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Dálkový průzkum Země jako podpůrný nástroj při posuzování zemědělského sucha
Hlavinka, Petr ; Semerádová, Daniela ; Balek, Jan ; Žalud, Z. ; Tadesse, T. ; Hayes, M. ; Wardlow, B. ; Trnka, Miroslav
Díky satelitnímu snímání v rámci Dálkového průzkumu Země (DPZ) lze získávat velmi cenné údaje o podmínkách na rozsáhlých územích (napříč kontinenty i státy) i pro menší území v rozlišení stovek až desítek metrů. Mezi velké přednosti těchto přístupů patří časová a prostorová kontinuita získaných údajů. Pro hodnocení stavu vegetačního krytu na zemském povrchu jsou často využívány tzv. vegetační indexy. Předkládaný příspěvek si klade za cíl demonstrovat možnosti využití vegetačního indexu EVI2 (Enhanced Vegetation Index) v rámci sledování odezvy stavu vegetace na výskyt sucha. Výsledky jsou zaměřeny na popis situací ve vybraných letech za období 2000-2015 s využitím dat získaných pomocí zařízení MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) neseného družicí Terra. Prezentována jsou data dostupná v týdenním kroku pro celé území České republiky.
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Monitoring zemědělského sucha a jeho uživatelé a zpravodajové
Bartošová, Lenka ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Semerádová, Daniela ; Hlavinka, Petr ; Štěpánek, Petr ; Zahradníček, Pavel ; Žalud, Z.
Monitoring sucha je klíčovým prvkem sledování vývoje klimatu v České republice. Cílem tohoto článku je popsat, jak se na samotném monitoringu podílejí agronomové, lesníci, ovocnáři či lidé pracující v krajině a to v rámci Integrovaného Systému Sledování Sucha (ISSS). ISSS v týdenním kroku monitoruje vývoj a stav sucha pro celou Českou republiku s využitím různých zdrojů informací (výsledky vycházející z modelu SoilClim či výstupy z nástroje MODIS na družicích Aqua a Terra). Jedním z pilířů ISSS je také popis dopadů sucha na výnosy hlavních plodin a to díky spolupráci zejména se zemědělci, jejichž expertní hodnocení prováděná v týdenním kroku přináší pohled na aktuální situaci očima praxe, která je k dispozici na www.intersucho.cz.
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Drivers of soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012
Trnka, Miroslav ; Brázdil, Rudolf ; Balek, J. ; Semerádová, Daniela ; Hlavinka, Petr ; Možný, M. ; Štěpánek, Petr ; Dobrovolný, Petr ; Zahradníček, Pavel ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Eitzinger, Josef ; Fuchs, B. ; Svoboda, M. ; Hayes, M. ; Žalud, Zdeněk
Soil moisture dynamics and their temporal trends in the Czech Republic are forced by various drivers. Our analysis of temporal trends indicates that shifts in drought severity between 1961 and 2012 and especially in the April, May, and June period, which displayed such results as a 50% increase in drought probability during 1961–1980 in comparison to 2001–2012. We found that increased global radiation and air temperature together with decreased relative humidity (all statistically significant at p < 0.05) led to increases in the reference evapotranspiration in all months of the growing season; this trend was particularly evident in April, May, and August, when more than 80% of the territory displayed an increased demand for soil water. These changes, in combination with the earlier end of snow cover and the earlier start of the growing season (up to 20 days in some regions), led to increased actual evapotranspiration at the start of the growing season that tended to deplete the soil moisture earlier, leaving the soil more exposed to the impacts of rainfall variability. These results support concerns related to the potentially increased severity of drought events in Central Europe. The reported trend patterns are of particular importance with respect to expected climate change, given the robustness and consistency of the trends shown and the fact that they can be aligned with the existing climate model projections. Introduction
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Reliability of regional crop yield predictions in the Czech Republic based on remotely sensed data
Hlavinka, Petr ; Semerádová, Daniela ; Balek, Jan ; Bohovič, Roman ; Žalud, Zdeněk ; Trnka, Miroslav
Vegetation indices sensed by satellite optical sensors are valuable tools for assessing vegetation conditions including field crops. The aim of this study was to assess the reliability of regional yield predictions based on the use of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and the Enhanced Vegetation Index derived from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer aboard the Terra satellite. Data available from the year 2000 were analysed and tested for seasonal yield predictions within selected districts of the Czech Republic. In particular, yields of spring barley, winter wheat, and oilseed winter rape during 2000–2014 were assessed. Observed yields from 14 districts were collected and thus 210 examples (15 years within 14 districts) were included. Selected districts differ considerably in soil fertility and terrain configuration and represent a transect across various agroclimatic conditions (from warm/dry to relatively cool/wet regions). Two approaches were tested: 1) using 16-day temporal composites of remotely sensed data provided by the United States Geological Survey, and 2) using daily remotely sensed data in combination with an originally developed smoothing method. Yields were predicted based on established regression models using remotely sensed data as an independent parameter. In addition to other findings, the impact of severe drought episodes within vegetation was identified and yield reductions at a district level were predicted. As a result, those periods with the best relationship between remotely sensed data and yields were identified. The impact of drought conditions as well as normal or above-normal yields of the tested field crops were predicted using the proposed method within the study region up to 30 days prior to harvest.
