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Weather prediction in energy sector
Pelikán, Emil ; Brabec, Marek ; Brabec, Tomáš ; Eben, Kryštof ; Juruš, Pavel
In this contribution we summarize our experiences with a regional weather and air quality prediction system (called MEDARD), which is operationally used in the Institute of Computer Science in Prague. The system is based on the numerical weather prediction model MM5 and on the chemistry transport model CAMx. We discuss some applications of the system in energy demand forecasting and in other fields of energy industry.
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Mathematical Modeling of Natural Gas Consumption in the Case of Residential and Small Commercial Customer
Konár, Ondřej
Natural gas consumption of households and small commercial customers is read from gas-meters usually once a year in the Czech republic. Every month a part (approximately 1/12) of customers is read. Hence there's always a certain amount of delivered natural gas which hadn't been invoiced yet. This amount needs to be estimated by a proper estimator. In this paper a nonlinear regression model GAMMA, which was developped in the Institute of Computer Science of AS CR is presented.
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