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Development of Automated Trading System for Commodity Markets
Hefka, Martin ; Andrle, Ondřej (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
This diploma thesis deals with theoretical and practical aspects of the commodity mar-ket. The automated trading system is designed and described there, which is focused on oil trades. The theoretical background as technical analysis, technical indicators descrip-tion or money management in trading, are described. The practical part of the thesis is focused on the analysis of oil market and the proposition of several strategies. These strategies are implemented subsequently to MQL4 language and tested on historical data.
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Automatic Trading System for Currency Pairs Using Technical Analysis
Padyšák, Jan ; Stoklásek, Libor (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The aim of this work is to create an automated trading system for trading currency pairs using technical indicators and technical analysis. The proposed trading system is tested and optimized on historical price data. To verify the robustness of the proposed system was used walk-forward analysis. Automatic trading system also uses rules for position sizing and risk management of open positions. Created system is profitabel on historical price data and also in the walk-forward analysis.
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METHODS OF CURRENCY PORTFOLIO CREATION
Budík, Jan ; Kohút, Michal (referee) ; Král, Miloš (referee) ; Rejnuš, Oldřich (referee) ; Dostál, Petr (advisor)
Doctoral thesis deals with the method of the currency portfolio creation focused on short-term trading, which not exceed one business day. That is the reason why is necessary to increase the profitability of investment positions by using financial leverage. Development of proposed investment strategies is realized with use of computer technology in combination with software that allows direct access to the foreign exchange market. The software enables direct access to a database of historical prices and has an implemented a programming language that allows effective processing of statistical analyzes, which is required for development of investment strategies. The investment strategies are optimized and tested on a database of historical price movements from 1. 1. 2004 to 31. 12. 2012 for the major currency pairs EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. The main assumption of entry to the market for proposed investment strategies is based on specific time intervals during the day, where is an increased probability of new short-term trends beginnings. The doctoral thesis statistically validated this assumption. The proposed method of creation a currency portfolio was applied to real market since 1. 1. 2013 to 30. 9. 2013 and was used for 20 000 $ trading account. Profitability of proposed method of creation a currency portfolio is 26,89%.
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The investment models in an environment of financial markets
Barva, David ; Pantůčková, Zdena (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
This master thesis evaluates about investing in the currency market, commonly known as Forex. The master thesis is primarily deal with proposal of automated trading system for trading in major currency pairs using breakout strategies. These strategies creation is based on market analysis, volatility, correlation and analysis revealing patterns of time during the trading day. In practical part is formed diversified investment portfolio composed of five investment profitable strategies, which were used during four-month testing period on unknown market data.
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The Use of Artificial Intelligence on Financial Markets
Hortai, František ; Budík, Jan (referee) ; Dostál, Petr (advisor)
This thesis deals with the design of a model for trading on financial markets by using artificial intelligence. The work describes some methods of artificial intelligence, description of financial market and stock market trading. The result of this work is a model of an expert system which uses fuzzy logic for investing and a functional model for predicting the course of shares trends using artificial neural networks. Both models algorithms were designed and tested in MATLAB.
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Prediction of Exchange Rate Movements on Forex
Balog, Miroslav ; Menšík, Jakub (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The thesis deals with the possibility of prediction of the exchange rate on forex. The combination of Elliott wave principle and Fibonacci numbers examines to what extent and in what time periods it is possible to predict exchange rate. The thesis use fundamental analysis and MACD oscillator to confirm the accuracy of this prediction.
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Technical Analysis
Spáčil, Přemysl ; Budík, Jan (referee) ; Novotná, Veronika (advisor)
This master’s thesis is focused on the development, optimization and testing automated trading systems (ATS) using technical analysis. The first part, which describes mainly theoretical background, is followed by the practical part. This section deals with designing workflow for the development of ATS. Outcome of this thesis is portfolio of strategies that can be traded on e-mini markets. Some systems have been designed in Adaptrade Builder using genetic algorithms, while all testing was performed in TradeStation platform.
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Use of Automated Trading Systems on Commodity Markets
Herich, Martin ; Ondo, Ondrej (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
Focus of master's thesis is usability of automated trading of commodities with automated trading systems – expert advisors. Thesis describe theoretical background of commodity markets, trading principles, technical analysis of market, design and implementation of strategy as expert advisor. In conclusion, results are analyzed.
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Design of Automatic Trading System for Intraday Trading on Forex
Neřád, Václav ; Cibula, Peter (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
This diploma thesis deals with theoretical and practical aspect of the Forex market and all important information that is necessary for its understanding and trading on this market, focused on intraday trading with automated trading system. The main goal of this thesis is to create whole information source for beginner forex traders and to describe them all trading risks and the ways how to reduce these risks, for example through the using of money management and creating suitable automated trading strategy. The next part describes fundamental, technical and partly psychological analysis. This part is mainly focused on technical analysis and describing well known and the most widely used indicators of technical analysis. Based on gained knowledge, several automated intraday trading strategies suitable for small initial capital on the most liquid currency pair EUR/USD are designed, tested and evaluated. These strategies are based on technical indicators and its combinations.
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Proposal of an Automated Trading System for a Retail Investor
Maštalíř, Adam ; Stoklásek, Libor (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The aim of the diploma thesis Proposal of an automated trading system for a retail investor is to propose and create an automated trading system in the forex foreign exchange market environment. Basing on an analysis of the current scientific knowledge about the topic and greatly focusing on stability and profitability of the system, a functional automated trading system fit for a retail investor is proposed. A practical application of this system on a portfolio of selected currency pairs is included in the thesis.
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