|
|
Investment analysis of ČEZ shares.
Nistorenco, Daniela-Anghelina ; Cibulka, Jakub (advisor) ; Staniek, Dušan (referee)
This bachelor thesis provides the fundamental analysis of ČEZ stocks and aims to create an investment recommendation based on the analysis. There are several types of analysis (fundamental, technical, psychological, the theory of efficient capital markets) which are used for building successful investment strategies. These methods I describe and compare in the first chapter of my work. The remaining part of my thesis is dedicated to fundamental analysis, which I divided into three segments (global, industry, corporate). The global analysis is based on estimating the influence of selected macroeconomic variables on the changes of the stock price. The second part represents industry analysis, which is composed of description of regulation in energy industry and evaluation of economic activities of ČEZ. In the last chapter I use four different stock valuation methods to make an appropriate investment recommendation.
|
|
|
Krachy na finančních trzích
Tran Dinh, Khanh ; Stádník, Bohumil (advisor) ; Brodani, Jana (referee)
The aim of this work is description and analysis of the phenomena which suddenly cause unexpected and sharp decline in the financial markets, called crashes or collapses. This work is divided into theoretical and practical part. The theoretical part deals with the definition of the financial market and its crash, in addition, this part provides an overview of the theories explaining the origin of the speculative bubble and its bursting. The object of practical part is to describe occurred events in the financial markets in order to determine the possible causes, circumstances and consequences of these crashes.
|
|
|
The possibilities of currency rate prediction in international business
Antoš, Josef ; Taušer, Josef (advisor) ; Čajka, Radek (referee)
The diploma thesis deals with currency market analysis. There are three main types of analysis: fundamental, technical and psychological analysis. Each of these methods contains explanation of logic, on which the method is based, its advantages, disadvantages and specific examples of this analysis. Neural networks are furher explained in technical analysis. The practical part of the diploma thesis builds on knowledge of technical analysis and tests functionality of the neural networks in the environment of currency markets. The model is calibrated first and then it is used to predict the development of major currency pairs. The prediction is carried out on a monthly chart for December 2013.
|
|
|
Psychological analysis and risk-management in trading on capital markets
BUREŠ, Vladislav
The main goal was to describe psychological factors that affect trader's behavior while trading on capital markets and to apply risk- and money-management to eliminate these factors. The theoretical part describes the market efficiency theory, behavioral finances and psychological analysis. The second part is based on the intraday trading. There were created four trading strategies and their yields were statistically tested.
|
|
|
The finer Points of International Financial Market Analysis based on historical Data
Rakovčík, Jakub ; Taušer, Josef (advisor) ; Černá, Iveta (referee)
First chapter describes International Financial Markets. Second chapter describes market fundamental analysis. Third chapter describes market technical analysis and efficient market hypothesis testing. Fourth chapter discusses market psychological analysis. Fifth chapter encompasses other theoretical background to be used in application. Sixth chapter deals with application of fundamental and technical analysis on a tennis betting market having found parallels between the sports betting markets and financial markets.
|
|
|
Speculative bubbles in capital markets
Petr, Jiří ; Veselá, Jitka (advisor)
Bachelor thesis deals with speculative bubbles in capital markets. The goal of this thesis is to analyse causes and processes of bubbles and their influence on a real economy. The problem is processed both theoretically and practically. First chapter are concerned with definition and typology of bubbles. Theoretical part is focused on irrational view on bubbles with an accent on psychology analysis and behavioral finance. Main part of this work is third chapter, where I analyse particular examples of bubbles and determine their causes.
|
|
|
Stock market of the Czech Republic under financial crisis conditions
Panušková, Monika ; Taušer, Josef (advisor) ; Svoboda, Vratislav (referee)
This master's thesis deals with stock market of the Czech Republic under financial crisis conditions. It is divided into a theoretical and a practical part. The theoretical part describes a stock price, most significant stock bubbles and fundamental, technical and psychological analysis. The practical part of this thesis is dedicated to an up-to-date stock valuation of three representative stock companies quoted on Prague Stock Exchange by using the fundamental analysis. The technical analysis is applied as an additional approach. The main target of this thesis is to verify whether the current Czech stock market can not be designated as a stock bubble any more in contrast to a situation before the financial crisis.
|
|
|
Asset price bubbles of American markets - causes of their formation, impacts on the economy of the USA and world
Klimo, Ján ; Neumann, Pavel (advisor) ; Jelínek, Tomáš (referee)
The goal of this bachelor thesis is to identify the causes of the formation of asset price bubbles based on the observation of historic cases of price bubbles observed on the American markets, to show their impact on the economy and to project potential scenarios of the current financial crisis. The first chapter introduces basic psychological concepts of the formation of asset price bubbles and explains their macroeconomic implications. The second chapter focuses on specific American asset price bubbles. It applies the theoretical concepts from the first chapter, for each asset price bubble concrete causes and impacts on the economy are described. This section is concluded with a list of their common characteristics. The final chapter analyzes the current financial crisis. It explains its background, causes of the housing bubble and factors leading to its bust. The comparison of stock market crashes and housing market crashes serves as a basis for the projection of possible scenarios of the current financial crisis based on an empirical study of past banking crises. The author thereby presents potential development in five important economic areas: stock markets, housing market, real GDP per capita, unemployment and public debt.
|
|
|
Stock Market Crashes
El-Moussawi, Chadi ; Musílek, Petr (advisor)
This bachelor thesis is dedicated to studying stock market situation know as stock market crash, which composes of sudden, unexpected drop in prices of equities. This problem is closely related with the origin of speculative bubbles. Economists often try to explain this phenomenon through the studies of psychological behavior, thus we will refer to psychological analysis as a mean of describing stock market crash. In the theoretical part will also be discussed the theory of speculative bubbles and the theory of efficient markets, which is in contradiction with the former. In the second part of the thesis will be discussed different cases of stock market crashes. I believe that through analysing these situations I will be able to define main causes of the creation of speculative bubbles and the crashes that follow them.
|
|
|
International stock markets in conditions of financial crisis
Otýpková, Michaela ; Taušer, Josef (advisor) ; Plchová, Božena (referee)
This diploma thesis deals with trading in the international stock markets in conditions of financial crisis. The theoretical part covers basic definitions associated with stock markets, followed by a chapter dedicated to business cycles, which are significantly related to the stock markets. The first goal of the thesis is numerical comparison of the extensions of the actual financial crisis with the most meaningful financial crisis over last one hundred years. The second aim of the work is to effectuate the technical analysis using selected technical indicators and evaluate its results in chosen periods.
|
guest ::
