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Monetary Policy and House Prices in the US: Evidence from Time-Varying VAR Model
Brunová, Kristýna ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Holub, Tomáš (referee)
This thesis examines the effects of monetary policy shocks on the housing market. To this end, TVP-VAR model with dynamic dimension selection and stochastic volatility is estimated using monthly data for the United States over the period 1999-2017. Moreover, the model features estimating the optimal value of the Bayesian shrinkage coefficient in a time-varying manner. Since the sample covers the Zero Lower Bound period, Wu-Xia shadow rate is employed to measure the stance of monetary policy. To assess the link between housing variables and monetary policy, impulse responses and forecast error variance decompositions are provided. However, due to the time-varying nature of the model, they are estimated only for selected time periods that correspond both to the events that most likely influenced the path of macroeconomic and financial variables and to periods of low economic uncertainty. The main results are threefold. First, the model suggests that monetary policy shocks can contribute to developments in house prices. Second, the stimulative monetary policy positively affects residential investment and negatively affects mortgage rates, however, the effects are not significant due to the large confidence bands of the impulse responses. Third, higher values of the shrinkage hyperparameter are crucial for...
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Dopady zvyšování úrokových sazeb na úvěrování segmentů SME
Zavadil, Marek
Daný článek se zaměřuje na bankovní pohled z hlediska minulého, ale především současného a jisté predikce budoucího vývoje poskytování úvěrů a financování segmentu malých a středních firem v České republice. Má tak hodnotit ochotu, ale výhled a očekávání, které po několika letech extrémně nízkých úrokových sazeb, přináší obrat a jejich postupné zvyšování.
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Zero Interest Rates from the Perspective of Economic Theory
Behúnová, Kateřina ; Hába, Stanislav (advisor) ; Šíma, Ondřej (referee)
The objective of this bachelor thesis is to unify knowledge of zero interest rates which have been being mentioned in economic theory rather marginally until recently, yet their implementation is nowadays spread in a worldwide scale. After describing the functioning of interest rates as an instrument of monetary policy, a problem of a liquidity trap, which highly relates to zero interest rates, is examined from both the original point of view of J. M. Keynes and the contemporary one. Possible causes and consequences of implementing zero interest rates are stated afterwards. The final chapter enumerates options for monetary and fiscal policy to escape this situation.
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Analýza hospodářské recese 2014 v Ruské federaci
Sergeev, Vladimir ; Soukup, Jindřich (advisor) ; Kulbakov, Nikolay (referee)
The aim of bachelor´s thesis is analyzing of the most important aspects connected with economic crisis in Russian Federation in 2014, defining the basic causes of recession, description of main manifestation in Russian economy, its impact on the economic system and following reaction of the government. The first part of thesis theoretically describes the topic from the perspective of negative economic cycle and trends and processes related with it. Also, thesis presents important characteristics of current Russian economy. Second part starts with main reasons which caused the recession, describes the course of the crisis in years 2014 and 2015, its impact from the perspective of several important macroeconomic indicators and government measures aimed at recovery of damaged economic sectors.
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Financial Stability Transparency and Interest Rates
Pařízek, Petr ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Brechler, Josef (referee)
Financial Stability Transparency and Interest Rates Petr Pařízek Abstract This paper examines the relationship between financial stability transparency and nominal interest rates on a panel data with more than 50 countries in years 2000 to 2010, controlling for macroeconomic conditions. We investi- gate the same relationship using monetary policy transparency, we compare the results and based on the existing literature we check for non-linear ef- fects of transparency. Moreover, we examine how this relationship changes in financially good and bad times in terms of financial stress. We find nega- tive relationship between both financial stability and monetary policy trans- parency and short-term interest rates. Especially in the case of monetary policy transparency our results suggest non-linear relationship and the exis- tence of an intermediate optimal level of transparency. For financially good and bad times our findings are miscellaneous, some in accordance and some in contradiction with the literature. Generally, our results suggest that the effect of financial stability transparency on short-term interest rates is weaker than the effect of monetary policy transparency. For the long-term interest rates, we find no evidence of the effect of financial stability nor monetary policy transparency. Examining the data in...
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Analysis of the impact of low interest rates on banking business in Sweden
Hellová, Tereza ; Dvořák, Petr (advisor) ; Fleischmann, Luboš (referee)
The goal of thesis titled "Analysis of the impact of low interest rates on banking business in Sweden" is to define conditions of bank business and profitability of banks in Sweden. Bank management is monitored mainly in terms of low interest rate policy. Among the indicators observed in the period from 2011 to 2015 include particularly the net interest margin, profitability ratios and loans volume. Risk incurred by banks is also monitored through losses from credit operations and the share of risk-weighted assets to total banking assets.
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Impacts of monetary policy of Czech national bank on the Czech economy since 1993 to 2015.
Mrzena, Michal ; Ševčík, Miroslav (advisor) ; Munzi, Tomáš (referee)
The aim of this thesis is to analyze impacts of monetary policy of Czech national bank on the Czech economy since 1993 to 2015. Last few years monetary policy has been often discussed topic in Czech republic. Instruments of monetary policy have been changing and it will be changed again. In this conditions the analysis of entire period of CNB existence is very attractive for author. The theoretical part of the thesis deals with economic theory of central bank. In this part the thesis talks in detail about the regimes of monetary policy and it is focusing on the inflation targeting. The practical part of the thesis deals with analysis of monetary policy in every year in terms of meeting the targets and their impact on the economy. The conclusion of this analysis is to evaluate the effectiveness of monetary policy from 1993 to the present.
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Monetary policy and measures to support the economy
Kajerová, Nela ; Brčák, Josef (advisor)
The thesis deals with monetary policy in the Czech Republic and its significance. The first theoretical part is focused on the central banking tools Czech National Bank, which used to promote the economy and the theoretical foundations of business banking. The practical part includes the options of project financing through bank products in a particular case, and choosing a suitable version for the client according to selected parameters.
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Monetary policy and measures to support the economy
Kajerová, Nela ; Brčák, Josef (advisor)
The thesis deals with monetary policy in the Czech Republic and its significance. The first theoretical part is focused on the central banking tools Czech National Bank, which used to promote the economy and the theoretical foundations of business banking. The practical part includes the options of project financing through bank products in a particular case, and choosing a suitable version for the client according to selected parameters.
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