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LINCOLN – an algorithm for filtering daily NDVI MODIS data and deriving the start of the season
Bohovič, R. ; Hlavinka, Petr ; Semerádová, Daniela ; Bálek, L. ; Tadesse, T. ; Hayes, M. ; Wardlow, B. ; Trnka, Miroslav
Monitoring drought has become an important tool for farmers and agriculture decision makers. This has increased efforts to create a monitoring system using satellite data that could provide an independent and current source of real information on vegetation condition. The aim of this study was to develop an algorithm for processing Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer. A software utility called LINCOLN was developed for this purpose. Its filtering output was further processed to yield a start of the season (SOS) metric. Different settings of the utility were tested and correlated to such phenological ground observations as the emergence of spring barley and the beginning of leaf sheath elongation in winter wheat. There was higher correlation observed in the case of winter wheat, probably due to its weaker dependence on crop sowing date. The matrix of coefficients of determination was applied to determine the optimal settings for the LINCOLN filter. The optimal absolute threshold NDVI value for SOS was set to 4,500.
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Remotely sensed NDVI as a support tool for agricultural drouhgt assessment
Hlavinka, Petr ; Semerádová, Daniela ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Lukas, V. ; Bohovic, R. ; Balek, J. ; Wardlow, B. ; Hayes, M. ; Tseagaye, T. ; Žalud, Zdeněk
Th e main aim of the submitted study was to introduce how the remotely sensed NDVI (Normalized Diff erence Vegetation Index) could be used for agricultural drought assessment within the Czech Republic. Th e relationship between NDVI values and observed yields of spring barley and winter wheat was analyzed for selected districts. Moreover the ability of NDVI (at district level in the form of seasonal greenness – SG) to explain the water balance or drought occurrence and severity was tested. For this purpose a data mining technique was used. A relative form of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (rPDSI) was used as a dependent variable to indicate drought occurrence. A Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), percentage of average SG (PASG), Start of Season Anomaly (SOSA) and district identifi cation were used as independent variables. MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) observations from the Terra satellite were used as a source of NDVI. Th e situation within 6 selected districts (Olomouc, Přerov, Znojmo, Břeclav, Žďár nad Sázavou and Havlíčkův Brod) during the period from 2000 to 2012 was analyzed. Promising results were achieved, so practical use of this approach (e.g. for spatial and temporal assessment of drought stress within the vegetation) could be expected.
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Using remotely sensed NDVI for drought impact assessment within selected crops
Hlavinka, Petr ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Semerádová, Daniela ; Dobrovolný, P. ; Balek, J. ; Možný, M. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Hayes, M. ; Svoboda, M. ; Wardlow, B. ; Žalud, Zdeněk
The relationship between Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and selected agrometeorological parameters (yields of selected crops, water balance) was investigated. The source for NDVI was Spectroradiometer MODIS within satellite Terra and it was available for grids in resolution 500 x 500 m from 2000 to 2010. The analysis was conducted within 12 grids spread through Southern and Central Moravian region. The information about cultivated crops (including spring barley, winter wheat, maize for grains, sugar beet and winter rape) were collected from the farmers and water balance simulated using SoilClim model.
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Primární prevence sociálně patologických jevů u dětí v předškolním věku
SEMERÁDOVÁ, Dagmar
Práce se věnuje problematice primární prevence sociálně patologických jevů v souvislosti s rozvojem osobnosti dítěte předškolního věku. V teoretické části se zabývá vymezením pojmu primární prevence sociálně patologických jevů a přibližuje význam vhodných činností a výchovných postupů u předškoláků, jak v mateřské škole, tak i v rodině. V praktické části jsou pak zkoumány postoje rodičů dětí do šesti let věku k primární prevenci sociálně patologických jevů a rizikové faktory, které v současnosti charakterizují rodinné zázemí předškoláka.
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