax is the most important tax variable that negatively impacts leasing, and it was the only statistically significant regulatory variable. Furthermore, the analysis for the leasing to credit ratio is provided. The results support the existing literature that the corporate tax rate is an important determinant for leasing to credit ratio from the macroeconomic point of view and not only from the firms' perspective. Keywords Leasing financing, Debt financing, panel data models, System GMM estimator
|
|
|
Effect of Green New Deal on investment funds
Prokš, Petr ; Pečená, Magda (advisor) ; Šíla, Jan (referee)
Socially responsible investing (SRI) had in recent decades gained in importance. Despite that there is no consensus amongst researchers regarding SRI effect on short-term or long-term fund's performance in the United States. This paper seeks to utilize standard economic models (CAPM, 3-factor Fama-French) on latest (January 2018 to December 2021) data. In addition, author seeks to look for performance trend by splitting observed period to one before Covid crisis and during the crisis. Then he will look for any significant impact on funds' performance and its characteristics. Final part consists of observing effect of published articles by news outlet and whether there is any impact. News divided into positive and negative with regards to SRI thematic. Results implies that performance is negatively correlated with higher ranking of social consciousness of fund (ESG value was used) and that manager of funds with lower ESG standards are better at stock-picking. Study did not find any significant long-term effect of Covid crisis while short-term effect suggested greater need for funds to employ stock-picking skill. News effects were generally insignificant with effect of bad news being stronger than effect of positive news. Keywords Financial markets, Socially responsible investing, ESG, market news...
|
|
|
Macroeconomic stress-testing of banking systems: survey of methodologies and empirical application
Šimečková, Jana ; Geršl, Adam (advisor) ; Pečená, Magda (referee)
This thesis deals with stress testing as a process that helps to assess the impact of potential adverse shocks on the soundness of a financial system. First section is dedicated to non-technical discussion about stress testing and to some methodological issues. The main focus lies on the system-wide macroeconomic stress testing. The empirical part of the thesis is a contribution to macroprudential analysis of the quality of the aggregate loan portfolio in the Czech Republic. This study adopts a vector autoregression model applied to the Czech banking sector in order to judge its stability and present some evidence on macroeconomic variables affecting the Czech banking system. As a measure of the strength of the loan portfolio is used the stock of non-performing loans vis-à-vis total loans in the sector. The thesis follows the widely used methodology and seeks to identify significant macroeconomic risk factors affecting the loan portfolio quality. The latter part aims also to forecast the most likely development of the loan portfolio.
|
|
|
Bank profitability in Mongolia
Chuluunbaatar, Tumenjargal ; Pečená, Magda (advisor) ; Havránková, Zuzana (referee)
One should judge the performance of banks in developing countries on a different background that is uniformly applied for developed countries. Methods of evaluating bank performances such as Economies Value Added (EVA) or Method of Comparables are of little help as they heavily rely on the stock price of banks on exchange market which is often unavailable for most banks. And when it is available it is hard to assure the "fair market value" given the underdeveloped capital market. Therefore traditional accounting measurements for bank profitability, namely Return on Asset and Return on Equity are natural candidates and are used for assessing the performance of Mongolian banks. Based on the respective analysis, a hypothesis that a bank size is an important factor for higher profitability is tested for a sample of banks which subsequently leads to a conclusion that bank size effect on profitability is rather insignificant.
|
|
|
New Collective Investment Possibilities in the Czech Republic (Perspective Future of Property Funds?)
