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Možnosti předpovědi finanční krize
Salvetová, Veronika
This bachelor thesis examines methods for prediction of financial crisis. Using the statistical program Statistica 12, selected statistical predictive instruments are evaluated in their ability to predict along one dimensional time series the structural break related to the emergence of the financial crisis that developed in the years 2007-2008. The quality of the predictive models is evaluated using selected statistical criteria. The results show that contemporary predictive mathematical methods are not very good tools for prediction of crises. This is the basis for further discussion. On the basis of this information, this text offers suggestion for improving predictive instruments and better prevention of crises.
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Risk analysis of company strategic plan of KOVOFINIŠ s.r.o.
Mohoritová, Eva ; Špička, Jindřich (advisor) ; Heřman, Jan (referee)
The aim of the thesis is to find out risk factors, which influence the company, measure their impact on discounted cash flow of the company (DCF) and set measures to reduce these risk factors. First part of the thesis describes theoretical and methodological basis for the second practical part. Second part begins with company introduction and is followed by strategic and financial analysis to find out risk factors. After these analyses we can predict future development of the company and form financial plan for following three years. Next step is the calculation of discounted cash flow of predicted 3 years which will be used to count the impact of risk factors on the company. The last part of the thesis will contain a strategy how to reduce risk impacts.
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Recruitment and selection of employees
Bratránková, Kateřina ; Legnerová, Kateřina (advisor) ; Uhlíková, Iva (referee)
The aim of the thesis is to analyze personnel activities of employee recruitment and selection in Mafra, a.s. company and propose recommendations to enhance effectiveness of these activities. The theoretical part defines the theoretical basis of personal work, personal activities of recruitment and selection of employees and the profile of the modern recruiter. The practical part contains analysis of the activities of recruitment and selection of employees, own research conducted in the form of a questionnaire and an interview with company recruiter. In the last section recommendations to increase the effectiveness of personnel activities are designed based on the analysis and research.
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Selected macroeconomic effects of exchange rate appreciation
Šuhajda, Jerguš ; Šíma, Ondřej (advisor) ; Houštecký, Martin (referee)
This bachelor thesis is focused on the effects of exchange rate appreciation. The goal of this thesis is to describe and explain the effects of the exchange rate appreciation on the basis of following indicators: the development of the current account, investments, savings, export and import. The thesis is divided into a theoretical and a practical part. In the practical part, I will illustrate the basic principles and definitions of the exchange rate in general and describe various kinds of exchange rate systems. Secondly, I will closer characterize the balance of payment and examine the basic effects of exchange rate appreciation using the Kappler analysis. Consequently, I will depict the currency appreciation on a graphical chart with particular countries. I will also analyse the development of individual indicators in particular countries.
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