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Influence of the single currency on the trading volumes of EMU members and the Czech Republic
Šopov, Daniel ; Horváth, Roman (referee) ; Dědek, Oldřich (advisor)
In this thesis, we focus on the impact of the single European currency on the trade volumes of EMU countries and the Czech Republic. We built on Rose's gravity model, which explains to us, although not very accurately, possible impact of the single European currency on the trade volumes. We centre our research on trade among 25 countries, including EU countries, Switzerland, Russia, Ukraine, USA, Canada and Mexico. We use gravity model and do regression, to compare and analyze data for 8 chosen EU countries, including those, that were in EMU and using Euro from the beginning, those that declined Euro and the Czech Republic, which has not adopted Euro yet. The main contribution of this thesis is a prediction of possible impact on trade in the Czech Republic, if we accepted Euro. This prediction will be based on analysis from other countries and its comparison.
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Optimization of allergic asthma model in rats
Radová, Hana ; Pourová, Jana (advisor) ; Vopršalová, Marie (referee)
Charles University in Prague Faculty of Pharmacy in Hradec Králové Department of Pharmacology and Toxicology Mgr. Hana Radová ABSTRACT (thesis towards the PharmDr. degree) Optimization of allergic asthma model in laboratory rat The aim of this thesis was the optimization of allergic asthma model in laboratory rats as experimental animals. More specifically, based on the determination/quantification of the number of cells (neutrophils, eosinophils, macrophages and lymphocytes) in bronchoalveolar lavage of Wistar rats, we attempted to determine the optimal time interval (1 hour or 24 hours) needed for the manifestation of an adequate allergic reaction after antigen challenge. Subsequently, we compared Wistar rats with Brown Norway rats over this time interval, and more parameters in Brown Norway rats were examined, specifically the level of eosinophil peroxidase and proteins in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid. We evaluated the induction of the tested model in comparison with non-allergic animals. In conclusion, (1) the time interval of 24 hours after the antigen challenge is more appropriate for the assessment of the selected model of allergic asthma; the time of one hour was not sufficient for the development of the allergic reaction. (2) Considering all evaluated parameters, Brown Norway rats are more suitable...
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Retail loan repayment analysis using generalized linear models
Šolc, Michal ; Jarošová, Eva (advisor) ; Forbelská, Marie (referee)
This Diploma thesis concern with generalized linear models and their application in bank practice. Especially to analyze retail loan repayment. First of all we see into theoretical viewpoint of generalized linear models. We shortly try to summarize problems of clasical linear model restrictions and after that we apply to theory on which generalized models are based. We introduce an overview of generalized linear models and after that we concern models, where dependent variable have multinomial and gamma distribution in detail. Main part this thesis is dedicated to data analysis about bank retail loans repayments. In this analysis we use those early mentioned models. We try to create good statistical models on which base the risk ratio of current bank clients could be predicted. The risk ratio is measured by two main indicators, which are: "overdue time" and "overdue amount". For analysis is used statistical software SAS.
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Currency crisis in Czech rep. in 1997 and its alternative scenarios
Otřísal, Gabriel ; Skopeček, Jan (advisor) ; Svoboda, Miroslav (referee)
This paper is dedicated to the first currency crisis in the Czech republic, which took place in 1997. It analyses the period perceding crisis, the development of the very crisis and its impacts. The main aim of this paper is to identify the crisis' roots and to map them. On this ground it consequently forms a hypothesis, that with a different mix of monetary and fiscal policy, nonexecution of currency interventions or with a sooner abandonment of the pegged exchange rate, we could have witnessed a different scenario. The paper is also complemented by a binary model of currency crisis prediction and an interview with a participant of the 1997' events.
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Assessment of the predictive ability of prediction models
Huba, Samuel ; Strnad, Lucien (advisor) ; Bobáková, Viktória (referee)
The subject of my work is to test the predictive ability of prediction models applied on companies "MEDEA a.s" and "Šarišské pekárny a cukrárny a.s." The theoretical section summarizes the main knowleadge of the prediction models- their division, the method of classifying businesses, discriminant analysis procedure and descriptions of selected prediction models used in the practical part. The practical section is aimed to assess the prognostic ability of the selected prediction models for predicting collapse of the "MEDEA a.s" in contrast with the correct predicted favorable financial situation in comparing company "Šarišské pekárny a cukrárny a.s." The results are then presented in the tables individually and collectively with the success percentage of each model.
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Assessment of the explanatory power of models
Urban, Ondřej ; Strnad, Lucien (advisor) ; Schönfeld, Jaroslav (referee)
The object of this paper is the application of solvency models and bankruptcy prediction models on two companies and assessment whether the models are capable of correctly classifying both companies. Models are used on companies Hartmann-Rico a.s., which is in good financial-economic situation, and Pliva-Lachema a.s., which was threatened by bankruptcy and from 1st January 2010 is in liquidation. The first part is devoted to the issue at the theoretical level. In the second part is this issue applied on both companies and is evaluated with which accuracy the companies were rated by different models. The conclusion will be assessed the explanatory power of models.
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Evapotranspiration impact on hydrological modeling
Macounová, Anna ; Kimlová, Martina (referee) ; Daňhelka, Jan (advisor)
This work presents the evapotranspiration from the point of view of its impact on hydrological modeling. We have tested the influence of different input evapotranspiration on the simualtion outputs of rainfall-runoff model Sacramento (SAC-SMA), which is the component of the hydrological forecasting system AquaLog used for flood forecasting in the Czech part of Elbe river basin. Litavka river basin was selected for this case study. We present physical geographical characteristics of the basin from the poin of view of influence of the evapotranspiration rate. Simulation using different computed evapotranspiration daily timeseries for 2001 - 2005 inputted SAC- SMA and total runoff, runoff composition, zones saturation were evaluated. Results proved that SAC- SMA sensitivity to evapotranspiration is of great concern especially for the long time and slow developing processes in the basin. Evapotranspiration loss, base flow generation and connected saturation of tension water zones and lower zone primary free water were identified to be the most affected states and processes. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
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