Vostrovská, Diana ; Pečená, Magda (advisor) ; Jakubík, Petr (referee)
Collective investment in the Czech Republic has gone through significant development during past decades and currently plays an important role on financial markets. The amendment of the Act on Collective Investment enabled the creation of property funds, which can be set up as special funds of qualified investor funds. The study starts with the general overview of the Czech collective investment market its structure, history and present. Furthermore, legal norms which determine the conception of property funds are specified. The study draws from the experience of foreign states and mostly focuses on Germany and USA. Property funds already have their own history there. Last but not least, the main aspects of property funds business are analyzed in context of international competitive advantages by analyzing the characteristics of indirect real-estate investments, tax system, development of the local realestate market and European legislation
|
|
|
External rating Validation
Lapešová, Michaela ; Pečená, Magda (advisor) ; Horváth, Roman (referee)
The growing importance of external rating may draw increased attention to the reliability of credit risk evaluation. The aim of this thesis is to analyze a contemporary external rating position as an instrument for evaluation of a subject's ability to meet its obligations. The study provides theoretical foundations of credit risk modeling as well as empirical application to a collected data set. For the sake of validation of a selected rating system a simple default study is presented on the basis of this data set. Limited information allows just for a brief survey of short rating history in the Czech Republic. The world rating history is comprehensive and it becomes an integral part of clients' creditworthiness assessment within the New Basel Capital Accord. With its growing importance the rating has been recently facing criticism. The thesis focuses mainly on the comments on the cyclical tendencies of rating and provides and empirical analysis using data from CEE countries.
|
|
|
Modern Banking and Preference Channels
Regináč, Jozef ; Ryska, Pavel (advisor) ; Pečená, Magda (referee)
Financial markets are nowadays more important than ever. Financial crisis of the previous decade demonstrated their power to influence stability of the whole economy. Since the consensus blames weak regulation and considers the only solution to be its extension, this thesis tries to provide the proof of existence of other options. The focus is firstly aimed at the weaknesses of the fractional reserve banking, which does not follow the basic legal principles of a deposit contract. This practice results in price fluctuations and favoritism of first takers of newly created money. Moreover, the thesis develops a new method of analysis, which emphasizes the application of preferences in exchanges. Important outcome of this method is the demonstration that the public does not have to always prefer the most evolved form of institution. All institutions within commercial banks are then analyzed with the use of this method and the thesis shows where preference channels are being interfered with. This analysis also reveals another outcome of fractional reserve banking, which is that the newly created money is only used according to the preferences of commercial bankers. We suggest that circumvention of the true nature of a deposit contract leads to a similar outcome in loan banking, where funds gathered by loan...
|
|
|
Portfolio investment for individual investors : (portfolio recommendations for three case studies)
Žigraiová, Diana ; Pečená, Magda (advisor) ; Baxa, Jaromír (referee)
The thesis focuses on the portfolio investment area with respect to individual investors. It discusses their investment possibilities and behavioural aspects that may be the cause of deviations in investors' behaviour from rationality and which as well have the impact on forming their investment objectives. On the three investor case studies two qualitatitive methods of asset allocation are studied, eventually dividing the content of their investment portfolios between stocks and bonds. Additionally, the extension to the traditional stock and bond allocation is performed by means of real estate, commodities and art and antiques and its appropriateness is analyzed for each case study investor. At the very end of the thesis a quantitative mean-variance optimization method of asset allocation is mentioned.
|
|
|
Informative value of the cost efficiency concept in banking
Marková, Katarína ; Mejstřík, Michal (advisor) ; Pečená, Magda (referee)
The concept of cost efficiency has repeatedly been proven to have some signaling effect for the risk of a bank failure. In this paper we examine the informative value of the efficiency scores of institutions that have been experiencing distress within the current 'subprime' crisis. For this purpose we employ the parametric stochastic cost frontier method and estimate the cost frontier of five European banking sectors using the pre-crisis data of the period 2004-2007. On a sample of 18 bailed-out institutions we then investigate whether abnormal development in terms of relative cost efficiency preceded the distress. We find that in all examined sectors, except of the British one, distressed institutions performed prior to the crisis on average worse than their peers in terms of relative cost efficiency. Besides, we observe that while the high-profile rescue cases of continental Europe (Dexia, Fortis, HRE) were preceded by years of excessively poor performance, the bailed-out British banks were in all concerns best performers within their relevant industries. The paper is concluded by a discussion of the fundamental risks that result from the current reshaping of the European banking industry. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
|
guest ::
RSS feed.