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Technical analysis of the precious metals market
Gronský, David ; Veselá, Jitka (advisor) ; Ducháčková, Eva (referee)
The main goal of this thesis is to create several trade systems in order to examine their rate of successfulness. The basic knowledge of the technical analysis serves as the theoretical basis. One of their instruments namely technical indicators are used. Selected technical indicators are applied on a financial investment instrument, that is represented by the share of a mining company. The time horizon the trading systems are based on in their respective analyses, is four years. In the initial part there are individual components determined from the theoretical point of view, followed by application and evaluation of their outputs related to individual strategies. Finally, there is a trading system to be created in an appropriate combination, which is subjected to the analysis followed by a potential optimization and subsequent assessment of its possible application in real trading.
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Fundamental and technical analysis of stock Philip Morris ČR
Klimánková, Renata ; Smrčka, Luboš (advisor) ; Schönfeld, Jaroslav (referee)
The master's thesis deals with the fundamental and technical analysis of stock Philip Morris ČR. The aim of the thesis is a specification of investment recommendation. The fundamental analysis specifies an intrinsic value of the stock Philip Morris ČR, compares it with a real stock price and recommends sale or purchase of this stock. Technical analysis uses graphical methods and technical indicators to determine an appropriate time to sale or purchase this stock.
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Security and technical analysis of shares of Siemens AG
Poldauf, Sandro ; Smrčka, Luboš (advisor) ; Schönfeld, Jaroslav (referee)
The main objective of my bachelor thesis is to characterize the methods of the security and technical analysis, including its exemplary application for the Siemens AG company. The beginning of this thesis includes the principles of the development and methods of security analysis and technical analysis. The second part of this thesis applies security analysis to Siemens AG for determining the intrinsic value, the industry and economic analysis and the subsequent determination of an investment recommendation. In this part, I present the attempt to create my own evaluation method, the Management Performance Index, to quantitatively evaluate the management performance of Siemens AG. The final section focuses on technical analysis and selected technical indicators, especially as an auxiliary instrument for the correct timing of the purchase or sale of shares, including the analysis of their success.
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Fundamental and technical analysis of the stock ČEZ
Veselková, Eva ; Smrčka, Luboš (advisor) ; Zámečník, Petr (referee)
This graduation theses provides on the basis of an analysis fundamental and technical investment recommendation regarding shares of ČEZ. In determining the internal value of shares are used dividend discount models, profit models and FCFE model. By comparing this value with the current share price is determined whether the stock is profitable investment or not. Technical analysis with utilization graphical methods and technical indicators are able to predict when the market occurs a situation in which an advantageous sale or purchase of share is.
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The use of technical indicators in position trading of commodity futures
Fičura, Milan ; Musílek, Petr (advisor)
In this thesis I have tried to describe the basics of futures trading, technical analysis and trading system development. Particularly I have focused on technical indicators, where I have described the majority of those that are most often used for futures trading today. Further I have focused on trading system development and described the proces of backtesting, optimalization and evaluation of trading systems. In the practical part of this chapter I have developed 30 simple trading systems and then backtested them on the historical daily data of 10 commodity futures contracts during the years 2001-2010. To simulate a real trading conditions i have used the years 2001-2005 for optimalization and development, and the years 2006-2010 for backtesting and evaluation. The results were that most of the systems reached relatively good profits, but only low robustness and high riskiness. Also the contra-trend systems performed much worse in the second period than the trend-following systems. From the results i could reject the hypothesis that the yields of the systems (in the second period) are random on 0,1% level of significance. However, it can't be said surely, if the systems have "beat the market" (on risk-adjusted basis), because altrought their net returns were extraordinary, their riskiness was also very high.
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Spot rate technical analysis
Gric, David ; Mandel, Martin (advisor) ; Kuncl, Martin (referee)
The subject of this bachelor thesis is technical analysis that is being generally used in the trading profession. The first goal is to define the aspect of technical analysis and its position and usage on currency market. Next chapter describes fundamental concepts on which the analysis is based on and further specifies elementary types of technical indicators and its trading utilisation. Third part closely explain complex wave theories while focusing on Elliott wave theory. Final chapter uses the theoretical findings stated in the previous part in order to empirically verify its soundness by applying it on historical exchange rate series. Final goal is to answer whether the wave theory is presently usable and leads to successfull execution of user's objectives.
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Fundamental and Technical Analysis of Stock Komerční banka
Uher, Tomáš ; Veselá, Jitka (advisor)
The Bachelor's thesis deals with the fundamental and technical analysis of stock Komerční banka. After the introduction I concentrate on fundamental analysis, specifically global fundamental, sector fundamental and firm fundamental analysis in which I apply certain models in order to determine the intrinsic value of stock Komerční banka. In the next chapter of the thesis I concentrate on technical analysis of stock Komerční banka, I gradually concentrate on charts, chart's formations and technical indicators in order to determine a suitable time for purchase or sale of stock. The last chapter summarizes the results of both analyses and investment recommendations.
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Role and purpuse of technical analysis for exchange rate forecast
Knápek, Ladislav ; Blahová, Naděžda (advisor)
Práce se zabývá popisem technické analýzy jako jedné z částí celkové analýzy instrumentu. V práci jsou detailně popsány nejpoužívanější technické indikátory a grafické formace. Autor se v práci zamýšlí nad vznikem technické analýzy a odhaduje její možnosti použití do budoucna. V na akciích Burzy cenných papírů Praha a.s. potom zkoumá úspěšnost predikcí technické analýzy.
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Využití technické analýzy na komoditních trzích
Gol, Martin ; Marek, Petr (advisor) ; Makovec, Martin (referee)
diplomová práce s názvem ?Využití technické analýzy na komoditních trzích? se snaží prokázat možnost využití technické analýzy jako samostatného analytického přístupu, na jehož základě by se nechalo obchodovat se ziskem. V první části se zaměřuje na stručný popis jednotlivých analytických přístupů. V následujících částech analyzuje již samotnou technickou analýzu a jednotlivé přístupy, resp. technické indikátory či formace. V poslední části pak testuje vybrané zástupce technických indikátorů na burzovních datech a vyhodnocuje jejich možné využití pro praxi.
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Použitelnost technických indikátorů na českém akciovém trhu
Krkoška, Jakub ; Trešl, Jiří (advisor) ; Vávra, Marián (referee)
Diplomová práce se zabývá použitelností technických indikátorů jako jedné z metod technické analýzy na českém akciovém trhu. Postupně rozebírá vybraných sedm technických indikátorů, které jsou aplikovány na vybraných sedm akciových kurzů. Cílem bylo, vedle přiblížení a charakteristiky českého akciového trhu a konkrétních jednotlivých metod technické analýzy, zejména zjištění a závěrečné konstatování, zda se aplikované indikátory výnosově osvědčily při načasování nákupů a prodejů jednotlivých akciových titulů. K tomuto účelu byly zkonstruovány tři typy výnosových měr a také celý systém hodnocení sledující navazující charakteristiky jednotlivých aplikací. Český akciový trh zde byl reprezentován Burzou cenných papírů Praha a.s. a jejím nejlikvidnějším a nejobjemnějším segmentem SPAD.
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